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Commanders @ Giants
Over 42.5 points
Over 42.5 points

Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Nov. 10, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

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Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

20.46 @ 19.10

NYG
NYG logo
NYG

Commanders vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

20.46

+2.5 -110

o41.0 -110

+115

NYG logo
NYG
NYG

19.10

-2.5 -105

u41.5 -108

-130

New England @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NE logo
NE
NE

25.11 @ 28.43

DET
DET logo
DET

Patriots vs Lions · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NE logo
NE
NE

25.11

+2.5 +105

o50.5 -120

+130

DET logo
DET
DET

28.43

-2.5 -120

u51.5 -115

-148

Kansas City @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

23.96 @ 23.60

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Chiefs vs Falcons · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

KC logo
KC
KC

23.96

-3.5 +100

o45.0 -110

-176

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

23.60

+3.5 -114

u45.5 -110

+155

Top Projection Michael Penix Jr. u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+110)
u0.5+110
Buffalo @ N.Y. Jets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

26.56 @ 19.80

NYJ
NYJ logo
NYJ

Bills vs Jets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

26.56

-7.5 -110

o50.5 -114

-450

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

19.80

+7.5 -105

u51.0 -109

+370

Miami @ Indianapolis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

17.68 @ 23.83

IND
IND logo
IND

Dolphins vs Colts · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

17.68

+3.5 -110

o37.5 -115

+161

IND logo
IND
IND

23.83

-3.5 +100

u38.5 -108

-175

Top Projection Daniel Jones o188.5 Passing Yards (-115)
o188.5-115
Minnesota @ Green Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

17.52 @ 24.49

GB
GB logo
GB

Vikings vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

17.52

+3.5 -105

o41.5 -110

+155

GB logo
GB
GB

24.49

-3.5 +100

u42.5 -109

-170

Top Projection Jordan Love o1.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
o1.5-120
Carolina @ New Orleans
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

25.21 @ 24.74

NO
NO logo
NO

Panthers vs Saints · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

25.21

+2.5 -107

o48.0 -115

+113

NO logo
NO
NO

24.74

-2.5 -108

u49.5 -110

-120

Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

JAC logo
JAC
JAC

26.83 @ 17.15

TEN
TEN logo
TEN

Jaguars vs Titans · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

JAC logo
JAC
JAC

26.83

-10.5 -105

o45.5 -118

-549

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

17.15

+10.5 -108

u46.5 -110

+460

Top Projection Tony Pollard o55.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o55.5-115
Houston @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

21.32 @ 17.27

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Texans vs Browns · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

21.32

-4.5 -110

o39.5 -112

-225

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

17.27

+4.5 -105

u40.0 -110

+200

Seattle @ Las Vegas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

23.88 @ 19.72

LV
LV logo
LV

Seahawks vs Raiders · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

23.88

-5.5 -120

o40.5 -110

-278

LV logo
LV
LV

19.72

+5.5 -103

u41.0 -110

+250

Top Projection Brock Bowers o55.5 Receiving Yards (-140)
o55.5-140
L.A. Rams @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LA logo
LA
LA

25.35 @ 17.25

ARI
ARI logo
ARI

Rams vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LA logo
LA
LA

25.35

-8.5 -114

o39.5 -107

-425

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

17.25

+8.5 -108

u40.5 -115

+360

Top Projection Kyren Williams u66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
u66.5-115
San Francisco @ Dallas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

28.78 @ 25.26

DAL
DAL logo
DAL

49ers vs Cowboys · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

SF logo
SF
SF

28.78

-3.5 -114

o55.5 -105

-205

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

25.26

+3.5 -104

u56.5 -113

+183

Top Projection Brock Purdy o20.5 Rushing Yards (+105)
o17.5-115
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

19.92 @ 26.47

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Steelers vs Bengals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

19.92

+3.5 -109

o48.5 -110

+164

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

26.47

-3.5 -105

u49.5 -110

-175

Top Projection Joe Burrow Score a Touchdown (Yes: +700)
+700
L.A. Chargers @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

18.55 @ 21.79

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Chargers vs Ravens · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

18.55

+5.5 -112

o37.5 -113

+190

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

21.79

-5.5 -109

u39.5 -118

-205

Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ New York Giants image thumbnail NYG Thu, Nov 12 • 8:15 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Isaiah Likely logo Isaiah Likely o46.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Isaiah Likely has been productive no matter who's playing quarterback for the Giants, averaging 56 receiving yards and clearing 50 in five of eight games. His best outing? Eleven catches for 94 yards against Washington in Week 5. The Commanders have allowed 68.75 receiving yards per game to tight ends, fourth-most in football.

Anytime Touchdown
Austin Ekeler logo Austin Ekeler Score a Touchdown (Yes: +355)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Giants rank dead last in opponent red-zone touchdown conversion rate, and I’m looking to Austin Ekeler to take advantage. He’s priced at just 21% on Kalshi compared to 34% for Rachaad White, despite getting one more touch than White last week. With their workloads this close, that price gap is too big for me to ignore.

