Rams @ Cardinals Picks & Props

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (61.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.7 total plays called: the most among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.2% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs. When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (61.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals. The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.7 total plays called: the most among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (23.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played). Puka Nacua has accumulated a massive 78.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.7 total plays called: the most among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Colby Parkinson has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.5% this year, which places him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. Colby Parkinson's 90.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.2% mark.