Seattle Seahawks 2021 NFL Betting Preview: Can the Seahawks Overcome Their Identity Crisis?

The Seahawks have been among the NFL's most consistent teams, but with tension simmering between Russell Wilson and the team, and question marks on defense, is this the year they slide into mediocrity? Find out in our Seattle season betting preview.

Posted: Jul 22, 2021 5:39 PM ET Updated: Jul 22, 2021 5:39 PM ET Est Time: 5 min
Russell Wilson Seattle Seahawks NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks have been the gatekeepers of the NFC West for some time now and added another divisional crown last year, finishing with a 12-4 SU record but an 8-8 mark against the spread. 

Seven of those 2020 victories came via a touchdown or less and that drama is something Seahawks bettors are accustomed to, with 16 of the team’s 23 wins over the past two seasons coming by seven or fewer points. Will those thrilling wins turn to heartbreaking losses with the rest of the division getting better?

Check out our 2021 Seattle Seahawks NFL betting preview.

Seattle Seahawks futures odds

Futures Bet Odds
Super Bowl +3,000
To Win Conference +1,500
To Win Division +275
Season Win Total O/U 9.5 (Over -130)

Best futures bet: Under 9.5 wins (+110)

According to bookmakers, the Seahawks are point spread favorites in only nine games this season (with one pick’em on the board) and three of those spreads are at a field goal or less. For all the hype around the infamous “12s” inside Lumen Field, Seattle has been a better road team since Russell Wilson showed up (42-28-1 SU away as of 2012). But the 2021 slate, which ranks T-11th in SOS, has many of the Seahawks’ toughest matchups away from the Emerald City. 

Seattle Seahawks betting overview

What will win bets: Passing game

Wanna keep Russ happy? Keep him clean and keep him busy. That’s the plan laid out by new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, who will institute more play-action and utilize Wilson’s mobility and mind-blowing accuracy when throwing on the run. Receiver DK Metcalf exploded in Year 2 in the pros and will see even more touches if Pete Carroll can take his damn hands off the wheel.

What will lose bets: Defense

Seattle’s stop unit gave up 30.4 points per game in the first eight outings of the season then suddenly slammed the door in the second half of the schedule, allowing a mere 16 points per contest. I’m calling bullshit. Here are the QBs the Seahawks faced in those final eight games: Jared Goff x2, Kyler Murray (injured shoulder), Carson Wentz, Colt McCoy, Sam Darnold, Dwayne Haskins, and C.J. Beathard. Little was done to improve this defensive group this offseason. Seattle backers will curse them. Over bettors should send them a fruit basket.

Seattle Seahawks game-by-game odds

It’s wild to think Seattle is a point spread favorite only once in the first six games of the season (with a pick’em in there). Things could snowball quickly if the Seahawks get off to a rough start. They play three of their first four on the road and four of six away from home to start the year. All that Wilson drama from back in the winter could come bubbling to the surface if the losses start stacking up.

Week Opponent Spread Total
1 @ Indianapolis +3 52
2 vs Tennessee  -3.5 49.5
3 @ Minnesota +1.5 48
4 @ San Francisco +3.5 46.5
5 vs L.A. Rams PK 48
6 @ Pittsburgh +2.5 48
7 vs New Orleans -3 48
8 vs Jacksonville -7.5 48
9 BYE
10 @ Green Bay +3 49.5
11 vs Arizona -3.5 50.5
12 @ Washington -2.5 46.5
13 vs San Francisco -1.5 45.5
14 @ Houston -7 48.5
15 @ L.A. Rams +4 48
16 vs Chicago -5.5 45
17 vs Detroit -9.5 45
18 @ Arizona +2 49

Early season forecast

The 2021 opener finds Seattle inside the fast track at Lucas Oil Stadium, getting 2.5 points from the Colts in this 1 p.m. ET Week 1 start. This total is a lofty 52 points, and the Seahawks are an incredible 15-2 Over/Under in non-conference road games since Wilson became QB1 in 2012. That said, you have a Seahawks offense working in a new coordinator and Indy breaking in a new QB in Carson Wentz. 

Week 2 is the return of the “12s” to Lumen Field after being locked out during the pandemic-stricken 2020 campaign. Seattle is giving 3.5 points to the visiting Titans and is 16-2 SU (11-7 ATS) at home versus non-conference foes since 2012. Seattle hasn’t lost a home opener in that span, going 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS. 

A trip to Minnesota awaits the Seahawks in Week 3, where bookies have set them as slight road underdogs. Seattle is a remarkable 17-8-2 ATS as a road dog in Wilson’s tenure as the No. 1 passer but a road trip to San Francisco in Week 4 could set the stage for a lookahead versus the Vikings.

Spot bet

Week 8 vs Jacksonville -7.5

There are a few things that make this a dangerous spot for the Seahawks:

1. Based on the slog that is the first seven games of the schedule, Seattle could be in bad shape and looking ahead to a much-needed bye in Week 9

2. The Jags have plenty of inside intel on their Week 8 foes, with four former Seattle assistants on Urban Meyer’s staff, including former offensive coordinators Darrell Bevell and Brian Schottenheimer.

3. The Seahawks are on a short week and a possible letdown spot after a Monday Night Football shootout with the Saints in Week 7.

4. That half-point hook on the touchdown spread could just be enough to burn Seattle bettors. And we’re well aware of how the Seahawks love them some one-score games.

Totals tip

The identity crisis that was the Seahawks’ 2020 season manifested itself into some wild swings in Over/Under results. Seattle went 6-2 O/U in the first half of the calendar and 1-7 O/U in the back half of the schedule.

Books are bracing for a pile of points, with a couple of 50-plus numbers showing up in the lookahead totals and three others at 49 or 49.5. If the playbook goes pass-heavy like Wilson wants and the defense stinks as bad as I think it will, those numbers will be on the rise. 

Star power props: DK Metcalf, WR

Player prop Odds to win
MVP +12,500
Receiving leader +1,100
Receiving yards total 1,350.5 (Over -130)

Best prop: Over 1,350.5 receiving yards (-130)

Metcalf mashed his way to 1,303 receiving yards in 2020 but when the Seahawks’ offense had the power pulled, so did DK’s big-play production. He was on pace for over 1,500 yards in the first eight games (788 total yards on 43 catches) but mustered just 515 yards despite catching only three fewer balls in the second half of the season. 

With Waldron looking to push the tempo with the pass game – a hard break from Carroll’s run-heavy philosophies – Metcalf will see an uptick in targets. Even with teams throwing extra bodies at him, the 6-foot-4 freak of nature will eclipse this modest player prop.

Trend to know

The Seahawks are 8-2 ATS as divisional road underdogs since 2012 and catch points at L.A., San Francisco and Arizona this season.

Divisional road games

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