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New England Patriots image thumbnail NE @ Detroit Lions image thumbnail DET Sun, Nov 15 • 9:30 AM ET
Total
New England Patriots image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail u51.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Patriots’ thinning pass protection has thrown quarterback Drake Maye into the fire. He’s been sacked nine times in the last three games, with four coming on Sunday. Detroit’s defense is second overall in sacks (27) and ranks among the Top 10 teams in pressure rate and pass rush win rate at EPSN. The Lions lit up the scoreboard for 164 points in the opening five games but have put up tallies of 19, 19 and 20 points in their last three outings. However, we’re still seeing Detroit draw tall totals, like the one in Munich. 

Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta logo
Sam LaPorta o43.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 51.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Lions are projected by the projection model to call 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 60.8 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. With a top-tier 83.9% Route% (94th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta has been among the TEs with the highest volume in football.. In this week's game, Sam LaPorta is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 90th percentile among tight ends with 6.1 targets.
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Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC @ Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail ATL Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC -3.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I’m confident in the Chiefs below the key number of 4 because the Kansas City defense is going to be the difference in this game. In particular, I expect the Chiefs to win on third downs and in the red zone. Kansas City has allowed the 10th-lowest third-down conversation rate and allows opponents to score in the red zone at the second-lowest clip. Offensively, the Falcons convert on third downs at the sixth-lowest rate while turning red-zone trips into touchdowns at middling, 15th-ranked clip. Additionally, Kansas City has allowed the sixth-lowest explosive play percentage, and Atlanta quarterback Michael Pinex Jr. ranks 25th in EPA per play while the Falcons are 26th in offensive DVOA over the past two weeks.

Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson o27.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 34.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 129.3 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to earn 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
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Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF @ New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF -7.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With the Jets allowing the highest EPA per dropback across the past four weeks, my first Week 10 click is on the Bills. New York is a candidate to unload veterans ahead of the trade deadline, and Buffalo heads into Monday Night Football in Week 9 averaging the most points per game while ranking third in offensive DVOA. The Bills pull away in Week 10, and I suspect this number will dip closer to a double-digit spread by Sunday.

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Miami Dolphins image thumbnail MIA @ Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail IND Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o189.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 234.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a whopping 59.9 per game on average).. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Dolphins defense this year (81.2% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the porous Dolphins defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 9.07 yards.. The Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.
Rushing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o9.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Projection 13.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Colts have been the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 40.6% run rate.. The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a whopping 59.9 per game on average).. The Dolphins linebackers profile as the 6th-worst group of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
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Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN @ Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o1.5 Rushing Yards (-120) Projection 5.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
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Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC @ Tennessee Titans image thumbnail TEN Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o55.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Projection 69.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.5% run rate.. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to earn 18.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Tony Pollard has earned 71.6% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Tony Pollard has run for many more adjusted yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).. With a stellar tally of 3.53 yards after contact (81st percentile), Tony Pollard rates among the toughest RBs in the league this year.
Anytime Touchdown
Bhayshul Tuten logo
Bhayshul Tuten Score a Touchdown (Yes: -135) Projection 0.72 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, the weak Tennessee Titans defense has allowed a whopping 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.
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Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail SEA @ Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail LV Sun, Nov 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o57.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 72.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -4.5-point underdog this week.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Rushing Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o33.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Projection 40.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Seattle's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
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Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA @ Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI Sun, Nov 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Total
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail u47.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rams returned Myles Garrett in Week 9, and this stop unit instantly got a shot in the arm, scoring four sacks and two takeaways. Los Angeles took down Washington 20-13 and stayed well short of the closing total of 47.5 points. The Arizona Cardinals aren’t providing much push back. They’re fine with either Gardner Minshew or rookie Carson Beck under center after trading Jacoby Brissett last week. That’s asking a lot of those QBs, considering the porous pass protection.

Rushing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (+110) Projection 2.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.67 seconds per snap.. Matthew Stafford's 6.84 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a significant progression in his rushing talent over last season's 6.06 mark.. This year, the feeble Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a colossal 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
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San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF @ Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL Sun, Nov 15 • 4:25 PM ET
Moneyline
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF (-205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Dallas’ defense isn’t ready for the 49ers’ jelly, and this Kyle Shanahan vs. Brian Schottenheimer/Christian Parker matchup is about as one-sided as Godzilla vs. Bambi. San Francisco could also have some WRs back in action just in time to shred the Cowboys’ Swiss-cheese secondary.

Spread
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF -4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This spread is going to swell quickly with early play on the Niners pushing the line through dead numbers and likely landing on San Francisco -6 at some point this week. Dallas’ defense isn’t ready for the 49ers’ jelly and this Kyle Shanahan vs. Brian Schottenheimer/Christian Parker matchup is about as one-sided as Godzilla vs. Bambi (Google it). San Fran could also have some WRs back in action just time to shred the Cowboys’ Swiss-cheese secondary.

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Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail PIT @ Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN Sun, Nov 15 • 8:20 PM ET
Spread
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN -3.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Bengals have allowed the fourth-lowest rushing success rate through three games out of their Week 6 bye, and the Cinny offense is clicking with 37.3 points per game and the highest EPA per dropback during the stretch. Pittsburgh entered its Week 9 bye relying on the running game while ranked 22nd in passing DVOA with the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, so look for the Cincinnati defense to make enough stops for the offense to pull away in this critical AFC North bout.

Receiving Yards
Germie Bernard logo
Germie Bernard o48.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 55.75 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.
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For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

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If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

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