For the first time in over a decade, Texas and Ole Miss meet today at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas, at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC).
The lines on Kalshi have the Longhorns favored by 3.5 at home with the total at 53.5, and despite back-to-back losses, my Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction and college football picks project Arch Manning to pull off a win against his namesake's alma mater.
For the rest of today's slate, see our Week 8 college football top picks and Brad Powers' Week 8 predictions.
TOP PICK
Who will win Ole Miss vs Texas today? Pick: Texas -3.5
Archie Manning never played against Texas, but Arch Manning has the chance to lead the Longhorns to their first win against his grandfather and uncle's alma mater since 2012. It's a good time to buy low on a Texas team I would take to cover up to -5.5 at home against Ole Miss.
While the Longhorns have lost two straight, they still have the clear defensive advantage, even with Colin Simmons unlikely to play. The Texas defense ranks sixth nationally in available yards percentage (31.2%) and 14th in havoc rate (20%). Check the college football injury report for Simmons' status before kickoff.
Meanwhile, the Ole Miss defense struggled in ranked matchups away from home, allowing 90 points across two games.
It's a big ask for Trinidad Chambliss to make up for his own defense again against one of the top defenses in the country. Chambliss is coming off arguably his worst game of the season, too (80.4 QBR, 65.7% adjusted completion percentage vs. Missouri). For more spread plays, see our college football Week 8 picks against the spread.
COVERS INTEL: The Texas defense has allowed just four TD passes this season and ranks No. 3 nationally in net adjusted EPA per play. It's arguably the best defense Chambliss has faced.
Ole Miss vs Texas Over/Under pick: Over 53.5
While Texas' defensive advantage should make the difference in a Longhorns win, I'm expecting enough points to be scored for the Over to hit at 54.5 or better.
The Ole Miss defense ranks 65th nationally in success rate (43.5%) and 89th in net EPA per drive, while allowing the most yards per game in the SEC (390). It's been at its worst away from home, allowing 35.6 points per game outside Oxford, helping the Over in all three of those games.
But the Rebels have arguably the best QB in the country in Chambliss, who ranks top 20 in QBR (83.4) and TD passes (14). He and Kewan Lacy should move Ole Miss' offense with enough consistency for the Over to hit. I like Texas to win 31-24. For more totals, see our college football Week 8 Over/Under picks.
Ole Miss vs Texas prop: Texas team total Over 27.5
While Pete Golding is a defensive coach, his team's defense has been sporadic at best this season. In four games against ranked opponents, Ole Miss is allowing 29.2 points per game, which is why I like Texas' team total Over at 28.5 or better.
Ole Miss' defense ranks outside the top 75 in EPA per pass, EPA per rush, and early-down EPA per play. It's really struggled away from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, allowing 38+ points and over 460 yards in two of its three games away from home.
The biggest issue for Ole Miss is stopping the run. The Rebels have allowed the most rushing yards per game in the SEC (153.5). That should help Steve Sarkisian take pressure off Manning by leaning on his running backs.
Ole Miss vs Texas combo
This is the No. 2 must-watch game in my Top 25 predictions for Week 8, with Manning and Sarkisian looking for redemption and needing to cool down their seats.
While Chambliss is my midseason first-team All-American QB, Ole Miss can't keep getting away with relying on him to carry it to wins, and allowing 29.2 points per game against ranked teams will catch up to the Rebels.
Without Simmons, this Texas defense will take a step back, but not a big enough step for Ole Miss to light it up and make up for its own defensive woes. Games away from home have been unkind to the Rebels, especially their defense, and I think Manning, Sarkisian, and the Longhorns offense will rise to the occasion to take advantage. For player-level angles, see our Week 8 college football player props and anytime touchdown picks.
Ole Miss vs Texas combo
- Texas -3.5
- Over 53.5
More multi-leg plays are in our Week 8 college football parlays and combos.
- Top picks: 15-11, +2.41 units
- Combos: 7-19, +1.47 units
More Week 8 college football picks
These Covers pages cover multiple games on today's Week 8 slate.
- Week 8 college football top picks for today
- Brad Powers' Week 8 college football predictions and best bets
- Week 8 college football AI predictions
- Week 8 Top 25 college football predictions with watchability ratings
- Week 8 Group of 6 college football predictions
- Week 8 college football picks against the spread
- Week 8 college football moneyline picks
- Week 8 college football Over/Under picks
- Week 8 college football parlays and combos
- Week 8 college football anytime touchdown picks
- Week 8 college football player props
Ole Miss vs Texas odds today
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Ole Miss +3.5 | Texas -3.5
- Over/Under: Over 53.5 (51%) | Under 53.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Ole Miss 42% | Texas 58%
For straight-up plays across the slate, see our college football Week 8 moneyline picks. If you prefer to trade the game, college football markets are available on Kalshi.
For the full slate of today's college football matchups, see our college football odds board.
More Covers college football betting tools
Ole Miss vs Texas weather
Weather isn't expected to have any impact on the game in Austin tonight.
Our college football weather page has up-to-date info on every matchup.
Ole Miss vs Texas trend to know
The Over is 6-0 in Ole Miss' last six games as a road underdog. Find more college football betting trends for Ole Miss vs. Texas, or see our Week 8 college football AI predictions for a model-based read on the slate.
or our BET99 promo code COVERS99 if you're in Canada.
How to watch Ole Miss vs Texas
| Location | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas |
| Date | Today, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Ole Miss vs Texas latest injuries
Our college football injuries page has updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
