Saturday night Pac-12 football brings a banged-up Oregon State squad to Albertsons Stadium as a 14.5-point underdog against one of the nation's most explosive rushing attacks.
My Oregon State vs. Boise State prediction and college football picks back the Broncos to handle business and cover the number on Nov. 14.
TOP PICK
Who will win Oregon State vs Boise State: Boise State -14.5
Oregon State will likely be without starting quarterback Braden Atkinson, who is listed as doubtful with a hand injury. Senior backup Maalik Murphy is expected to get the start.
Murphy has attempted just 19 passes this season, completing 16 for 156 yards. He made eight starts for the Beavers last season, but it's been well over a year since his last one. It'll be interesting to see how he performs with that much time between starts.
The Broncos should take care of business, as they've been rolling since their Week 1 loss to Oregon. Boise State ranks 15th in scoring margin, winning by an average of 13.8 points per game. Drawing a defense that's allowing over 180 rushing yards per game, while ranking seventh nationally in rushing yards per game, should have this offense foaming at the mouth.
Dig for -13.5, or -14, as getting the key number is crucial, especially with both defenses being a bit shaky.
COVERS INTEL: Oregon State runs one of the fastest-paced offenses in the country, ranking just outside the Top 10 in seconds per play. The Beavers should speed things up enough that even Boise State's painfully slow offense will have plenty of scoring opportunities.
Oregon State vs Boise State Over/Under pick: Over 64.5
Boise State running back Dylan Riley should look like Ashton Jeanty on Saturday.
The junior has averaged nearly 140 rushing yards per game this season and now draws his easiest matchup since rushing for 206 yards against Memphis. The Tigers rank 123rd nationally in rushing yards allowed per game, while the Beavers rank 107th.
Even with Oregon State turning to its backup quarterback to keep pace with Boise State's explosive offense, neither defense has been particularly effective at stopping opponents from moving the ball. The Broncos are still allowing 25 points and 390 yards per game, along with 6.3 yards per play.
Points shouldn't be at a premium in this matchup, but don't take this total any higher.
Oregon State vs Boise State combo
We're backing Boise State -14.5 and the Over 64.5 for a 3.73x payout. Riley should have plenty of running room against a vulnerable Beavers defense.
Expect points on both sides, making this a fun Saturday sweat!
Oregon State vs Boise State combo
- Boise State -14.5
- Over 64.5
- Top picks: 79-60, +17.70 units
Oregon State vs Boise State odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Oregon State +14.5 | Boise State -14.5
- Over/Under: Over 64.5 (52%) | Under 64.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Oregon State 16% | Boise State 84%
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Oregon State vs Boise State weather
Temperatures will sit in the high 40s for this matchup, but wind and rain shouldn't be factors.
Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Oregon State vs Boise State trend to know
Boise State has hit the 1H Over in 10 of its last 14 games (+5.47 Units / 35% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Oregon State vs. Boise State.
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How to watch Oregon State vs Boise State
| Location | Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Oregon State vs Boise State latest injuries
Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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