Seahawks vs Titans Odds, Picks, and Predictions Week 16: Not Made of Titanium

Coming off an epic Monday night win, the Seattle Seahawks will pack their bags and head to Tennessee this week to face the Titans as a 2.5-point favorite in a game that could see both clubs starting different quarterbacks than Week 15. 

With a possible Ryan Tannehill start on the horizon and coming off another poor offensive performance, should bettors continue to fade this Tenessee offense in Week 16?

I break down the Week 16 NFL odds and offer my free NFL picks for Seahawks vs. Titans on December 24. 

Seahawks vs Titans odds

Seahawks vs Titans predictions

Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis suffered an ankle injury in Week 15 on the final offensive play and heads into this week very questionable. Mike Vrabel has told reporters that it will be Ryan Tannehill under center if he can’t go which isn’t a big downgrade, but possibly enough to move this number to Seattle -3. 

Levis told the media on Wednesday that if he can, he will play, but he didn't practice.

The #Titans will start Ryan Tannehill on Sunday vs. the Seahawks if Will Levis can't go due to his ankle injury.

Levis will not practice today. pic.twitter.com/CwufazTwze

— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 20, 2023

It was already an offense that was struggling to do much even with a strong-armed young QB. The Titans had a very good offensive matchup last week vs. a Texans defense that was missing some bodies and Vrabel’s group managed just 204 total yards on 3.2 yards per play.

When Tannehill was healthy and running this offense, this team went 2-4 SU and scored one or fewer touchdowns in all four of those losses. 

Derrick Henry had 10 yards on 20 total touches last week in arguably his worst showing in a declining career and since Levis took over, this is the No.23 offense in success rate. 

The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a big win and on a short week, but I can’t get behind this Tennessee offense with the quarterback issues and the poor pass protection.

Levis was sacked seven times last game which brings his total to 27 over eight games in an offense with a low pass rate. Tannehill also was free-picking for opposing pass rushes as the veteran took 19 sacks over 158 pass attempts. The Seahawks should tilt this game in their favor with their advantage vs. the Titans’ offensive line.

With Seattle likely getting Geno Smith back, this Seahawks offense should be playing with the ball more and decreasing the overall play volume from the Titans. This was already an offense struggling to extend drives with the 28th-ranked third-down conversion percentage and score inside the 20 with a red-zone TD% of 43.9% which is the second-worst rate in the league. 

This is also one of the worst second-half teams in football as the Titans have hit the 2H moneyline just three times over their last 17 games. 

I’d play this team total Under at 19.5 at -115 or better, but jumping on this early at Under 20.5 (-125). The buy on the other side of 20 is worth the tax. Tennesse is -210 on their Under 2.5 total TDs. I’m good with this number with a hobbled Levis or Tannehill. 

My best bet: Titans team total Under 20.5 (-125 at Caesars)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

Seahawks vs Titans same-game parlay

Titans team total Under 20.5 points

Tyjae Spears Over 27.5 rushing yards

Tyler Lockett Over 49.5 receiving yards

+800 at bet365

I'm getting a couple of good multipliers here. First is the one between the two Tennessee plays as Tyjae Spears' modest rushing Over isn't a big threat to the team total but I'm still getting +325 for the pair when the true odds are +249.

Derrick Henry did nothing last week and the backup has been the better rusher on the season. The next play is turning this into +800 when the true odds are +568. It's a multiplier because the Seahawks are projected to win in my SGP with the TEN TT Under but there are lots of outs where Tyler Lockett, who had nine targets last week and gets Geno back, can hit the 50-yard mark. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Seahawks vs Titans spread and Over/Under analysis

The Seahawks were -1.5 on the look-ahead but are getting some money mid-week which is making some expensive -2.5s and even some -3s. 

This is a spread that is working on both sides of the matchup. Geno Smith is trending towards playing after almost getting the nod on Monday. Drew Lock did nothing with this offense for three quarters on Monday and the difference between the two is close to a field goal but the opening line of -2.5 is indicating a Geno start. 

On the other side. Will Levis hurt his ankle on his last play in Week 15 and is very questionable heading into the weekend. Vrabel already told the media that it will be Tannehill if Levis can’t go which isn’t a great vote of confidence on Levis’ availability.

Levis is worth more than Tannehill on the spread and if Malik Willis somehow gets the nod, this spread will move past the -3 to -3.5 territory. 

The market has bet into this Under as well. It was 44 on the look-ahead, re-opened at 42.5, and hit a market low of 41 on Wednesday. There are some double-digit winds (12 mph) and a low chance of rain that might also be playing into the Under money flooding in, but total bettors are fading this Tennessee offense after an awful showing last week in a great matchup vs. the Texans at home. 

On the injury side of things, the Titans lost corner Sean Murphy-Bunting last week. He missed two weeks this year and the Titans were outscored 40-22 by the Jags and Bucs in a pair of losses. The Titans are not deep at this position. 

There is plenty of movement coming in this game with QB questions on both sides, but as of mid-week, my best case is Geno vs. Tannehill which I think this spread and total are indicating as well. If Levis is in, this could still close at a cheap -2.5.  

Seahawks vs Titans betting trend to know

The Tennessee Titans have only hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 20 games (-7.30 Units / -33% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Titans.

Seahawks vs Titans game info

Seahawks vs Titans latest injuries

Seahawks vs Titans weather

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