2027 NFL Draft Odds: Arch Manning Leads Quartet of Quarterbacks

The 2027 NFL Draft odds are already starting to take shape, with Arch Manning opening as the early favorite to go No. 1 overall.

Behind him, the board is wide open. A deep quarterback class and several elite prospects remain in the mix, and with a full season ahead, expect movement as the race for the top pick unfolds.

2027 NFL Draft odds to be No. 1 pick

Player	Position	DraftKings
Arch Manning	QB	+250
Dante Moore	QB	+380
CJ Carr	QB	+650
LaNorris Sellers	QB	+1200
Jeremiah Smith	WR	+1400
Darian Mensah	QB	+1400
Julian Sayin	QB	+1800
Drew Mestemaker	QB	+2000
Dylan Stewart	EDGE	+2200
Colin Simmons	LB	+3000
Jayden Maiava	QB	+3500
Nico Iamaleava	QB	+4000

Odds as of 4-23. Odds courtesy of DraftKings, one of our best betting apps. Sign up with our DraftKings promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

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2027 NFL Draft favorites to go No. 1

Arch Manning (QB, Texas)

Arch Manning’s first full year running the offense had some early turbulence, but he settled in as the season wore on. He closed strong, cutting down mistakes and becoming far more efficient down the stretch, leading Texas to a 7-1 run over its final eight games. The late-season jump, paired with a clean bowl showing, is why he’s sitting at the top of the board, but he still has another gear to prove.

Dante Moore (QB, Oregon)

Dante Moore checks a lot of boxes already. High completion rate, big-time production, and command of an offense that consistently moved the ball. Oregon leaned on him, and he delivered with over 3,500 yards and 30 scores. The team's success adds weight too, even if both losses came against the eventual champs. He’s not chasing upside; he’s already producing at a top-tier level.

CJ Carr (QB, Notre Dame)

CJ Carr isn’t flashy, but he’s steady, and that matters in this market. He kept turnovers low while putting up solid numbers across the board, showing he can operate efficiently without forcing plays. The profile is more controlled than explosive, but if he takes even a small leap statistically, he’s right there with the top tier.

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NFL Draft betting trends

• Quarterback is the most important position on the football field, and following Tennessee taking Cam Ward at No. 1 in 2025, 21 of the last 28 first-overall picks have been QBs.

• All but two of the last 18 NFL Drafts have seen an offensive lineman get picked in the Top 10, with 2025 being no different, as Will Campbell went fifth, Armand Membou went seventh, and Kelvin Banks Jr. was picked ninth. 

List of first overall NFL Draft picks

Year	Player	Position
2026	Fernando Mendoza	QB
2025	Cam Ward	QB
2024	Caleb Williams	QB
2023	Bryce Young	QB
2022	Travon Walker	DE
2021	Trevor Lawrence	QB
2020	Joe Burrow	QB
2019	Kyler Murray	QB
2018	Baker Mayfield	QB
2017	Myles Garrett	DE
2016	Jared Goff	QB
2015	Jameis Winston	QB
2014	Jadeveon Clowney	DE
2013	Eric Fisher	OT
2012	Andrew Luck	QB
2011	Cam Newton	QB
2010	Sam Bradford	QB
2009	Matthew Stafford	QB
2008	Jake Long	OT
2007	JaMarcus Russell	QB
2006	Mario Williams	DE

How to bet on the 2027 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks will post odds for the player to go first overall in the draft as soon as the previous year's draft is over. Once the college football season begins in September, these odds could change weekly depending on how players are performing as well as the evaluations of trusted draftniks such as Mel Kiper Jr.

In addition, this NFL futures bet may also take into account the team needs of the worst team(s) in the NFL.

After the NCAA football season is over, NFL Draft odds will solidify after key events such as the underclassmen declaration deadline, the NFL Scouting Combine, and pro days. In the weeks leading up to the draft, sportsbooks will offer more NFL Draft prop bets. 

Understanding NFL Draft odds

The odds of going first overall in the NFL Draft will typically look like this:

• Arch Manning +250

This means that if you placed a $100 bet on Manning, you would win $250 if the Longhorns QB goes first overall in 2027. When you get closer to the draft, and there is a consensus on who will go first overall, you might see a player with a minus sign (-) ahead of his odds, like this:

• Dante Moore -550

This means you'd have to bet $550 to win $100 on Moore being drafted first overall.

Above we have posted the American odds for the 2027 NFL Draft. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

Get more NFL Draft betting tips and strategies with our draft betting guide.

NFL Draft Odds FAQs

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