Indianapolis 3rd AFC South9-8
Cincinnati 4th AFC North9-8
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Indianapolis @ Cincinnati props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Analysis

Tanner Hudson Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

Tanner Hudson
TE • Cincinnati
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
+105

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points. The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 56.2 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league. When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year. The Colts safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Tanner Hudson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points. The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 56.2 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league. When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year. The Colts safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

Ja'Marr Chase
WR • Cincinnati
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-166

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. With an extraordinary 96.9% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league. Ja'Marr Chase comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 7.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.9

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. With an extraordinary 96.9% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league. Ja'Marr Chase comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 7.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Joe Mixon Receptions Made Props • Cincinnati

Joe Mixon
HB • Cincinnati
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+110

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs. With a fantastic 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Joe Mixon rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Joe Mixon

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs. With a fantastic 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Joe Mixon rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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