NFL Week 9 is wrapped up, with NFL Week 10 odds on the betting board and already getting some action. Among the noteworthy games, the Buffalo Bills visit the Arizona Cardinals, and the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams meet in an NFC West clash.
Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NFL Week 10 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.
NFL Week 10 Odds
These are the current NFL Week 10 odds, as of November 8. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.
|Colts at Titans||8:20 p.m. ET Thursday||Colts -1||48.5|
|Bengals at Steelers||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Steelers -6.5||45.5|
|Washington at Lions||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Lions -2.5||45.5|
|Texans at Browns||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Texans +4.5||45.5|
|Jaguars at Packers||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Jaguars +13.5||47|
|Eagles at Giants||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Giants +4.5||44.5|
|Buccaneers at Panthers||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Panthers +6||49.5|
|Broncos at Raiders||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Raiders -3||50.5|
|Bills at Cardinals||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Cardinals -3||55.5|
|Seahawks at Rams||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Rams -2.5||55|
|49ers at Saints||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Saints -9.5||49|
|Ravens at Patriots||8:20 p.m. ET Sunday||Patriots +7||44|
|Vikings at Bears||8:15 p.m. ET Monday||Bears +3||44.5|
|Chargers at Dolphins||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Dolphins -2.5||49|
Odds courtesy of The SuperBook
Teams on bye: Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, New York Jets
Titans -2, Over/Under 49.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Titans -2.5 and by this morning crossed over to Colts -1, with 63 percent of tickets on Tennessee, but 57 percent of handle on Indianapolis. The total moved from 50 to 48.5 to 49, with 52 percent of bets and 68 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Tennessee opened -2.5 at William Hill US and dipped to pick by Wednesday evening on sharp Colts money, according to director of trading Nick Bogdanovich. But it's a two-way game at this point. "We're pretty darn even right now," Bogdanovich said. The total opened at 50 and got to 48.5 by Tuesday morning, and there's two-way action on this market, as well. Fifty-five percent of tickets and 54 percent of money are on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: This line saw a significant move over the past 24 hours at The SuperBook at Westgate, jumping the fence from Titans -2 to Colts -1.5. "Just sharp money on the Colts and some Tennessee injuries," SuperBook risk manager Cameron Coombs said. The Titans will again be without wideout Adam Humphries (concussion), while Colts wideout T.Y. Hilton is all set to return from a groin injury. The total has been pinned to 48.5 since Monday afternoon.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: In just the past few hours, this line jumped the fence at FanDuel, from Titans -1.5 to Colts -1. This afternoon, tickets and money were 5/1 and 3/1, respectively, on Tennessee; now, tickets are still 5/1, but money tightened to 2/1 Titans, as there appears to be some respected play on Indianapolis.
UPDATE 2:45 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tennessee moved from -1.5 to -2.5 and back to -1.5 at FanDuel, all by Monday evening. Despite the shift back to the opener, ticket count is more than 5/1 and money more than 3/1 on the Titans. The total is down to 48.5 from 50.5, on dead-even two-way betting, with money split 50/50 and 51 percent of tickets on the Under.
Tennessee looks to put a little daylight between itself and Indianapolis in this AFC South clash Thursday night. The SuperBook opened the Titans -2 and got to -2.5 in short order.
"Philip Rivers was awful today, but we don't want to overreact too much," Murray said Sunday night, alluding to the Colts QB's lousy performance in a 24-10 home loss to Baltimore. "The Colts really should've been up by more at halftime in that game, and we still trust their defense. I'll never understand what the officials saw on that Marcus Peters interception. That was a real turning point in the game."
Steelers -9.5, Over/Under 47.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 4:10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Steelers tumbled from -10.5 to -6.5 at FanDuel, edged back up to -7.5 and are now -6.5 again as kickoff approaches. However, ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on Pittsburgh. The total fell from 48.5 to 44.5, then ticked up to 45.5, with 75 percent of bets on the Over, but just 59 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings dropped from Steelers -9.5 last Sunday to -6.5 by today. although 65 percent of bets and 72 percent of dollars are on Pittsburgh. The total dipped from 47.5 to 44.5, then rebounded to 45.5, with 71 percent of tickets/84 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line finally went back up Saturday at The SuperBook, at the same spot it was taken down Tuesday: Steelers -7.5. The game was reposted after Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was taken off the reserve/COVID-19 list, having passed a series of tests this week. The Steelers opened -9.5 last Sunday and dropped to -7.5 by Monday afternoon, thanks in part to sharp Bengals action.
