NFL Player of the Year Odds 2026-27

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 1, 2026 , 12:21 PM ET • 4 min read

Looking at the latest NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, and more for the 2026-27 season.

Houston Texans NFL Will Anderson Jr.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Texans defensive lineman Will Anderson Jr.

The 2026-27 NFL season is underway, and the NFL odds for various year-end honors are fluctuating wildly by the week!

Let's take a look at how some of the major races are developing and give out some free NFL picks.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Jahmyr Gibbs is coming off a breakout season with the Detroit Lions, topping 1,000 rushing yards while adding more than 500 receiving yards. If the first two games of the new season are any indication, he'll blow those numbers away this year.

Gibbs erupted for 164 all-purpose yards and three touchdowns in Detroit's Week 3 win over the Jets, becoming the first player in NFL history to record at least 300 rushing yards, four rushing TDs, 150 receiving yards, and two receiving scores through his first three games of a season.

Meanwhile, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has picked up right where he left off after winning Offensive Player of the Year last season, as the Seattle Seahawks wide receiver JSN sits atop the NFL in receiving yards (405).

Kenneth Walker III is another name to watch after an impressive first three games with the Kansas City Chiefs, with the reigning Super Bowl MVP boasting a league-leading 360 rushing yards.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year pick: Jonathan Taylor

5% probability at Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor looked set to run away with OPOY honors last year, as the Indianapolis Colts running back was the odds-on favorite through the first half of the campaign.

Despite the team’s struggles down the stretch, the Colts’ running back still finished with the second-most rushing yards in the NFL, falling just 26 short of James Cook.

Backed by a stout offensive line and a two-year, $44 million extension, Taylor remains a solid pick in a run-heavy offense. 

Pick made on Aug. 1.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Saquon Barkley: 16.7%
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 10%
  • Ja'Marr Chase: 8.3%
  • Derrick Henry: 6.7%
  • Bijan Robinson: 6.7%

NFL Offensive Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Offensive Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL OPOY winner Position
2025 Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
2024 Eagles Saquon Barkley RB
2023 49ers Christian McCaffrey RB
2022 Vikings Justin Jefferson WR
2021 Rams Cooper Kupp WR

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NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Myles Garrett was essentially booted from the race after a quiet Week 1 performance before ultimately landing on IR to undergo minor knee surgery. According to the latest reports, the Los Angeles Rams superstar is now expected to miss six weeks.

Will Anderson Jr. is now the name to watch after finishing second to Garrett in last year's DPOY voting. The Houston Texans edge rusher led the league in QB hurries and recorded three forced fumbles in 2025, and he now trails only Greg Rousseau in sacks.

Aidan Hutchinson has also made an early push for the award, already racking up three sacks for the Detroit Lions.

NFL Defensive Player of the Year pick: Greg Rousseau

12% probability at Kalshi

Rousseau has been on a tear to open the season, leading the league with six sacks through three games.

With the Buffalo Bills one of only three undefeated teams in the NFL, Rousseau's odds could shorten quickly if they keep stacking wins. 

Pick made on Oct. 1

NFL Defensive Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Aidan Hutchinson: 12.5%
  • T.J. Watt: 11.8%
  • Myles Garrett: 11.1%
  • Micah Parsons: 10.5%
  • Maxx Crosby: 7.7%

NFL Defensive Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Defensive Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL DPOY winner Position
2025 Browns Myles Garrett DE
2024 Broncos Patrick Surtain II CB
2023 Browns Myles Garrett DE
2022 49ers Nick Bosa DE
2021 Steelers T.J. Watt LB

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NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds 2026-27

Kansas City Chiefs superstar Patrick Mahomes has looked no worse for wear since returning from a torn ACL and LCL.

Although the two-time MVP was largely conservative in Week 1, Mahomes has quickly found his rhythm. After torching Indianapolis for 382 yards and three touchdowns, he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards and two scores against Miami to keep KC undefeated.

Kyler Murray returned from his Week 1 concussion as the Minnesota Vikings secured a road win over Tampa Bay, but he had little to do with the victory. The former first overall pick completed just 51.7% of his passes for 168 yards as the Vikings' elite defense carried the load.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year pick: Kyler Murray

15% probability at Kalshi

The most intriguing challenger to Mahomes is Murray, who gets a fresh start with the Vikings after playing just five games in 2025. He’ll benefit from playing under QB whisperer Kevin O’Connell, who helped completely transform Sam Darnold during his time in Minnesota.

If O’Connell can help Murray rediscover that level of play, the former No. 1 overall pick should emerge as Mahomes’ biggest challenger. 

Pick made on Aug. 1

NFL Comeback Player of the Year opening odds 2026-27

  • Patrick Mahomes: 36.4%
  • Kyler Murray: 13.3%
  • Micah Parsons: 6.7%
  • Malik Nabers: 5.9%
  • Daniel Jones: 5.9%

NFL Comeback Player of the Year recent winners

Here's a look at the recent Comeback Player of the Year Award results via Sports Odds History:

Year NFL CPOY winner Position
2025 49ers Christian McCaffrey RB
2024 Bengals Joe Burrow QB
2023 Browns Joe Flacco QB
2022 Seahawks Geno Smith QB
2021 Bengals Joe Burrow QB

NFL MVP odds 2026-27

For analysis of the NFL MVP race, plus our NFL MVP predictions, visit our NFL MVP odds page!


NFL Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds 2026-27

Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

For analysis of the races for NFL OROY and DROY, plus our NFL Rookie of the Year predictions, visit our NFL Rookie of the Year odds page!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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