Indianapolis @ Cincinnati props

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points. The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 56.2 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league. When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year. The Colts safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Zack Moss has gone under 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. With an extraordinary 96.9% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league. Ja'Marr Chase comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 7.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

The Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Jake Browning this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs. With a fantastic 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Joe Mixon rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Josh Downs has gone over 4.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Tee Higgins has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Boyd has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.