Los Angeles 4th AFC West0-3

Seattle 2nd NFC West2-1

4:25PM ET 4:25PM ET · Oct 04, 2026

Chargers vs Seahawks Picks & Props

LAC vs SEA Picks

NFL Picks

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert o192.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 206.58 (Over)

Best Odds

o192.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o192.5 -115

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD SEA -7.5 spread -6.26 PROJECTION +1.2 DIFFERENCE 7.85% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds Hard Rock Bet Best Odds -7.5 +105 -7.5 -102 -7.0 -115 -7.5 -106 -7.5 +100 -7.5 +100 -7.5 +102 -7.5 -114 -7.5 +100 -7.5 +105 SEA -7.5 spread PROJECTION -6.26 PROJECTION +1.2 DIFFERENCE 7.85% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -7.5 +105
TOTAL Over 43.0 Total 43.58 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 4.71% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o42.5 -115 o43.0 -108 o42.5 -115 o42.5 -118 o43.5 -106 o43.0 -110 o43.0 -114 o42.5 -118 o42.5 -125 o43.0 -110 Over 43.0 Total PROJECTION 43.58 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 4.71% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o42.5 -115
PASSING YARDS J. Herbert (QB) o192.5 Passing Yards 206.58 OVER PROJECTION +14.1 DIFFERENCE 23.44% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o192.5 -115 - o192.5 -115 - - - - - - - J. Herbert (QB) o192.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 206.58 OVER PROJECTION +14.1 DIFFERENCE 23.44% EV ANALYSIS At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season. o192.5 -115
RECEPTIONS MADE L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made 4.14 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 1.39% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o3.5 -135 - o3.5 -135 - - - - - - - L. McConkey (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made PROJECTION 4.14 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 1.39% EV ANALYSIS At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football. o3.5 -135
PASSING ATTEMPTS J. Herbert (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts 29.69 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -7.09% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o29.5 -115 - o29.5 -115 - - - - - - - J. Herbert (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts PROJECTION 29.69 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -7.09% EV ANALYSIS At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football. o29.5 -115
PASSING COMPLETIONS J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions 19.32 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 7.99% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o18.5 -110 - o18.5 -110 - - - - - - - J. Herbert (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions PROJECTION 19.32 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 7.99% EV ANALYSIS At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football. o18.5 -110
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown 0.59 TDs PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 7.22% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds -120 - -120 -125 - -125 - -124 -120 -130 J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown PROJECTION 0.59 TDs PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 7.22% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 88.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 100th percentile for WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.. With a terrific ratio of 0.70 per game through the air (98th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league. -120
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown 0.31 TDs PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE -30% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds -105 - -105 -125 - -120 - -120 -120 -125 O. Hampton (RB) Anytime Touchdown PROJECTION 0.31 TDs PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE -30% EV ANALYSIS At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. Opposing squads have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Seattle's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league. -105

Chargers vs Seahawks Picks & Props

LAC vs SEA Picks

LAC vs SEA Consensus Picks

61% picking Seattle

48% picking L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under

LAC vs SEA Props

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 68% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.75 Units / 14% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.98 Units / 23% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 20 games (-11.35 Units / -34% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1H Team Total Over in 5 of their last 18 games (-9.25 Units / -42% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 19 games (-9.10 Units / -42% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (-9.00 Units / -23% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only covered the Spread in 7 of their last 21 games (-8.40 Units / -37% ROI)

The Los Angeles Chargers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 20 games (-8.40 Units / -36% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.55 Units / 11% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.69 Units / 16% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 21 games (-11.45 Units / -47% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 19 games (-8.15 Units / -39% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games at home (-7.95 Units / -43% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 18 games (-7.75 Units / -37% ROI)

The Seattle Seahawks have only hit the 1H Team Total Over in 7 of their last 19 games (-6.43 Units / -29% ROI)

LAC vs SEA Top User Picks

'manomanomano551' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+3.0)

'manomanomano551' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Over (42.5)

'Jerrybook' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

'Jerrybook' is picking Seattle to cover (-6.5)

'Banker' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

'alayne27' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

'Geo Lazos' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

'Geo Lazos' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

'teedoff_99' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

'teedoff_99' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

'My2bills' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

'My2bills' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (43.5)

'pittsburghphil' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

'pittsburghphil' picks L.A. Chargers vs Seattle to go Under (42.5)

'drizrazz' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+6.5)

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