UPDATE 2:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This line tumbled to Pittsburgh -7.5 by Monday afternoon, well before Tuesday morning's news that Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and three other players went on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Reports indicate none tested positive, but all went on the list do to potential contact with tight end Vance McDonald, who tested positive Monday. The game is currently off the board. "We took sharp money on the Bengals +8.5 before we took the line down," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "There are some sharp groups that think that the Steelers have been overrated in the market."
Pittsburgh overcame a couple of scares Sunday, one from Dallas and one from star QB Ben Roethlisberger's knee, to get a 24-19 victory over the upstart and undermanned Cowboys. So the Steelers remain the league's only unbeaten team, at 8-0 SU (6-2 ATS). The SuperBook opened Pittsburgh -9.5 and stuck there through Sunday night. Cincinnati is coming off its bye week.
Lions -4.5, Over/Under 46
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: This game didn't go up until Saturday morning, with the Lions posted as 4.5-point favorites, and the line dropped to -3 within a few hours, though tickets and money are 2/1 on Detroit. The total is up a tick from 46 to 46.5, with 70 percent of bets on the Over and 61 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This game didn't get posted until Saturday morning at The SuperBook, while oddsmakers waited for certainty on the status of Detroit QB Matthew Stafford. It appears Stafford is good to go, and the line opened Lions -4.5, but it was bet down to -3 by Saturday afternoon.
Detroit QB Matthew Stafford was in concussion protocol after Sunday's 34-20 loss at Minnesota, prompting The SuperBook to keep this game off the board until there's more clarity on the situation. Washington has its own QB issues after Kyle Allen suffered a dislocated ankle in Sunday's 23-20 loss to the New York Giants, putting Alex Smith back under center.
Browns -1.5, Over/Under 54
Why the line moved
UPDATE 12:55 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings moved the Browns from -2.5 to -4.5 over the course of the week, taking 62 percent of tickets and 70 percent of money on Cleveland. The total tumbled from 54 to 45, then edged up to 46 today, with 72 percent of bets but just 53 percent of money on the Over for a windy day in Cleveland.
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland is up to -4.5 from a -2.5 opener at PointsBet USA, with 62 percent of tickets and 74 percent of money on the Browns. The total went from 54 to 54.5 before plummeting to 45, with weather a factor today in Cleveland. Seventy-four percent of bets are on the Over, but 58 percent of money is on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Cleveland is up to -4 from the -2.5 opener at FanDuel, with the Browns getting 65 percent of tickets. However, point-spread money is flowing both ways, with 51 percent on the home favorite. Windy weather is anticipated, and the total reflects that, spiraling down from 54.5 to 45.5, yet tickets and money are about 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US just moved to Browns -3.5, a tick up from Monday's opener of -3, with 64 percent of tickets and 90 percent of money on Cleveland. The total has totally plummeted, from 54 to 46 on the expectation of windy weather, with a heavy majority of dollars on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland moved from -2.5 to -4, then dipped to -3.5 at DraftKings, where 70 percent of bets and 92 percent of money are landing on the Browns. The total tumbled from 54 to 49, with 56 percent of bets on the Over, but 66 percent of money on the Under.
Houston eked out a win at Jacksonville in Week 9, while Cleveland had a bye. The SuperBook opened the Browns -1.5 and moved to -2.5 within an hour.
"The Browns have to win games like this if they want to make the playoffs," Murray said. "Baker Mayfield went into COVID protocol today. That's something to monitor, but we expect him to play Sunday. We think Houston is much better than their 2-6 record, and this line shows it."
