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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 28, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

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Predicted Score

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

24.01 @ 27.11

GB
GB logo
GB

Panthers vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

24.01

+3.5 -103

o47.5 -108

+170

GB logo
GB
GB

27.11

-3.5 -110

u48.0 -113

-185

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

IND logo
IND
IND

18.71 @ 25.58

JAC
JAC logo
JAC

Colts vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

IND logo
IND
IND

18.71

+9.5 -105

o46.5 -108

+385

JAC logo
JAC
JAC

25.58

-9.5 -108

u47.0 -110

-425

Top Projection Keenan Allen o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
o34.5-115
Tennessee @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

16.05 @ 28.40

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Titans vs Bengals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

16.05

+10.5 -110

o46.0 -112

+450

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

28.40

-10.5 -105

u47.0 -110

-500

Top Projection Joe Burrow o260.5 Passing Yards (-113)
o260.5-113
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

17.60 @ 21.11

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Browns vs Steelers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

17.60

+3.5 -110

o39.0 -110

+164

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

21.11

-3.5 -105

u39.5 -110

-185

Top Projection Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
o0.5-110
Minnesota @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

22.97 @ 28.06

DET
DET logo
DET

Vikings vs Lions · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

22.97

+3.5 -115

o45.5 -110

+155

DET logo
DET
DET

28.06

-3.5 +100

u46.5 -116

-170

Top Projection Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
o0.5-105
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

21.31 @ 21.07

TB
TB logo
TB

Falcons vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

21.31

+2.5 -110

o45.0 -110

+117

TB logo
TB
TB

21.07

-2.5 -102

u46.0 -110

-130

Arizona @ Dallas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

21.95 @ 29.62

DAL
DAL logo
DAL

Cardinals vs Cowboys · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

21.95

+6.5 -105

o53.5 -115

+265

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

29.62

-6.5 -110

u54.5 -110

-300

Top Projection Jacoby Brissett o5.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
o5.5-120
Las Vegas @ N.Y. Jets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LV logo
LV
LV

20.72 @ 23.61

NYJ
NYJ logo
NYJ

Raiders vs Jets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LV logo
LV
LV

20.72

+1.5 -108

o45.0 -110

+105

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

23.61

-1.5 -105

u46.5 -110

-120

Top Projection Kirk Cousins u237.5 Passing Yards (-113)
u237.5-113
Baltimore @ Buffalo
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

24.03 @ 27.73

BUF
BUF logo
BUF

Ravens vs Bills · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

24.03

+3.5 -117

o54.0 -109

+153

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

27.73

-3.5 +100

u54.5 -110

-170

Top Projection James Cook III o9.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
o8.5-115
L.A. Chargers @ L.A. Rams
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

19.71 @ 27.49

LA
LA logo
LA

Chargers vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

19.71

+6.5 -102

o44.5 -109

+250

LA logo
LA
LA

27.49

-6.5 -110

u45.5 -105

-290

New England @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NE logo
NE
NE

25.70 @ 17.19

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Patriots vs Dolphins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NE logo
NE
NE

25.70

-6.5 -120

o43.5 -125

-325

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

17.19

+6.5 +102

u44.5 -112

+295

Kansas City @ Denver
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

21.66 @ 21.85

DEN
DEN logo
DEN

Chiefs vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

KC logo
KC
KC

21.66

-1.5 -108

o40.5 -105

-118

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.85

+1.5 -105

u41.5 -115

+103

Philadelphia @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

17.95 @ 22.71

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Eagles vs Commanders · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

17.95

+5.5 -105

o40.0 -110

+210

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

22.71

-5.5 -104

u40.5 -110

-218

Chicago @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHI logo
CHI
CHI

22.28 @ 26.32

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Bears vs Seahawks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CHI logo
CHI
CHI

22.28

+3.5 -120

o46.5 -109

+150

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

26.32

-3.5 +105

u46.5 -105

-166

Top Projection Sam Darnold o4.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o4.5-115
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR @ Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB Thu, Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET
Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo Bryce Young o246.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

One ugly afternoon doesn’t erase Young’s breakout season. Before last week’s blowout loss, he topped 250 passing yards in all five games, averaging 309.8. Green Bay’s passing defense deserves some schedule context, too, having faced Bagent/Keenum, Jalon Daniels, Geno Smith and a Vikings team that turned to Carson Wentz off the bench. This hasn’t been a weekly parade of elite passing attacks. I’m expecting a rebound.

