Steelers @ Ravens Picks & Props

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. While Zay Flowers has accounted for 14.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's offense near the goal line this week at 21.1%. Zay Flowers places in the 89th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a massive 63.4 figure this year. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.7% to 72.1%. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. With an exceptional 26.8% Red Zone Target Rate (95th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews ranks among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Mark Andrews's 36.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 84th percentile for TEs. With an outstanding ratio of 0.38 per game through the air (88th percentile), Mark Andrews stands among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football among tight ends this year. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.9%) to TEs this year (80.9%).

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year. With a remarkable rate of 0.36 per game through the air (87th percentile), Pat Freiermuth stands as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. With an outstanding ratio of 1.50 per game (79th percentile), Lamar Jackson places as one of the top TD throwers in the league this year. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%). The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.75 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year. The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year. Jaylen Warren's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 89.5% to 93.5%.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. As it relates to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the lofty 81st percentile among RBs this year, accruing a whopping 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.7%) to running backs this year (88.7%). The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. DK Metcalf's 61.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for wide receivers. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.