Packers -13.5, Over/Under 53
Why the line moved
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line bounced between Packers -13.5 and -14 all week and is currently -13.5 at DraftKings, with tickets and money running 3/1 on Green Bay. The total dropped from 53 to 47 on news of windy weather in the frozen tundra, though 60 percent of bets and 75 percent of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: FanDuel had modest movement on this game, from Green Bay -13.5 to -14 and back to -13.5, with the Packers attracting 83 percent of tickets, but just 61 percent of money. This is another game expecting healthy wins, and as such, the total tumbled from 54.5 to 47.5, with 69 percent of tickets on the Over, but 85 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Green Bay is down a notch to -13.5 from an opener of -14 at William Hill US, with 77 percent of point-spread tickets and 60 percent of point-spread money on the Packers. With wind/foul weather in the forecast, the total is down to 49 from 53.5, and William Hill US director of trading Nick Bogdanovich noted a heavy majority of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Green Bay opened -13.5 at DraftKings, then ticked up to -14 and down to -13, where the line stands tonight, with tickets and money running about 2/1 on the Packers. The total fell from 53 to 50 by this evening, with 72 percent of bets on the Over, but a slim majority of 51 percent of money on the Under.
Green Bay is on a mini-bye, having played and rolled in the Week 9 Thursday nighter, a 34-17 victory at San Francisco. Jacksonville, meanwhile, fell just short at home to Houston, 27-25. The Packers opened -13.5 at The SuperBook, and the line was stable Sunday night.
Giants +3, Over/Under 42
Why the line moved
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Eagles moved from -3.5 to -5 to -4.5 on two-way action at DraftKings, where 52 percent of bets and 59 percent of money are on Philadelphia. The total is up to 45 from 41, with ticket count about 4/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Eagles are up to -5 from an opener of -3 at PointsBet USA, where 59 percent of bets and 72 percent of money are on Philadelphia. The total moved from 42 to 44.5, with 75 percent of bets and 91 percent of dollars on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Philly opened -3 and is now -4 at FanDuel in a game seeing two-way action, with 54 percent of bets on the Eagles and 54 percent of dollars on the Giants. The total is up to 44.5 from 41, with 79 percent of bets/90 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Philadelphia crept from -3 to -4 by earlier today on two-way action at William Hill US, with ticket count split right down the middle and 54 percent of spread money on the Eagles. The total is up to 44.5 from an opener of 42, with ticket count and money both heavily on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Philadelphia bounced between -3.5 and -3 over the past couple of days at DraftKings and currently sits at the opener of -3.5, with 64 percent of bets/69 percent of money on the Eagles. The total is up to 44.5 from an opener of 41.5, with ticket count 5/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The line ticked up a half-point Monday to Eagles -3.5 at The SuperBook, but the bigger jump was on the total, which is up to 44. "Market move on the total," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "The Eagles are getting healthier, possibly getting Myles Sanders back." The running back missed two games with a knee injury.
New York held on for a 23-20 win at Washington on Sunday, while Philadelphia had a Week 9 bye in the dreadful NFC East. The Eagles opened as 3-point road favorites at The SuperBook, and there was no line movement Sunday.
Panthers +4.5, Over/Under 48
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: At PointsBet USA, the Bucs moved from -6 to -4.5 to -6.5 to -5.5, with Tampa taking 72 percent of bets and 87 percent of cash on the point spread. The total went from 50.5 to 51 to 49.5, though tickets are 4/1 and money beyond 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tampa Bay moved from -6.5 to -4.5 and rebounded to -5.5 at FanDuel, where the ticket count and money are both in the 4/1 range on the Bucs. The total moved from 47.5 to 50.5, with tickets and money in the 4/1 range on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: After opening Tampa Bay -6.5, William Hill US has been at Bucs -5.5 since Wednesday, with 64 percent of tickets/56 percent of money on the favorite. The total is up to 50.5 from 48, with the vast majority of money on the Over.
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Buccaneers started today at -4.5, then jumped to -5 and onto -5.5 at The SuperBook in the wake of news that Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) will not play Sunday. That news did not impact the total, which has been stable since Monday afternoon at 50.5, after opening 48.5.
UPDATE 2:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This line jumped around quite a bit early. The SuperBook opened Tampa Bay -4.5 late Sunday afternoon, took the game down during the Saints-Bucs game Sunday night, went back up at Bucs -6 Monday morning, then dropped to -4.5 earlier today. "Sharp action on the Panther at +6.5, +6, +5.5 and +5," Osterman said. Perhaps that's bettors banking on star running back Christian McCaffrey overcoming a shoulder injury this week and playing Sunday. McCaffrey missed six games, then returned Sunday at Kansas City and piled up 151 yards from scrimmage and two TDs. The total in this game made a sizable jump from 48 to 50.5. "We took some sharp action on Over 49," Osterman said. "People looking for the Bucs' offense to bounce back after a poor performance against the Saints."
Tampa Bay got smacked by New Orleans 38-3 in the Sunday nighter. Meanwhile, Carolina gave defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City all it could handle, though the Panthers fell just short 33-31. The SuperBook opened the Bucs -4.5, and per standard operating procedure, pulled this game off the board during the Saints-Bucs contest. The game will go back up Monday morning, after oddsmakers assess Tampa's dismal performance.
Raiders -4, Over/Under 50.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:55 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Shortly before kickoff, the Raiders are -3 at FanDuel, down from the opener of -4 and the high point of -5.5, with ticket count 3/1 and money 3/2 on Las Vegas. The total moved from 51 to 52.5, then down to 50.5, but tickets are still 4/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas is now down to -3 at DraftKings, after opening -4 and peaking at -5.5. Still, tickets and money are running 3/1 on the Raiders. The total went from 50.5 to 52.5, then backed up to 50.5 again, with tickets and money about 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 9:15 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Raiders stretched to -5.5 from an opener of -4 at FanDuel, then receded all the way to -3.5 by Saturday. It's apparent that sharp play on the Broncos is helping push that line down, while the public is on Las Vegas, which is still getting 70 percent of bets and 58 percent of money. The total went from 51 to 52.5, then back to 50.5, though 83 percent of bets/61 percent of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Las Vegas quickly moved from -3.5 to -5 early in the week, but this line dialed back to -4 by Thursday morning at William Hill US. The Raiders are taking 73 percent of tickets, but the Broncos have 51 percent of dollars on the spread. "The sharps are all over Denver, though we’ll probably need Denver for a wheelbarrow-full of money come game time against the Raiders."
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Las Vegas moved from -4 to -5.5, then dialed down to -5 this afternoon at DraftKings, but it's all Raiders, with ticket count nearly 5/1 and money more than 9/1 on the home favorite. The total bounced from 50.5 to 52.5 to 51, with 56 percent of bets and 81 percent of money on the Over.
Las Vegas held on for a 31-26 win at the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, while Denver lost to Atlanta 34-27. This line stuck at Raiders -4 through Sunday night at The SuperBook.
Cardinals -1.5, Over/Under 54.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:55 P.M. ET SUNDAY: FanDuel moved the Cardinals from -2.5 to -1.5, then up to -3, with 53 percent of tickets on the Bills and 52 percent of money on the Cards. The total shifted from 53 to 56.5 to 55.5, with tickets and money 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Arizona is up to -3 from an opener of -1 at DraftKings, but Buffalo is a public 'dog this week, with point-spread tickets landing almost 4/1 and spread money 2/1 on the Bills. The total moved from 53.5 to 56.5 to 55.5, with tickets 4/1 and money beyond 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Cardinals moved from -2 to -3, then to -2.5 at PointsBet USA. "Good two-way action on this game," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. "The Bills are accounting for 58 percent of bet count, but the Cardinals are attracting 51 percent of spread handle." The total went from 53.5 to 56.5 to 55.5, with 80 percent of bets/88 percent of dollars on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Cards moved from -2.5 to -1.5 right away, crept back up to -3 and are now -2.5 at FanDuel. It's two-way action on the spread, with Buffalo actually getting 56 percent of tickets and money split right down the middle. The total is up to 56.5 from an opener of 52.5, with tickets and money 4/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Arizona opened -1 at William Hill US and stretched to -2.5 by Thursday on interesting betting splits, with 63 percent of tickets on the Bills and 63 percent of money on the Cardinals. The total moved from 53.5 to 56.5, with tickets about 2/1 and money beyond 6/1 on the Over. "People are really betting Buffalo overs this season,” director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. “Their defense is horrific right now, and their offense is pretty darn unstoppable."
