Utah vs Arizona Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 11

Nick Galaida - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Nick Galaida • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 13, 2026 , 11:25 AM ET • 4 min read

Our expert believes Utah's perfect season is in danger in the desert.

ncaaf

Match starts: 26 hrs
Utah vs Arizona Predictions NCAAF Dash Fifita
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arizona Wildcats linebacker Dash Fifita.

Utah enters play an unblemished 9-0, but will have one of its toughest tests of the season on Saturday, Nov. 14 when they visit Arizona at Casino Del Sol Stadium.

My Utah vs. Arizona predictions and college football picks have the Wildcats pulling off an upset.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on FOX, with Utah favored by 2.5 points with the total at 54.5 points.

 TOP PICK
Who will win Utah vs Arizona: Arizona +2.5

Playable to 51%.

Utah is unbeaten this season, but has been on upset alert late in a few games during the last month.

BYU had a 59.7% win probability against them midway through the third quarter last weekend, but committed four turnovers in a one-score loss.

Houston had a 74.7% win probability in the second half two weeks before that, but had three turnovers in the fourth quarter in an eventual Utah comeback win.

Even Colorado had Utah sweating, holding a 17-13 lead late in the third quarter when those teams met in mid-October.

Arizona isn't a team that is going to blow many late leads. If the Utes are trailing late in the game this weekend, it could mean the end of their undefeated season.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Arizona's defense is 34th in success rate allowed, the second-best unit Utah has faced in 2026.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google


Utah vs Arizona Over/Under pick: Under 54.5

Playable to 51%.

Devin Dampier has strong surface-level statistics this season — 20 touchdowns, seven interceptions — but has struggled against better competition.

Facing No. 14 Houston and No. 9 BYU, Dampier has completed only 32-of-52 pass attempts for 381 yards. He has an underwhelming 2-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio in those games. 

More importantly, Dampier has been one of the most pressure-sensitive quarterbacks in college football. In 2025, he averaged 8.3 yards per attempt and completed 71.1% of his pass attempts when kept clean, but only 4.0 yards per attempt with a 32.4% completion rate when pressured. He's only made marginal improvements in this area in 2026, completing 52.4% of passes and posting a 7-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The Wildcats generated a 39.3% defensive pressure rate against No. 13 Texas Tech two weeks ago. Expect Arizona's defense to do enough to keep this game Under the total.


Utah vs Arizona combo

Playable to 31%.

Arizona's best chance of delivering an upset this weekend is by getting pressure on Dampier, forcing short drives, and giving their offense a chance to control the clock. The Wildcats' defense has excelled in recent weeks getting after the quarterback — if they can do that again this weekend, they will have a chance to prevail in a lower-scoring affair.

Utah vs Arizona combo

  • Arizona moneyline
  • Under 54.5
Nick Galaida's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 10-8, +1.40 units
  • Combos: 8-12, +6.57 units
📱 DOWNLOAD THE COVERS APP FOR MORE EXPERT PICKS

Utah vs Arizona odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Utah -2.5 | Arizona +2.5
  • Over/Under: Over 54.5 (52%) | Under 54.5 (49%)
  • Moneyline: Utah 56% | Arizona 44%

For the full slate of college football matchups, check out our college football odds board!

More Covers college football betting tools


Utah vs Arizona weather

The forecast this weekend in Tucson looks uneventful, with the temperature in the mid-60s and no precipitation expected during this game.

Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Utah vs Arizona trend to know

Arizona has hit the moneyline in eight of its last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Utah vs. Arizona.

Get in on the college football action with Kalshi promo code MAX60 if you're in the US,
or our BET99 promo code COVERS99 if you're in Canada.

How to watch Utah vs Arizona

Location Casino Del Sol, Tucson, Ariz.
Date Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Utah vs Arizona latest injuries

Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst

Nick Galaida is a failed high school pitcher who attended Baldwin Wallace University, where he figured out he's better at analyzing sports than playing them.

Following a brief stint in corporate consulting after graduation, he left for the betting industry and hasn't looked back. Over the last 10 years, he's contributed to Phil Steele, RotoGrinders, FTN, Action Network, VegasInsider, PropBomb, FantasyLabs, and Pickswise.

To his friends, he's better known as "The Commish." He covers MLB, NBA, NFL, college football, and the WNBA.

When he's not making a bet or writing about one, he's usually nose-deep in a book — further illustrating that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete.

Nick prefers betting at Novig and Kalshi and believes prediction markets are the future of the industry, mostly because exchanges don't punish winners.

You can find all of his plays and more @CommishFilmRoom on Twitter/X.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo