First place in the AFC North is up for grabs when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium today. The Ravens are 5.5-point favorites in the latest NFL odds, with the Over/Under total sitting at 43.5.
My Steelers vs. Ravens predictions and NFL picks are calling for Lamar Jackson & Co. to cover the number and take over the top spot in the division in Week 14. Don't miss live coverage on CBS beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Steelers vs Ravens prediction
Steelers vs Ravens Best bet: Ravens -5.5 (-112)
Top billing in the AFC North is up for grabs in Week 14, and even with the Baltimore Ravens slipping up against the Bengals on Thanksgiving, I like the home team at M&T Bank Stadium.
Before the Week 13 loss, the Ravens had won five straight with an average margin of victory of 12.8 points, and Baltimore ranked eighth in offensive DVOA and 12th in defensive DVOA during the heater.
It’s just the opposite on the opposite sideline, too.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have dropped five of their past seven, including losing 26-7 at home to the Bills last week. Pittsburgh also ranked lower in both offensive (18th) and defensive (16th) DVOA during the seven-game stretch.
Pittsburgh has also only covered the number twice during the seven-game skid, and the Steelers have also only covered once in their past eight road games.
I also have no confidence in Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. He hasn’t thrown multiple touchdown passes since Week 8, and the 40-year-old veteran finished Week 13 with the lowest EPA + CPOE composite rating of all QBs in Week 13.
Finally, this sets up as a bounceback spot for the Baltimore offense. Pittsburgh has surrendered the ninth-highest EPA per play and an average of 26.0 points per game during the highlighted seven-game slide.
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Steelers vs Ravens same-game parlay
Lamar Jackson hasn’t had a rushing yards total this low once since the beginning of the 2024 season. While his recent numbers on the ground don’t jump off the page, he’s still topped this number in two of his past four games and has averaged 6.2 carries per game since returning from injury in Week 9.
Jackson is nursing an ankle injury, but with Pittsburgh blitzing at the sixth-highest rate in the league, I’m expecting multiple scrambles for chunk gains. Plus, coming off the mini-bye with a Thursday game in Week 13 is a bonus.
The Steelers have also allowed four rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks, including Josh Allen last week. Jackson hasn’t rushed one in since Week 1, either, so we’re landing a long number on his touchdown prop (+270).
Steelers vs Ravens 3-leg SGP
- Ravens -5.5
- Lamar Jackson Over 25.5 rushing yards
- Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown
Our big-ticket SGP: Lamar all day
The Steelers have allowed 13 passing touchdowns during the noted 2-5 stretch, so Jackson and the slumping Baltimore aerial attack are set for takeoff Sunday afternoon.
Steelers vs Ravens 4-leg SGP
- Ravens -5.5
- Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Lamar Jackson Over 25.5 rushing yards
- Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown
Steelers vs Ravens game predictions
Steelers vs Ravens moneyline prediction
With Pittsburgh dropping five of the past seven, and quarterback Aaron Rodgers looking lost in Week 13, I’m fully expecting Baltimore to roll in this game. Plus, the Ravens have won five of their past six and 10 of their past 15 at home.
Steelers vs Ravens spread prediction
As highlighted, the Steelers have struggled against the spread, and there was nothing encouraging about Rodgers’ play under center last week. Baltimore having the extra rest and prep time this week positions them to capitalize on the personnel mismatches on both sides of the ball.
Steelers vs Ravens Over/Under prediction
The Under has cashed in nine of the past 10 meetings between the Steelers and Ravens, and Pittsburgh enters with below-average ranks in yards and EPA per play and offensive DVOA, too. Additionally, both teams have played to the Under in four of their past five.
Steelers vs Ravens odds
- Spread: Steelers +5.5 (-104) | Ravens -5.5 (-118)
- Moneyline: Steelers +240 | Ravens -295
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (-104) | Under 43.5 (-118)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Steelers vs Ravens trend to know
The Steelers have an active 2-5 record against the spread, and they’ve also only covered the number in two of their past eight road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Steelers vs. Ravens.
How to watch Steelers vs Ravens
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
| Date | Sunday, December 7, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Steelers vs Ravens latest injuries
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