Anytime Touchdown
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown (Yes: -104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

This is a beautiful matchup for Hubbard, who has six touchdowns in six games, split between four rushing and two receiving. Green Bay has already surrendered 10 scores to running backs in seven games. I also love that he had just seven carries in Sunday’s blowout loss. Avoiding another heavy workload is a nice bonus for the quick turnaround. 

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Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail IND @ Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail o46.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Nick Galaida logo
Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst

Playable to 53%.

Expect Daniel Jones and Trevor Lawrence to both have success moving the ball through the air this Sunday against pass defenses that rank worse than the league average in EPA/play allowed.

Spread
Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC -9.5 (-109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Nick Galaida logo
Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst

Playable to 53%.

The Jaguars rank 6th in my schedule-adjusted success rate ratings, will be at home this weekend, and are fresh off of a bye week. This game could get ugly, especially if Indianapolis executes more trades before Sunday.

View 10 Picks
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail TEN @ Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail o47.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bengals averaged 7.0 yards per play and went 5 for 5 in the red zone against a very good Baltimore defense. Cincinnati has put up 27 points or more in four of its six games and the Bengals sink their teeth into the Tennessee Titans in Week 8. Cincinnati’s offense will do the lion’s share of the scoring, and its defense will likely give up some gains too. The Bengals still allowed the Ravens to go 9 for 16 on third downs and sit third worst in third down defense.

Passing Yards
Joe Burrow logo
Joe Burrow o260.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 294.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 36.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Joe Burrow's 285.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a remarkable progression in his passing skills over last season's 196.0 rate.. Joe Burrow rates as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with a remarkable 71.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.. With a terrific 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target (78th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the league.
View 7 Picks
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail CLE @ Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail PIT Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Deshaun Watson logo
Deshaun Watson o203.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 208.03 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.. With a 62.8% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
Rushing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 10.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A running game script is indicated by the Steelers being a 3.5-point favorite this week.. The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.70 seconds per snap.
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Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN @ Detroit Lions image thumbnail DET Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown logo
Amon-Ra St. Brown o77.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 90.35 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Lions to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. In this contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by the projections to land in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.3 targets.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 94.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 78.0 rate.
Rushing Attempts
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs u21.5 Rushing Attempts (-106)
Projection 20.04 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Vikings defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
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Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail ATL @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers image thumbnail TB Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Anytime Touchdown
Baker Mayfield logo
Baker Mayfield Score a Touchdown (Yes: +550)
Projection 0.22 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (44.0 per game) this year.. This year, the poor Falcons defense has conceded a monstrous 71.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-biggest rate in football.. This year, the weak Falcons defense has allowed a colossal 1.57 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 9th-largest rate in the NFL.
Anytime Touchdown
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: -125)
Projection 0.69 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (44.0 per game) this year.. This year, the porous Atlanta Falcons defense has given up a massive 0.43 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.
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Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI @ Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb logo
CeeDee Lamb o79.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 87.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 130.9 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast CeeDee Lamb to garner 10.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.. CeeDee Lamb has notched many more adjusted receiving yards per game (99.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o274.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 294.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 130.9 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's contest, Dak Prescott is predicted by the predictive model to have the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.3. . Dak Prescott has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (271.0) this season than he did last season (245.0).
View 5 Picks
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail LV @ New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail New York Jets image thumbnail u45.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

One of the first stats I look at when evaluating taking an Under is red-zone touchdown conversion rate, and this matchup features two of the NFL's least efficient offenses inside the 20-yard line. The Jets come into this one with a paltry 45% red-zone touchdown rate, with the Raiders not too far behind, converting at just 46%. No matter which way you attack this game, it's difficult to see a ton of points being scored. While the Raiders leave a lot on the table defensively, the Jets offense, with just four rushing touchdowns to its name this year behind their 16th-ranked offensive line, won't do enough with the ball to get this one over the line.

