Colts vs Commanders   Picks & Props

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The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Commanders defense has been gouged for a massive 258.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the most in the NFL.. Since the start of last season, the poor Washington Commanders defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a massive 9.13 yards.. The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. After comprising 14.8% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Marcus Mariota has been less involved in the run game this year, now comprising only 7.0%.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) due to playing the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week's game.. Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in football (135 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) due to playing the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week's game.. Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in football (135 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to garner 7.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).. Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) due to playing the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week's game.. Jonathan Taylor has totaled a meager -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 10th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is expected by the model to land in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.8 targets.. Josh Downs ranks in the 75th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season with a staggering 20.1% of his team's air yards accumulated.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.9%).

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. The Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (74.0) to tight ends since the start of last season.. The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 10.43 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to garner 7.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) due to playing the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week's game.. While Daniel Jones has garnered 8.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's running game in this game at 14.5%.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Marcus Mariota has averaged 3.7 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in football when it comes to quarterbacks (79th percentile).. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-highest rate in football.. The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-highest rate in football.. Since the start of last season, the poor Commanders defense has yielded a monstrous 2.20 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the largest rate in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-highest rate in football.. The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the most TDs through the air in the league to TEs: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.. The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 84th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 15.1 figure since the start of last season.. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.. With a stellar ratio of 0.09 per game through the air (76th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to running backs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a monstrous 0.20 receiving TDs per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-biggest rate in football.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. Stefon Diggs has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.5% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. Marcus Mariota's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.3% to 65.9%.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. The Colts linebackers profile as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. The Colts linebackers profile as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

A rushing game script is implied by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).. Indianapolis's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) due to playing the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions in this week's game.

The Washington Commanders may pass less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.. The Colts linebackers profile as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.