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Carolina @ Green Bay

Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CAR

24.01 @ 27.11

Panthers vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CAR CAR	24.01	+3.5 -103 Caesars Odds	o47.5 -108 BetMGM	+170 BetMGM
GB GB	27.11	-3.5 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	u48.0 -113 BetRivers	-185 DraftKings

Top Projection Josh Jacobs o15.5 Receiving Yards (-105)

o14.5-114

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Indianapolis @ Jacksonville

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

IND

18.71 @ 25.58

JAC

Colts vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
IND IND	18.71	+9.5 -105 theScore Bet	o46.5 -108 BetMGM	+385 FanDuel
JAC JAC	25.58	-9.5 -108 BetMGM	u47.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-425 DraftKings

Top Projection Keenan Allen o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o34.5-115

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Tennessee @ Cincinnati

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

TEN

16.05 @ 28.40

CIN

Titans vs Bengals · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
TEN TEN	16.05	+10.5 -110 Hard Rock Bet	o46.0 -112 BetRivers	+450 BetRivers
CIN CIN	28.40	-10.5 -104 Caesars Odds	u47.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-500 DraftKings

Top Projection Joe Burrow Score a Touchdown (Yes: +650)

+700

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Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CLE

17.60 @ 21.11

PIT

Browns vs Steelers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CLE CLE	17.60	+3.5 -110 DraftKings	o39.0 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	+162 bet365
PIT PIT	21.11	-3.5 -105 bet365	u39.5 -110 BetMGM	-185 DraftKings

Top Projection Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

o0.5-105

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Minnesota @ Detroit

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

MIN

22.97 @ 28.06

DET

Vikings vs Lions · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
MIN MIN	22.97	+3.5 -115 Hard Rock Bet	o45.5 -110 BetRivers	+155 BetMGM
DET DET	28.06	-3.5 +100 BetMGM	u46.5 -116 bet365	-170 DraftKings

Top Projection Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

o0.5-110

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Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

ATL

21.31 @ 21.07

Falcons vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
ATL ATL	21.31	+2.5 -110 BetMGM	o45.0 -110 BetMGM	+119 bet365
TB TB	21.07	-2.5 -105 Caesars Odds	u46.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-130 Hard Rock Bet

Top Projection Michael Penix Jr. u226.5 Passing Yards (-115)

u226.5-115

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Arizona @ Dallas

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

ARI

21.95 @ 29.62

DAL

Cardinals vs Cowboys · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
ARI ARI	21.95	+6.5 -105 bet365	o53.5 -115 BetRivers	+265 FanDuel
DAL DAL	29.62	-6.5 -110 BetRivers	u54.5 -108 BetMGM	-300 BetMGM

Top Projection Jacoby Brissett o5.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

o5.5-120

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Las Vegas @ N.Y. Jets

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

20.72 @ 23.61

NYJ

Raiders vs Jets · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
LV LV	20.72	+1.5 -108 BetMGM	o45.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	+105 BetMGM
NYJ NYJ	23.61	-1.5 -105 Caesars Odds	u46.5 -110 theScore Bet	-120 BetRivers

Top Projection Kirk Cousins u237.5 Passing Yards (-113)

u237.5-113

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Baltimore @ Buffalo

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

BAL

24.03 @ 27.73

BUF

Ravens vs Bills · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
BAL BAL	24.03	+3.5 -117 BetRivers	o54.0 -109 Caesars Odds	+151 Caesars Odds
BUF BUF	27.73	-3.5 +100 bet365	u54.5 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-170 theScore Bet

Top Projection James Cook III o9.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

o8.5-115

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L.A. Chargers @ L.A. Rams

Nov 01 • 4:05 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

LAC

19.71 @ 27.49

Chargers vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
LAC LAC	19.71	+6.5 -102 DraftKings	o44.5 -109 BetRivers	+250 Caesars Odds
LA LA	27.49	-6.5 -110 BetMGM	u45.5 -105 theScore Bet	-290 DraftKings

Top Projection Puka Nacua o78.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o78.5-115

