The Seattle Seahawks face off against the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 60 this Sunday.
I dig into the player props for the Big Game and bring you my favorite NFL picks, headlined by wagers on both starting quarterbacks and a less heralded running back.
Here are my best free Seahawks vs. Patriots props for Super Bowl LX on February 8.
Seahawks vs Patriots props for Super Bowl LX
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Drake Maye |
Longest rush Over 13.5 yards | -115 |
 Kenneth Walker III |
Under 73.5 rushing yards | -114 |
| Sam Darnold |
Over 229.5 passing yards | -113 |
| George Holani |
Over 1.5 receptions | -123 |
| Hunter Henry |
Over 39.5 receiving yards | -113 |
Drake Maye Longest Rush Over 13.5 rushing yards (-115)
Drake Maye picked up 28 yards on a crucial third-down scramble against Denver in the AFC Championship. The New England Patriots' superstar quarterback has recorded a rush of 14+ yards in five of his last seven games.
He's been flushed out of the pocket and forced to make plays with his legs due to poor pass protection. That should be the case in the Super Bowl with the Seattle Seahawks boasting the sixth-highest pressure rate in the NFL.
Opposing quarterbacks scrambled 43 times against the Seahawks during the regular season — the second-highest number in the league.
Kenneth Walker Under 73.5 rushing yards (-114)
Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III shredded San Francisco's brutal defense in the Divisional Round, but has struggled against strong run defenses, which the Patriots have.
The Pats held opposing running backs to 77.1 rushing yards per game on 3.9 yards per carry during the regular season — both numbers good for fifth-best in the league. They've been even better in the playoffs, holding RBs to 38.7 rushing yards per game on 2.4 ypa.
Walker was limited to 62 yards on 19 carries against the Rams in the NFC Conference Championship. He had seven regular-season games against teams in the Top 10 in defensive rush success rate and was held below 70 yards and 4.0 yards per rush in five of those contests.
Sam Darnold Over 229.5 passing yards (-113)
With how good New England is against the run, Seattle will likely air it out against a defense that ranked 15th in dropback success rate.
The Pats haven't allowed many passing yards lately, but have often played in poor weather while facing a slew of bad QBs, including Brady Cook, Quinn Ewers, and Jarrett Stidham.
They'll have a tougher time containing Sam Darnold, who completed 25 of 36 passes for 346 yards in the Conference Championship. Darnold threw for 4,048 yards in the regular season despite often playing with a positive game script, which he's less likely to have in the Super Bowl.
George Holani Over 1.5 receptions (-123)
The Pats have contained running backs on the ground, but have been vulnerable through the air. They allowed the fifth-most receptions against RBs (84) during the regular season.
That bodes well for Seahawks RB George Holani, who has seen his snaps increase after Zach Charbonnet tore his ACL in the Divisional Round.
Holani will get plenty of reps on passing downs since he's a better blocker than Walker. He reeled in three of four targets for 27 yards in the Conference Championship.
Hunter Henry Over 39.5 receiving yards (-113)
Hunter Henry logged 45+ receiving yards in five of his last seven regular-season games before racking up 64 yards against the Chargers in the Wild Card Round. He had just three catches for 17 total yards over the last two rounds, but should bounce back here.
Seattle's stingy defense struggles against tight ends, allowing the fifth-most receptions (105) and the sixth-most yards (1,080) to the position during the regular season.
In the playoffs, the Seahawks gave up 59 yards to 49ers TE Jake Tonges and 62 yards to Rams TE Colby Parkinson.
The Seahawks play zone at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL, and Henry had the fourth-highest receiving grade among tight ends against zone coverage per Pro Football Focus.
Super Bowl prop betting card
- Maye longest rush Over 13.5 yards (-115)
- Walker III Under 73.5 rushing yards (-114)
- Darnold Over 229.5 passing yards (-113)
- Holani Over 1.5 receptions (-123)
- Henry Over 39.5 receiving yards (-113)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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