Spread
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail LV +1.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

The Las Vegas Raiders have shown they can move the football, averaging 26.4 points per game compared to just 19.6 for the New York Jets. They own the league's fourth-best passing attack (14th in EPA/Play), throwing for nearly 270 yards per game - we'll take that in what could turn into an ugly game of football. That offensive production - a touchdown difference - is significant between these teams, and it's something New York will need to overcome if it wants to get a win at home after falling to the lowly Miami Dolphins. The biggest question is undoubtedly whether or not the Jets defense can do enough in the trenches and get Kirk Cousins to make off-platform throws. If they can't, Vegas will continue to roll.

View 5 Picks
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL @ Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET
Moneyline
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF (-180)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bills are coming off a bye week and playing at home for the first time in almost a month. Buffalo’s break allows the offense to get some key bodies back on the field, including WR1 D.J. Moore. Jackson won’t be as nimble against a Bills pass rush getting consistent pressure (and Ed Oliver back in Week 8) and that takes away a big part of this Ravens rushing attack. 

Rushing Yards
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen o35.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 40.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This week's line indicates a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3.5 points.. Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 5th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. In this contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the projections to notch the most rush attempts among all QBs with 7.6. . Taking on 24.1% of his offense's run game usage this year (100th percentile among QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat as a ball-carrier.. Josh Allen has run for quite a few more yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
View 7 Picks
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC @ Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:05 PM ET
Total
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail o43.5 (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Getting back two starting linemen and a receiver will help the Chargers look like the offense we expected. The Rams' defense is also the perfect "get well" foe for them, as they've given up 30+ twice in the last five. 

Spread
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC +6.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

We're taking a flier that a bye week got the Chargers healthy and an upset may be brewing. We'll stick with them and the points through 53% and might be convinced to jump at a straight-up win below 30%. 

View 2 Picks
New England Patriots image thumbnail NE @ Miami Dolphins image thumbnail MIA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET
Spread
New England Patriots image thumbnail NE -7.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

New England QB Drake Maye paces the NFL in adjusted EPA per play over the past four weeks, and the Pats are third in offensive DVOA with an average of 31 points per game during the surge. Miami checks in 31st in offensive DVOA and 30th in defensive DVOA for the season, so with New England also having the benefit of extra rest and preparation time after playing Thursday Night Football in Week 7, the Dolphins are in tough and overmatched Sunday.

Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown logo
A.J. Brown o52.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 64.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.. A.J. Brown has posted a whopping 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among WRs.. A.J. Brown's 69.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the league leaders: 95th percentile for WRs.. The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. A.J. Brown grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 60.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
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Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC @ Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET
Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes logo
Patrick Mahomes u226.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 215.95 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chiefs have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.5 plays per game.. This year, the strong Broncos defense has given up a mere 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.. This year, the stout Broncos defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a feeble 7.2 yards.. The Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
Anytime Touchdown
Kenneth Walker III logo
Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown (Yes: -148)
Projection 0.75 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (63.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.. The model projects the Chiefs to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.. Kenneth Walker III's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.9.. With an excellent rate of 0.33 per game through the air (97th percentile), Kenneth Walker III places as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.
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Chicago Bears image thumbnail CHI @ Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail SEA Mon, Nov 2 • 8:15 PM ET
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u227.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 209.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the fewest yards in the league (just 151.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Seahawks defense this year.. This year, the fierce Seahawks defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a mere 5.6 yards.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o99.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 103.75 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 12.1 targets.. With an elite 39.0% Target% (100th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched a massive 107.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (122.0) this season than he did last season (84.0).
View 8 Picks

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.