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New England @ Miami

Nov 01 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

25.70 @ 17.19

MIA

Patriots vs Dolphins · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
NE NE	25.70	-6.5 -120 Fanatics Sportsbook	o43.5 -114 bet365	-325 BetMGM
MIA MIA	17.19	+6.5 +102 FanDuel	u44.5 -114 FanDuel	+295 BetRivers

Top Projection Malik Washington o40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o35.5-115

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Kansas City @ Denver

Nov 01 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

21.66 @ 21.85

DEN

Chiefs vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
KC KC	21.66	-1.5 -108 bet365	o40.5 -105 theScore Bet	-118 FanDuel
DEN DEN	21.85	+1.5 -105 Hard Rock Bet	u41.5 -115 DraftKings	+103 Caesars Odds

Philadelphia @ Washington

Nov 01 • 8:20 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

PHI

17.95 @ 22.71

WAS

Eagles vs Commanders · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
PHI PHI	17.95	+5.5 -105 theScore Bet	o40.0 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	+210 theScore Bet
WAS WAS	22.71	-5.5 -104 Caesars Odds	u40.5 -110 DraftKings	-218 DraftKings

Chicago @ Seattle

Nov 02 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CHI

22.28 @ 26.32

SEA

Bears vs Seahawks · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CHI CHI	22.28	+3.5 -120 theScore Bet	o46.5 -109 Caesars Odds	+150 bet365
SEA SEA	26.32	-3.5 +105 Fanatics Sportsbook	u46.5 -105 theScore Bet	-166 DraftKings

Top Projection Sam Darnold o4.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o4.5-115

See all EV Projections

CAR @

GB Thu, Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET

Passing Yards

Bryce Young o246.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Best Odds

o251.5 -115

Pick made: 10 hours ago

o251.5 -115

o253.5 -115

o255.5 -112

o256.5 -114

o255.5 -115

o251.5 -115

o254.5 -115

o253.5 -115

One ugly afternoon doesn’t erase Young’s breakout season. Before last week’s blowout loss, he topped 250 passing yards in all five games, averaging 309.8. Green Bay’s passing defense deserves some schedule context, too, having faced Bagent/Keenum, Jalon Daniels, Geno Smith and a Vikings team that turned to Carson Wentz off the bench. This hasn’t been a weekly parade of elite passing attacks. I’m expecting a rebound.

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Anytime Touchdown

Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown (Yes: -104)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 10 hours ago

-125

-120

-125

-120

-115

-125

This is a beautiful matchup for Hubbard, who has six touchdowns in six games, split between four rushing and two receiving. Green Bay has already surrendered 10 scores to running backs in seven games. I also love that he had just seven carries in Sunday’s blowout loss. Avoiding another heavy workload is a nice bonus for the quick turnaround.

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IND @

JAC Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

o46.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o46.5 -108

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o46.5 -108

o46.5 -110

o47.0 -110

Playable to 53%.

Expect Daniel Jones and Trevor Lawrence to both have success moving the ball through the air this Sunday against pass defenses that rank worse than the league average in EPA/play allowed.

Spread

JAC -9.5 (-109)

Best Odds

-9.5 -108

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -113

-9.5 -110

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -115

-9.5 -110

Playable to 53%.

The Jaguars rank 6th in my schedule-adjusted success rate ratings, will be at home this weekend, and are fresh off of a bye week. This game could get ugly, especially if Indianapolis executes more trades before Sunday.

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TEN @

CIN Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

o47.0 (-110)

Best Odds

o46.0 -112

Pick made: 2 days ago

o46.5 -108

o46.5 -110

o46.0 -112

o46.5 -110

o47.0 -110

The Bengals averaged 7.0 yards per play and went 5 for 5 in the red zone against a very good Baltimore defense. Cincinnati has put up 27 points or more in four of its six games and the Bengals sink their teeth into the Tennessee Titans in Week 8. Cincinnati’s offense will do the lion’s share of the scoring, and its defense will likely give up some gains too. The Bengals still allowed the Ravens to go 9 for 16 on third downs and sit third worst in third down defense.

Rushing Yards

Tony Pollard o60.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 71.1 (Over)

Best Odds

o60.5 -114

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o60.5 -115

o61.5 -113

o60.5 -114

o62.5 -115

The projections expect the Titans to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.9% run rate.. The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 19.4 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Tony Pollard has garnered 71.4% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. Tony Pollard has run for many more adjusted yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).. Tony Pollard ranks as one of the top running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.21 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 78th percentile.

