If you think Punxsutawney Phil was feeling the pressure on Groundhog Day, just wait until someone asks you to predict Super Bowl LX.
Better yet, try placing a bet on the exact score between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots on Sunday, February 8.
As far as the Super Bowl odds are concerned, the scoreboard at Levi’s Stadium will read 24-21 in favor of Seattle (+9000 at DraftKings), given the spread and total.
But if you believe SBLX deviates from those odds, your Super Bowl score predictions for Seahawks vs. Patriots could cash in a massive payday on Super Sunday.
Read more in my latest NFL picks ahead of the Big Game.
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Super Bowl exact score odds
| Exact score | |
|---|---|
| +6000 | |
| +6500 | |
| +6500 | |
| +7000 | |
| +7500 | |
| +7500 | |
| +8000 | |
| +8000 | |
| +9000 | |
| +9000 |
Odds as of 2-3.
Super Bowl exact score prediction
The Seattle Seahawks are the stronger team, and arguably the toughest two-way opponent the New England Patriots have faced all year.
None of this is meant to diminish New England, especially with the way this defense is playing since a bye in Week 14. Mike Vrabel has this stop unit stuffing the run, bringing the blitz, and creating “game-changing” plays in the form of sacks and takeaways.
That initial reaction to snatch up the Seahawks’ outright odds and avoid the point spread is telling. As a personal rule (backed by years of wagering), I try not to bet on favorites of -4 or -4.5 as we often see those faves fall short of the oddsmaker's expectations.
Since 2020, favorites of -4 to -4.5 have won outright at a 61% clip but have covered the spread in fewer than 44% of those games. This season has been especially brutal for that range, with teams going just 9-10 straight up and an ugly 4-15 against the spread (21%).
In Super Bowl LX, a Seattle win paired with a New England cover would be the dream scenario for bookmakers. The majority of spread money has poured in on the Seahawks at -4.5, while Patriots backers have largely bypassed the points and opted for the moneyline instead.
A 24-23 Seattle victory would score a big win for the “bad guys” and also pay out at +13000 on the correct score prop market.
According to the always-interesting “NFL Scorigami”, a 24-23 finish has happened 79 times in pro football history — most recently between none other than the Patriots and Atlanta Falcons in Week 8. A botched PAT by the Falcons in the fourth quarter cost them the win and led to this particular final score.
Logan's prediction: Seahawks 24 - Patriots 23 (+13000 at DraftKings)
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Super Bowl exact score history
The most common score in pro football history has been 20-17 for the winning team, with a combined game total of 37. It has occurred 290 times in approximately 17,662 games over the past century.
Two of the previous 10 Super Bowls have ended with scores that rank among the Top 25 most common in football history.
The most common football scores
| Total Occurrences | Winning Team Score | Losing Team Score |
|---|---|---|
| 290 | 20 | 17 |
| 234 | 27 | 24 |
| 202 | 23 | 20 |
| 200 | 17 | 14 |
| 177 | 24 | 17 |
| 169 | 13 | 10 |
| 158 | 24 | 21 |
| 147 | 17 | 10 |
| 145 | 16 | 13 |
| 139 | 24 | 14 |
| 137 | 24 | 10 |
| 127 | 27 | 20 |
| 126 | 23 | 17 |
| 123 | 20 | 10 |
| 123 | 27 | 17 |
| 118 | 24 | 20 |
| 115 | 20 | 13 |
| 108 | 17 | 7 |
| 108 | 17 | 13 |
| 106 | 21 | 17 |
| 104 | 31 | 17 |
| 103 | 27 | 10 |
| 98 | 21 | 14 |
| 98 | 20 | 14 |
| 95 | 27 | 7 |
Last 10 Super Bowl scores
| Super Bowl | Winning Team | Winning Score | Losing Team | Losing Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 40 | 22 | ||
| 58 | 25 | 22 | ||
| 57 | 38 | 35 | ||
| 56 | 23 | 20 | ||
| 55 | 31 | 9 | ||
| 54 | 31 | 20 | ||
| 53 | 13 | 3 | ||
| 52 | 41 | 33 | ||
| 51 | 34 | 28 | ||
| 50 | 24 | 10 | ||
| 49 | 28 | 24 |






