Jaguars vs Bengals   Picks & Props

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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.2. . Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. With an outstanding record of 209.0 adjusted passing yards per game (78th percentile), Joe Burrow places as one of the best passers in the league since the start of last season.. Joe Burrow is positioned as one of the best precision passers in football this year with a terrific 71.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 87th percentile.

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The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to run on 35.1% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.8 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.. Opposing teams have run for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 82.0 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.. The Jaguars defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 11.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (25.8% in games he has played).. Ja'Marr Chase is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 80.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. The predictive model expects Ja'Marr Chase to notch 11.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (25.8% in games he has played).. Ja'Marr Chase profiles as one of the top WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Mike Gesicki's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the league: 79th percentile for TEs.. Mike Gesicki's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 70.5% to 80.0%.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. In this week's game, Chase Brown is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.2 targets.. With an outstanding 3.6 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Chase Brown ranks as one of the top pass-game running backs in football.. Chase Brown's 90.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.1% figure.

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to run on 35.1% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.8 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.. The Jaguars defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.2. . Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.2. . Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Joe Burrow is positioned as one of the best precision passers in football this year with a terrific 71.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.. In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 39.2. . Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Joe Burrow is positioned as one of the best precision passers in football this year with a terrific 71.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Chase Brown has notched a staggering 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Chase Brown's 90.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a meaningful gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.1% figure.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Ja'Marr Chase has compiled a monstrous 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wideouts.. Ja'Marr Chase's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 69.3% to 73.3%.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 64.9% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. Mike Gesicki has put up a colossal 34.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among tight ends.. Mike Gesicki's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the league: 79th percentile for TEs.

Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.. Trevor Lawrence's 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy progression in his throwing precision over last year's 60.5% figure.. Trevor Lawrence has been one of the top touchdown throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 1.57 per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed a staggering 1.75 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.9%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (85.9%).. The Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.35 per game since the start of last season.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.8 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.. Jacksonville's defense profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season as it relates to generating interceptions, accumulating 1.15 per game.. The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.