Our Week 7 NFL picks for Sunday, Oct. 25 and Monday, Oct. 26 are here: one top pick from every game on the slate, listed in kickoff order (all times ET) with the analyst behind each play.
A “top pick” is the analyst’s best angle in that preview, which isn’t always the point spread. Lines move, so confirm the number on the NFL odds before locking in your picks.
Week 7 top picks at a glance (Sunday, Oct. 25 and Monday, Oct. 26)
| Matchup & kickoff | Top pick & analyst |
|---|---|
| Steelers vs. Saints 9:30 a.m. |
Steelers -2.5 Neil Parker |
| 49ers vs. Falcons 1 p.m. |
Bijan Robinson 25+ receiving yards Jason Logan |
| Bengals vs. Ravens 1 p.m. |
Bengals moneyline Geoff Clark |
| Browns vs. Titans 1 p.m. |
Browns -1.5 Shawn Krest |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers 1 p.m. |
Panthers -2.5 Shawn Krest |
| Colts vs. Vikings 1 p.m. |
Vikings -6.5 Tom Oldfield |
| Dolphins vs. Jets 1 p.m. |
Jets -4.5 Quinn Allen |
| Giants vs. Texans 1 p.m. |
Under 42.5 Nick Galaida |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals 4:05 p.m. |
Under 42.5 Geoff Clark |
| Packers vs. Lions 4:25 p.m. |
Lions 1st half -2.5 Neil Parker |
| Rams vs. Raiders 4:25 p.m. |
Over 47.5 Neil Parker |
| Chiefs vs. Seahawks 8:20 p.m. |
Seahawks moneyline Jason Logan |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles Mon., 8:15 p.m. |
Eagles +4.5 Jason Logan |
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'MAX60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
9:30 a.m. kickoff (Saint-Denis, France)
Steelers vs. Saints
- Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. (Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France)
- TV: NFL Network
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Steelers -2.5
Neil Parker is happy to back Pittsburgh at any number below 4 because New Orleans ranks 32nd in rush defense DVOA and allows the highest rushing success rate. His Steelers vs. Saints prediction and picks show the Steelers rank second in rushing DVOA.
The Saints are also tied for the second-most points allowed per game (29.7), and Parker expects Pittsburgh to control the clock behind a defense that ranks eighth in DVOA. He also recommends Jaylen Warren to score, up to 60%.
1 p.m. kickoffs
49ers vs. Falcons
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Bijan Robinson 25+ receiving yards
Jason Logan sees Robinson as the Falcons’ path to victory, both on the ground and as a catch-and-run weapon. His 49ers vs. Falcons prediction and picks put his own number at 33+ receiving yards, with projections ranging up to 39.
Robinson’s yardage total dipped after a negative-yardage game against Chicago, but San Francisco allows the second-most receiving yards to running backs. Logan also details how Brian Robinson Jr.’s hamstring injury could expand Bijan’s snap share.
Bengals vs. Ravens
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Bengals moneyline
Geoff Clark will trade Cincinnati’s moneyline at 51%, up to 53%, because Lamar Jackson has been limited in practice all week after missing two games. His Bengals vs. Ravens prediction and picks say a hobbled Jackson weakens Baltimore’s ground game.
The Bengals come off a bye with a cleaner injury report, and Baltimore is 1-5 against the spread with a rest disadvantage since 2024. Clark also likes Ja’Marr Chase’s anytime touchdown as long as it stays below 50%.
Browns vs. Titans
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Shawn Krest
Top pick: Browns -1.5
Shawn Krest is comfortable laying the short number with Cleveland until the price reaches 53%. His Browns vs. Titans prediction and picks highlight that the Browns rank seventh in scoring defense (20.3 points per game) and have allowed one rushing touchdown through six games.
Tennessee ranks 27th in rushing and sits in the bottom three in scoring, total yards, first downs, and EPA per play. Krest expects a low-scoring game and likes Browns rookie Denzel Boston to find the end zone.
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Shawn Krest
Top pick: Panthers -2.5
Shawn Krest would lay the points with Carolina up to 55%, even after the line dropped a point once Baker Mayfield was announced as Tampa Bay’s starter. His Buccaneers vs. Panthers prediction and picks explain that Mayfield will play with a protective glove on his injured thumb, and the Bucs are without leading receiver Emeka Egbuka and right tackle Luke Goedeke.
That leaves Tampa Bay hard-pressed to keep pace with a Panthers offense that, along with Bryce Young, leads the NFL in passing yards and ranks second in total offense. Krest also likes Bucky Irving to score against a Carolina run defense that ranks 27th.
Colts vs. Vikings
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Tom Oldfield
Top pick: Vikings -6.5
Tom Oldfield would bet Minnesota up to 53%. His Colts vs. Vikings prediction and picks underline that the Vikings have won 10 straight, going 8-2 against the spread in that span, behind a defense allowing just 259.8 yards per game.
Indianapolis has lost 11 of its past 13, and Daniel Jones has turned the ball over nine times in six games. Oldfield also points out the Colts are unlikely to have Sauce Gardner, while Minnesota gets T.J. Hockenson, Jordan Addison and Jordan Mason back after the bye.
