College Football Odds Week 12: Opening lines and sharp money

Nov 21, 2020 |
College Football Odds Week 12: Opening lines and sharp money
Wideout Whop Philyor and No. 10 Indiana hope their surprising season continues Saturday at No. 3 Ohio State. But oddsmakers aren't seeing it, as the Buckeyes are 20.5-point favorites in the Big Ten clash.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Wideout Whop Philyor and No. 10 Indiana hope their surprising season continues Saturday at No. 3 Ohio State. But oddsmakers aren't seeing it, as the Buckeyes are 20.5-point favorites in the Big Ten clash.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

College football odds for Week 12 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on college football Week 12 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups. Covers will update this action report with college football sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

These are the current College football Week 12 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 9. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
UCLA at (13) Oregon 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Oregon -17.5 61.5
(7) Cincinnati at Central Florida 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Central Florida +4.5 65.5
(1) Clemson at Florida State PPD OTB OTB
(10) Indiana at (3) Ohio State Noon ET Saturday Ohio State -21.5 67.5
(19) USC at Utah 10:30 p.m. ET Saturday Utah +1 58.5
(12) Wisconsin at (20) Northwestern 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Northwestern +8.5 43.5
Kentucky at (1) Alabama 4 p.m. ET Saturday Alabama -31.5 57.5
(5) Florida at Vanderbilt Noon ET Saturday Vanderbilt +31.5 68.5
(14) Oklahoma State vs (17) Oklahoma 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Oklahoma -5.5 60.5
Kansas State at (16) Iowa State 4 p.m. ET Saturday Iowa State -12.5 47.5

Opening line

Oregon -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Shortly before kickoff, Oregon is up to -18 at The SuperBook at Westgate, with UCLA way shorthanded, including not having starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. "Public money has come in on Oregon," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "We will need UCLA to cover."

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: News broke in the past hour that UCLA quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson is out today, one of up to 10 Bruins who will miss the game as part of COVID protocols. Prior to the news, UCLA was already +18.5, and perhaps surprisingly, the number is now +17.5 at FanDuel, where 82 percent of bets and 87 percent of dollars are on the Ducks. The total opened 64.5 and got to 66.5, but is now down to 61.5, with 72 percent of bets/66 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: This line made a significant move today at DraftKings, reaching its low point of Oregon -13 around lunch hour and finishing the day at -17. Point-spread ticket count and money are both running more than 5/1 on  the Ducks. The total in this game is also on a wild ride, opening at 64, topping out at 67 earlier today, then dropping to 64 tonight, though 84 percent of bets/90 percent of money are on the Over.

UPDATE 12:15 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings opened the Ducks -14.5 and moved to -15.5 by Monday evening, then dipped to -13.5 Tuesday morning, with 70 percent of tickets and 79 percent of money on Oregon. The total is up to 66.5 from 64.5, with ticket count and money both 5/1 on the Over.

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The Ducks opened -14.5 at FanDuel and haven't budged through Monday night, meaning early action is probably light, considering that 71 percent of bets and 83 percent of money are on Oregon. The total is already up to 66.5, with 90 percent of bets and practically every dollar on the total running to the Over.

Opening line

Cincinnati -4.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: It's a Pros vs. Joes game at The SuperBook, where Cincinnati peaked at -6 and is down to -4 today. "Big parlay money on Cincy and Over. Sharps all over Central Florida," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "We need Central Florida and Under." The total is up to 65.5 from an opener of 63.5.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line bounced around at FanDuel, from Bearcats -4.5 to -6.5 and back to -4.5, but Cincinnati is dominating the wagering, at 88 percent of bets and 82 percent of money. The total is up to 65.5 from 61.5, with tickets 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Bearcats opened -5.5 at William Hill US and spent most of the week at -6, where they are right now. And this game is all Cincinnati on the spread, with 81 percent of bets and 96 percent of dollars on the Bearcats. "They’re going to be one of our bigger decisions. You’re getting a top-10 team in a real comfortable point-spread range," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "We’ll need Central Florida badly, but I don’t mind our spot there either. Central Florida is Central Florida. It feels like (the Knights) haven’t gotten six points in a long time."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Cincinnati is out to -6 from an opener of -3.5 at DraftKings, where ticket count is more than 6/1 and money more than 4/1 on the Bearcats. The total is up to 63.5 from 61.5, with tickets 3/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line is heading north at PointsBet USA, with Cincinnati currently -5.5 from an opener of -3.5, and the number was up to -6 a couple of times, including earlier today. The Bearcats are taking 88 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money on the spread.