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Arizona opened -1.5 and got to -2.5 early today at DraftKings, then inched back to -2. Point-spread ticket count and money are both running just shy of 3/1 on the Bills. The total surged from 53 to 56.5 and is now 56, with 83 percent of tickets and almost every early dollar on the Over.
Buffalo got a statement win over Seattle on Sunday, 44-34 at home. Arizona was dealt a surprising 34-31 home loss by Tua Tagovailoa and Miami. So it was no surprise that the first move on this line was toward the Bills.
"We moved quickly to -1," Murray said. "This is a very interesting game. The Cardinals are off a loss, and the Bills are coming off their best win of the season and the best game of Josh Allen's career. It's very much a toss-up game, and the line shows it. There should be good two-way write."
Rams -1.5, Over/Under 55.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 4:10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles is up to -2.5 from an opener of -1 at FanDuel, even though 71 percent of bets and 62 percent of tickets are on Seattle. The total is down a point to 54.5, though the betting splits show 88 percent of tickets and 85 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line opened Rams -1 at DraftKings and spent most of the week bouncing between -1.5, -2 and -2.5, and it's now -2.5. But the Seahawks are even more of a public 'dog than the Bills, landing 90 percent of tickets and 80 percent of cash on the spread. The total moved from 55.5 to 54.5 to 55, but 84 percent of bets/93 percent of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Rams opened -1 and are up to -2.5 at FanDuel, but that runs counter to the point-spread betting splits: 76 percent of tickets and 72 percent of dollars are on the Seahawks. The total is down a point to 54.5, but 82 percent of bets and 72 percent of money are on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Los Angeles inched from -1 to -1.5 on Sunday night at William Hill US, and there's been no movement since, with Seattle taking 74 percent of bets and 56 percent of money on the spread. "Seattle is a public underdog. We're definitely going to need the Rams," WillHill's Nick Bogdanovich said. The total fell from 55.5 to 54.5, withi 80 percent of bets on the Over, but 54 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Los Angeles is a 1.5-point favorite at DraftKings, after opening at -1 and getting to -2.5 Tuesday. Early bettors are hammering Seattle, which is drawing 89 percent of bets and 86 percent of dollars on the spread. The total is bouncing between 55.5 and 55, with a tickets running 3/1 and money 6/1 on the Over.
While Seattle suffered the aforementioned loss at Buffalo, Los Angeles was on a bye week. The Rams are short home favorites in this NFC West clash.
"We opened Rams -1.5 and are now -2," Murray said. "The Seahawks' defense stinks, and today, Russell Wilson finally got into a game (in which) he couldn't bail out the defense. I don't trust that Seattle D at all, but I also don't trust Jared Goff. I do think the public will trust Russ to bounce back here."
Saints -6.5, Over/Under 51
Why the line moved
UPDATE 4:10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New Orleans stretched from -6.5 to -10 at FanDuel, then ticked back to -9.5. Despite the large move, the Saints are attracting only 55 percent of bets and 60 percent of the money on the spread. The total is down to 49.5 from a high of 51, with 73 percent of bets/63 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New Orleans is up to -9.5 after opening -7 at DraftKings, where tickets and money are about 2/1 on the Saints. The total is down to 49.5 from an opener of 52.5, with 70 percent of bets on the Over, but 51 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: FanDuel opened New Orleans -6.5 got to -10 in a hurry, by Monday night, and the number is now -9.5. But this game is drawing two-way action, despite San Francisco missing Jimmy Garoppolo among a host of key players. The Saints are getting just 51 percent of tickets and 55 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 50.5 to 51, then down to 48.5, with 72 percent of bets/62 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US is at Saints -9.5 after opening -9, with ticket count 3/1 and money more than 2/1 on New Orleans against a short-handed San Francisco unit. "I would say our biggest decision will probably be New Orleans-San Francisco,” WillHill's Nick Bogdanovich said. “New Orleans is coming off one of the more impressive performances this season against Tampa, and San Francisco is a train wreck. That one is a (later) game, and the Saints will have a zillion teasers on them.”