-114 at BetRivers

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CLE @

PIT Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Projection 10.98 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -105

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -105

A running game script is indicated by the Steelers being a 3.5-point favorite this week.. The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.70 seconds per snap.

-105 at bet365

Passing Yards

Deshaun Watson o203.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 208.03 (Over)

Best Odds

o203.5 -115

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o203.5 -115

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.. With a 62.8% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

-115 at bet365

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MIN @

DET Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 4.84 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -110

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -110

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.. The projections expect the Lions to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Kyler Murray o22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 27.01 (Over)

Best Odds

o22.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o22.5 -115

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 132.9 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.. The projections expect Kyler Murray to notch 4.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Our trusted projections expect Kyler Murray to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack in this contest (17.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.1% in games he has played).. With a fantastic rate of 24.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), Kyler Murray stands among the best running quarterbacks in the league this year.. The Detroit Lions defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.68 adjusted yards-per-carry.

-115 at bet365

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ATL @

TB Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Passing Yards

Michael Penix Jr. u226.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 213.05 (Under)

Best Odds

u226.5 -115

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u224.5 -115

u224.5 -113

u226.5 -115

Right now, the 5th-least pass-focused offense in football (57.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

-115 at Hard Rock Bet

Receptions Made

Kyle Pitts Sr. u3.5 Receptions Made (+125)

Projection 3.18 (Under)

Best Odds

u3.5 +125

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u3.5 +125

u3.5 +116

u3.5 +120

Right now, the 5th-least pass-focused offense in football (57.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).. Kyle Pitts's 15.0% Target% this season shows an impressive regression in his air attack usage over last season's 23.0% rate.. Kyle Pitts's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.3 figure.

+125 at bet365

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ARI @

DAL Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Anytime Touchdown

CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes: +100)

Projection 0.66 (Yes)

Best Odds

+105

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

-115

+100

-105

-112

+105

-105

The projections expect the Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (58.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 130.9 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After accumulating 112.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has posted big gains this season, now pacing 124.0 per game.

+105 at theScore Bet

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott o270.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 294.17 (Over)

Best Odds

o270.5 -115

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o270.5 -115

The projections expect the Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 130.9 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Dak Prescott is predicted by the predictive model to have the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.3. . Dak Prescott has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (271.0) this season than he did last season (245.0).

-115 at bet365

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LV @

NYJ Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

u45.5 (-115)

Best Odds

u46.5 -110

Pick made: 9 hours ago

u45.5 -110

u45.5 -113

u45.5 -115

u45.5 -108

u45.0 -105

u45.5 -108

u45.5 -112

u46.5 -110

u45.0 -110

One of the first stats I look at when evaluating taking an Under is red-zone touchdown conversion rate, and this matchup features two of the NFL's least efficient offenses inside the 20-yard line. The Jets come into this one with a paltry 45% red-zone touchdown rate, with the Raiders not too far behind, converting at just 46%. No matter which way you attack this game, it's difficult to see a ton of points being scored. While the Raiders leave a lot on the table defensively, the Jets offense, with just four rushing touchdowns to its name this year behind their 16th-ranked offensive line, won't do enough with the ball to get this one over the line.

Spread

LV +1.5 (-114)

Best Odds

+1.5 -108

Pick made: 9 hours ago

+1.5 -108

+1.5 -111

+1.5 -110

+1.5 -114

+1.5 -110

The Las Vegas Raiders have shown they can move the football, averaging 26.4 points per game compared to just 19.6 for the New York Jets. They own the league's fourth-best passing attack (14th in EPA/Play), throwing for nearly 270 yards per game - we'll take that in what could turn into an ugly game of football. That offensive production - a touchdown difference - is significant between these teams, and it's something New York will need to overcome if it wants to get a win at home after falling to the lowly Miami Dolphins. The biggest question is undoubtedly whether or not the Jets defense can do enough in the trenches and get Kirk Cousins to make off-platform throws. If they can't, Vegas will continue to roll.