Dolphins vs. Jets
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Quinn Allen
Top pick: Jets -4.5
Quinn Allen says to play New York up to 55%. His Dolphins vs. Jets prediction and picks flag that Miami has given up points on half of opposing possessions, the NFL’s highest rate, and has just four sacks in five games.
The winless Dolphins average only 14.0 points per game, and Malik Willis has twice as many interceptions (four) as touchdowns (two). Allen also likes Garrett Wilson to score, up to 45%.
Giants vs. Texans
- Kickoff: 1 p.m.
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Nick Galaida
Top pick: Under 42.5
Nick Galaida finds the Under playable to 51%. His Giants vs. Texans prediction and picks point to J.J. McCarthy’s late-game struggles last week, when he threw an interception and completed just 52.4% of his passes after New York fell behind 34-10.
Houston ranks eighth in Galaida’s schedule-adjusted defensive EPA per play and fourth in defensive success rate, so he has a hard time seeing the Giants scoring enough to push this over. The Texans are 10.5-point favorites.
4:05 p.m. kickoff
Broncos vs. Cardinals
- Kickoff: 4:05 p.m.
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Under 42.5
Geoff Clark’s favorite play is the Under, down to 41.5. His Broncos vs. Cardinals prediction and picks reveal that Denver has hit the Under in five straight regular-season games when the total is 44 or lower, including three this season.
Patrick Surtain II may return for Denver, and Arizona has one of the league’s weakest receiving corps. Clark adds that Bo Nix and Jacoby Brissett rank 31st and 32nd in big-time throw rate, pointing to a slow pace.
4:25 p.m. kickoffs
Packers vs. Lions
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m.
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Lions 1st half -2.5
Neil Parker recommends the first-half spread up to 56%, expecting Detroit to shake its slow starts. His Packers vs. Lions prediction and picks stress that the Lions are tied for the most points per game (32.8) and have had extra time to prepare during the bye.
Center Cade Mays and safety Brian Branch are back for Detroit, and Parker likes offensive coordinator Drew Petzing’s familiarity with Packers defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon from their time in Arizona. Green Bay ranks 30th in both pass-rush and run-stop win rate.
Rams vs. Raiders
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m.
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Over 47.5
Neil Parker expects a shootout and recommends the Over up to 48.5. His Rams vs. Raiders prediction and picks emphasize that the Raiders average 27 points per game with the third-highest dropback success rate, while the Rams rank seventh in offensive DVOA.
Las Vegas ranks 30th in defensive DVOA and has allowed the highest EPA per play and success rate over the past four weeks. Parker also backs Brock Bowers to score, up to 46%.
Sunday Night Football
Chiefs vs. Seahawks
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m.
- TV: NBC
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Seahawks moneyline
Jason Logan is taking Seattle to win outright because the Seahawks rank second in defensive DVOA and first in ESPN’s pass-rush win rate, with 16 sacks and 30 QB hits. His Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction and picks say Kansas City has not yet faced a defense this good.
Patrick Mahomes’ PFF offensive grade falls from 90.6 when kept clean to 64.8 under duress, and Seattle gets there without blitzing much. The Seahawks are also rested after last Thursday’s 17-14 loss at Denver, in which they outgained the Broncos by 186 yards.
Monday Night Football
Cowboys vs. Eagles
- Kickoff: Monday, 8:15 p.m.
- TV: ESPN
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Eagles +4.5
Jason Logan argues the gap between Tanner McKee and the sidelined Jalen Hurts is smaller than the market assumes. His Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction and picks recall that McKee threw for 215 yards and a touchdown without an interception against Carolina, and Saquon Barkley is expected back.
Dallas scored a combined 29 points in losses to Tampa Bay and Green Bay while going 11-for-28 on third and fourth downs. Logan also flags a tough schedule spot: the Cowboys’ second straight road game and third in four weeks.
More Week 7 NFL picks
Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for the week:
- NFL Picks Against the Spread for Every Week 7 Game
- NFL Moneyline Picks for Every Week 7 Game
- NFL Week 7 Underdog Picks Against the Spread
- NFL AI Predictions Week 7: ATS Picks & Score Projections for Every Game
- Expert NFL Prop Picks: Week 7
- Expert NFL Combo Picks for Week 7
- NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks for Week 7
- Anytime TD Scorer Predictions: The 25 Best Value NFL Anytime TD Markets For Week 7
- NFL Touchdown Parlay Week 7: Our Expert Group TD Combo
- NFL Survivor Pool Expert Picks for Week 7
- NFL Week 7 Odds and Betting Lines: Undefeated Chiefs Getting 2.5 Points vs Seahawks
Looking for a boost? See the latest sportsbook promos, the Kalshi promo code, and the Kalshi referral code for NFL prediction markets.
Check the NFL weather report and the NFL injury report, compare numbers across football betting sites and NFL prediction market apps, and brush up with our guide to betting on football before finalizing your picks.
All of this week’s matchups are also on the NFL scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NFL picks.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