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: New Orleans opened -7 and stretched to -9 at DraftKings, where ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on the Saints. The total is down to 49 from 52.5, with 68 percent of bets on the Over, but the Under taking 53 percent of dollars.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET TUESDAY: After New Orleans' dominant win over Tampa Bay, The SuperBook reposted this line Monday morning at Saints -8.5 and stretched to -9.5 Monday afternoon, before moving back to -9 today. "The 49ers are devastated with injuries, and there is some thought that the public will look to back the Saints after a good performance," SuperBook oddsmaker Ericd Osterman said. "Also, 9 is a better teaser number for the books."
New Orleans boat raced Tampa Bay 38-3 under the prime-time lights Sunday night. San Francisco had no such luck in the Thursday nighter, with its depleted squad falling to Green Bay 34-17. The defending NFC champion Niners will still be minus QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) and tight end George Kittle (foot) for a few weeks, and they've got a host of other injuries. The SuperBook opened the Saints -6.5, and the game came off the board once New Orleans kicked off at Tampa.
"That line will go up after tonight," Murray assured. "The 49ers have a ton of guys out, and the Saints will be a hot team after what they did to Brady and the Bucs. The Saints will be in just about every moneyline parlay and teaser next week. We will be 49ers fans again next weekend."
Patriots +7, Over/Under 41.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook at Westgate, was succinct in his assessment of this game, shortly before kickoff: "I know we need the Patriots huge." That's due to a lot of teaser and moneyline parlay liability running to the Ravens, who have pretty much bounced between -7 and -6.5 all week and are currently -7. The book also very much needs the Under, as parlay play is running to the Over, as well. The total opened at 41.5 and is up to 44.
UPDATE 5:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: BetMGM Nevada has a developing need on New England tonight. Baltimore has stuck at -7 all week, but ticket count is 4/1 on the Ravens, and money is much more disjointed due to a $235,000 bet on Ravens -6.5 (-135), with the customer buying the half-point. On top of the straight-bet liability, Baltimore is a popular moneyline parlay and teaser play. "That'll be the end of everyone's teasers," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore opened -6.5, peaked at -8, then receded to -6.5 at DraftKings, but bettors are just hammering the Ravens, to the tune of 86 percent of bets and 90 percent of cash. The total is up to 44 from 41, with ticket count 3/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Ravens went from -6.5 to -7.5 and back to -6.5 at FanDuel, but it's a landslide of action for Baltimore, which is attracting 94 percent of tickets and 88 percent of money. The total is up to 43.5 from 41, though tickets are running just 57 percent and money 52 percent to the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Baltimore opened -7, dipped to -6.5, rose to -7.5 and is now back to the opener at William Hill US. The Ravens are taking an avalanche of the early point-spread action, at 89 percent of tickets and 95 percent of dollars. The total is up to 43.5 from 41, with tickets and money both in the 9/1 range on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore opened -6.5 and hit a peak of -8 Tuesday at DraftKings, then dipped to -7. But the Ravens are quite popular early, landing 90 percent of bets and 94 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 41 to 44 and is now 43.5, with tickets 5/1 on the Over and practically every dollar on the Over.
This would normally be a matchup of top-shelf teams working their way into playoff form, under the Sunday night lights. However, New England is just 2-5 SU heading into the Week 9 Monday nighter at the New York Jets. Baltimore, meanwhile, is 6-2 SU and coming off a solid win at Indianapolis.
"The Ravens opened -7, and we moved quickly to -6.5. This is a funny line to see when the Ravens are at New England," Murray said. "I'm very curious to watch Lamar Jackson go against Bill Belichick. It seems like a lot of defensive coaches have learned and made adjustments against Jackson. And nobody is better at game-planning than Belichick. I wouldn't count him out just yet.
