My Cowboys vs. Eagles predictions for Monday Night Football back Philadelphia to keep things close tonight despite Tanner McKee making his second straight start in relief of Jalen Hurts.
The Eagles enter as 4.5-point home underdogs, with Dallas carrying a 64% win probability in the latest betting markets.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN at Lincoln Financial Field. Here are my latest NFL picks for tonight's NFC East showdown.
TOP Pick
Cowboys vs Eagles prediction: Eagles +4.5
It's scary to bank on a backup QB, but Tanner McKee wasn't terrible in his first start for the Philadelphia Eagles.
He passed for 215 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions in the loss to Carolina, despite missing plenty of pieces on offense. His cupboard won't be as bare in Week 7, with star RB Saquon Barkley expected back.
Philadelphia might not need much to outgun a struggling Dallas Cowboys offense that has had the power cut over the last two weeks.
The Cowboys were a top-3 offense through the opening four games but have sputtered, scoring a combined 29 points in losses to Tampa Bay and Green Bay. Dallas can't generate any momentum, going a combined 11-for-28 on third and fourth downs in those outings.
Although the offense used to be able to make up for Dallas' dreadful defense, it seems like nothing is working for the Cowboys heading into MNF.
This is a terrible schedule spot for "America's Team" as well, playing its second straight road game and third in four weeks, while making its fifth trip in the last five games when factoring in the Week 3 trip to Brazil.
For a spread pick on every game, see our NFL picks against the spread for Week 7.
COVERS INTEL: The Cowboys ranked third in EPA per play on third and fourth downs through the first four weeks (0.401), but have since fallen to dead last in the NFL over their last two games (-0.878).
Cowboys vs Eagles combo
The Eagles are discounted with a backup under center, but the dip from Hurts to McKee is not as big as the market believes. This spread is too hefty for a bad Dallas team to cover on the road in prime time.
George Pickens faces an Eagles secondary missing bodies, and with CeeDee Lamb drawing extra attention, the Dallas WR2 gets advantageous matchups – especially in man coverage. His TD forecasts sit as high as 42% for MNF.
Tanner McKee is another week better and gets some weapons back in Week 7. The Cowboys are giving up almost two passing TDs per game, and the price is right on the Eagles' backup to reach that mark.
Cowboys vs Eagles combo
- Eagles +4.5
- George Pickens anytime touchdown
- Tanner McKee 2+ passing touchdowns
For more same-game parlays, see our NFL parlay and SGP picks.
Cowboys vs Eagles touchdown scorer: George Pickens
The Cowboys want to get Pickens going early on as he’s struggled with slow starts. Nothing lights a fire under your ass like a touchdown.
Pickens has been one of the better one-on-one WRs during his career and faces a Fangio defense running man coverage at the 12th-highest rate. Given Lamb’s gravity, Pickens will draw plenty of single coverage.
The 6-foot-3 Pickens has been targeted six times in the red zone but has just three catches for one touchdown. However, in his last game against this defense, Pickens caught all nine passes his way for 146 yards and a touchdown in November 2025.
Touchdown forecasts for Pickens range from 20% to 40%, with my probability right on Pickens TD market price. For more touchdown props, see our NFL anytime touchdown picks for Week 7.
Cowboys vs Eagles player prop: Tanner McKee 2+ passing touchdowns
Not to knock Hurts and his health issues, but the gap between him and McKee may not be that big.
Hurts struggled over his last three games before going on IR, while McKee was solid in last Sunday’s start and now gets an easier matchup against this Dallas defense.
Not only does McKee have a downfield threat in Smith, but he also has a capable pass-catching RB in Barkley and a reliable TE in Dallas Goedert.
The Cowboys allow an average of 1.8 passing touchdowns per game, and their red-zone defense has surrendered TDs on 66.7% of opponents’ trips inside the 20-yard line.
Projections are tough to pin down given the limited data on the Eagles' backup, but some models have McKee projected for as many as 1.5 touchdown passes. With 2+ passing touchdowns offering a healthy return in the Cowboys vs. Eagles props market, I’m willing to take a shot on the Stanford product.
Want more NFL player props? Check out our NFL player prop projections!
Cowboys vs Eagles market trends
Here's how trusted traders at Kalshi are dealing on today’s matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Eagles vs. Cowboys prediction.
- Top picks: 9-5, +3.04 units
- Combos: 0-14, -14.0 units
More Week 7 NFL picks and predictions
Cowboys vs Eagles odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Cowboys -4.5 | Eagles +4.5
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (50%) | Under 44.5 (51%)
- Moneyline: Cowboys 64% | Eagles 36%
See our NFL moneyline picks for every Week 7 game.
For the full slate of NFL matchups, see our NFL odds board.
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Cowboys vs Eagles weather
It looks like a perfect night for football, with temperatures in the low 50s, clear skies, and winds barely getting up to 5 mph.
See our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Cowboys vs Eagles trend to know
Dallas is just 2-5 ATS as a divisional road favorite since 2022. Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. Eagles, and see our NFL AI predictions for ATS picks and score projections on every Week 7 game.
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How to watch Cowboys vs Eagles
| Location | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Monday, Oct. 26, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Cowboys vs Eagles latest injuries
See our NFL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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