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BAL @

BUF Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Moneyline

BUF (-180)

Best Odds

-170

Pick made: yesterday

-175

-178

-175

-174

-180

-186

-182

-170

-180

The Bills are coming off a bye week and playing at home for the first time in almost a month. Buffalo’s break allows the offense to get some key bodies back on the field, including WR1 D.J. Moore. Jackson won’t be as nimble against a Bills pass rush getting consistent pressure (and Ed Oliver back in Week 8) and that takes away a big part of this Ravens rushing attack.

Rushing Yards

James Cook III u88.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

Projection 79.65 (Under)

Best Odds

u88.5 -111

Pick made: 43 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u86.5 -115

u88.5 -111

u88.5 -114

u88.5 -117

u87.5 -117

u88.5 -115

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Buffalo Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.. The Ravens defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 3.62 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the NFL.

-111 at DraftKings

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LAC @

LA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:05 PM ET

Total

o43.5 (-112)

Best Odds

o44.5 -109

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o45.0 -108

o44.5 -114

o45.5 -105

o45.5 -108

o45.0 -110

o44.5 -109

o45.0 -110

o45.5 -115

o45.0 -110

Getting back two starting linemen and a receiver will help the Chargers look like the offense we expected. The Rams' defense is also the perfect "get well" foe for them, as they've given up 30+ twice in the last five.

Spread

LAC +6.5 (+100)

Best Odds

+6.5 -102

Pick made: 11 hours ago

+6.5 -108

+6.5 -107

+6.5 -102

+6.5 -105

+6.5 -110

+6.5 -105

+6.5 -103

+6.5 -105

We're taking a flier that a bye week got the Chargers healthy and an upset may be brewing. We'll stick with them and the points through 53% and might be convinced to jump at a straight-up win below 30%.

View 3 Picks

NE @

MIA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET

Spread

NE -7.0 (-115)

Best Odds

-6.5 -120

Pick made: yesterday

-6.5 -130

-6.5 -121

-6.5 -127

-6.5 -130

-6.5 -120

-7.5 +102

-6.5 -130

-6.5 -120

-7.5 +100

New England QB Drake Maye paces the NFL in adjusted EPA per play over the past four weeks, and the Pats are third in offensive DVOA with an average of 31 points per game during the surge. Miami checks in 31st in offensive DVOA and 30th in defensive DVOA for the season, so with New England also having the benefit of extra rest and preparation time after playing Thursday Night Football in Week 7, the Dolphins are in tough and overmatched Sunday.

Anytime Touchdown

Malik Washington Score a Touchdown (Yes: +320)

Projection 0.35 (Yes)

Best Odds

+360

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

+330

+360

+320

+325

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The Patriots pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.1%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.1%).. The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

+360 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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KC @

DEN Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET

Passing Yards

Bo Nix o199.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 219.45 (Over)

Best Odds

o199.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o199.5 -115

o202.5 -114

o206.5 -114

o204.5 -115

o205.5 -115

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 130.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

-115 at bet365

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes u226.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 215.95 (Under)

Best Odds

u226.5 -113

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u217.5 -115

u226.5 -113

u225.5 -114

u223.5 -114

u226.5 -115

u225.5 -115

The Chiefs have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.5 plays per game.. This year, the strong Broncos defense has given up a mere 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.. This year, the stout Broncos defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a feeble 7.2 yards.. The Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

-113 at DraftKings

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CHI @

SEA Mon, Nov 2 • 8:15 PM ET

Passing Completions

Caleb Williams u20.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Projection 19.22 (Under)

Best Odds

u20.5 -105

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u19.5 +100

u20.5 -105

u19.5 +102

u19.5 -108

u20.5 -137

u19.5 +100

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in football against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year (67.8% Adjusted Completion%).. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

-105 at bet365

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams u227.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 209.9 (Under)

Best Odds

u227.5 -113

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u227.5 -115

u221.5 -115

u227.5 -113

u227.5 -114

u225.5 -115

u226.5 -121

u227.5 -115

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the fewest yards in the league (just 151.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Seahawks defense this year.. This year, the fierce Seahawks defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a mere 5.6 yards.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

-113 at DraftKings

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For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.