"I'm sure we will need New England huge, given the top slot on Sunday night, so you'll probably see this line at 7 again."
Bears +2.5, Over/Under 44.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: Minnesota opened -2.5, moved to -3 Friday and is still there now at PointsBet USA, with solid two-way action, as the Vikings are taking 52 percent of tickets and 51 percent of money on the point spread. The total moved from 44.5 to 45 early last week, then fell to 43, made its way back to 44.5 and is now 44, with 61 percent of tickets and 83 percent of dollars on the Over. As always, the prop bet of who scores the first touchdown is popular, with Vikings running back Dalvin Cook (+320) leading the way in taking more than 20 percent of bets in that market. Bears running back Lamar Miller (+1,600) is drawing the second-most tickets.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET MONDAY: William Hill US opened Minnesota -1.5 and got to -3.5 by this afternoon, then dipped a notch to -3. The Vikings are taking 60 percent of spread bets and 65 percent of spread money. "This line is just based off current form," WillHill US director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "The Vikings have two impressive wins in a row, including one in Green Bay. Chicago is Chicago: not great, not bad, vanilla on offense, good defense." The total opened at 44.5 and got to 45, then dropped to 43.5 Thursday before climbing back to 44 today. The Over is getting 69 percent of tickets and 63 percent of money.
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings has Minnesota -3.5, up a point from the opener, but that's running counter to the point-spread betting splits: 82 percent of tickets and 68 percent of money are on the Bears at home tonight. The total opened at 44.5 and dipped to 43, but is now 43.5, with tickets and money 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Minnesota is up to -3.5 at FanDuel from an opener of -2.5, with 61 percent of tickets and 57 percent of money on the Vikes. The total dipped from 44.5 to 43.5, but the Over is getting 60 percent of tickets/68 percent of money.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Minnesota opened -1.5 and by late this afternoon got to -3 at William Hill US, as ticket count runs 2/1 and money 5/1 on the visiting Vikings in the Monday night game.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Minnesota moved from -2.5 to -3 at DraftKings on a 4/1 ticket count and 9/1 money ratio for the Monday nighter. The total crept down to 43.5 from 44.5, with 54 percent of bets on the Over and 57 percent of money on the Under.
Three weeks ago, Chicago was 5-1 SU and seemingly in good form. Now the Bears are 5-4 SU and on a three-game skid, while Minnesota won its last two, a road upset of Green Bay and Sunday's 34-20 home win over Detroit. So even though Minnesota is just 3-5 SU and Chicago is at home, the Bears are catching 2.5 points at The SuperBook for the Week 10 Monday night tilt.
"We just looked at who we think people will be looking to bet, after what they've seen the last two weeks," Murray said. There was no disagreement with the line Sunday night, as it did not move.
Dolphins -1, Over/Under 50
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:55 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami moved from -1.5 to -2.5 a couple of times at FanDuel and is at -2.5 now, with 64 percent of bets/61 percent of money on the Dolphins. The total bounced around between 47 and 49.5 this week and is currently at 49, with tickets and money 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Miami opened -3 and is down to -1.5 at William Hill US, where ticket count and money wagered are both in the 2/1 range on the Dolphins. "The public’s on Miami right now, but the sharps are on the Chargers," William Hill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line is pinned to the opener of -2.5 at DraftKings, despite 70 percent of early spread bets and 87 percent of early spread money on Miami. The total dropped from 50 to 48, then inched to 48.5, with the Over getting 93 percent of bets, but just 63 percent of money.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The total was a noteworthy early mover at The SuperBook, dialing down to 47.5 by Monday afternoon before ticking back up to 48 today. "Sharp action on Under 49, market moves on the rest," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
Tua Tagovailoa and Miami got a surprising 34-31 victory at Arizona on Sunday, while Los Angeles took another kick in the gut in a one-score game, losing to Las Vegas 31-26. The SuperBook opened the Dolphins -1 and moved to -2.5 within an hour Sunday night, with Murray saying that was more a move with the market.
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