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This line is pinned at Cincinnati -4.5 Monday night, with no movement so far, although point-spread ticket count and money are both running well beyond 9/1 on the Bearcats. The total is seeing similar betting splits on the Over, but the number hasn't yet moved off 61.5.

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Editor's Note: Clemson vs. Florida State has been postponed following a decision by the teams' medical personnel, and will no longer be played Saturday.

Opening line

Clemson -31.5, Over/Under 67.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Who would've thought that Florida State, a powerhouse for decades, would be catching five touchdowns anywhere, let alone on its home field? Such is the state of the program, as No. 4 Clemson is now up to -35.5 at DraftKings, with 58 percent of bets and 75 percent of money on the Tigers. The total has been dropping all week and is now at 63, after opening 67.5, though 91 percent of tickets and 77 percent of dollars are on the Over.

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Trevor Lawrence returns from a bout with COVID-19, and that's led to three more points being added to this spread, with Clemson already up to -34.5. Seventy percent of early tickets and 88 percent of early dollars are on the Tigers. The total is down a point to 66.5, with 67 percent of bets on the Over, but 70 percent of money on the Under.

Opening line

Ohio State -19.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Ohio State opened -19.5 and spent much of the week at -20.5 at FanDuel, then dipped to -17.5 early today, but the Buckeyes are now up to -21.5. Still, 73 percent of tickets and 67 percent of dollars are on big underdog Indiana. The total is up to 67.5 from 64.5, with tickets and money 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US is pinned at Ohio State -20.5, where the line has been all week, though big underdog Indiana is taking 71 percent of tickets and 75 percent of money on the spread. "I think this game will be pretty even when push comes to shove," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "The early action has definitely been an indication that, (while) normally we’d need the 'dog, we won’t in this game. We’ll either need the favorite or it’ll be a small decision. Ohio State’s a monster team, so I know some money will show up on (the Buckeyes) at some point. But it is surprising that we’re high on Indiana right now.”

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: DraftKings opened the Buckeyes a bit higher than others, at -21.5, and the line dipped to -20.5 Monday, where it's remained all week. And in fact, ticket count is 3/1 and money 2/1 on Indiana. The total moved from 64.5 to 66.5, with ticket count and money approaching 9/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Buckeyes moved from -19.5 to -20.5 Sunday evening at PointsBet USA, and the line remains there now, with tickets more than 5/1 and money 3/1 on Ohio State.

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It might be the Game of the Week in college football, and yet it's a hefty double-digit spread. The Buckeyes moved to -20.5 Sunday evening, and that's where the number is Monday night, with ticket count more than 6/1 and money beyond 3/1 on Ohio State. The total is stuck at 64.5, but early tickets and early money are running more than 9/1 on the Over.

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Opening line

Southern California -3.5, Over/Under 56.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Forty-five minutes before kickoff, this line is down to Southern Cal -1 at BetMGM Nevada, from -2.5 a couple of hours ago and the opener of -3. "All Utah late money, and it's sharp play," BetMGM's Scott Shelton said. "Every five-figure bet I've seen since I walked in (two hours ago) is on Utah. Tickets are 2/1 USC, but money is 5/1 Utah. We're stuck mid-five-figures on Utah."

UPDATE 4:10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Three-plus hours ahead of kickoff for this Pac-12 After Dark clash, Southern Cal is down a point from the opener, to -2.5 at FanDuel. The Trojans are getting 52 percent of tickets and 58 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 56.5 to 58.5, with 77 percent of bets/86 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Trojans moved from -2.5 to -3.5 to -3 by midweek, taking 54 percent of tickets and 69 percent of money on the spread at DraftKings. The total moved from 56.5 to 58.5 to 58, with ticket count 5/1 and practically every dollar on the Over.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line is stuck at Southern Cal -3 at PointsBet USA, where there's two-way action, with 63 percent of bets on the Trojans and 65 percent of money on the Utes.

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The Trojans dropped a point to -2.5 Monday afternoon at FanDuel and are still there Monday night, despite 2/1 tickets and practically every early dollar on USC. The total is up a point to 57.5, with tickets 3/1 and, much like the spread, almost all the money on the Over.

Opening line

Wisconsin -6.5, Over/Under 45.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Wisconsin is up to -8.5 pre-kick at FanDuel, with ticket count 3/1 and money more than 2/1 on the Badgers. The total moved from 45.5 to 43.5 to 44.5, with 89 percent of tickets on the Over, but just 54 percent of dollars banking on this game exceeding the total.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: William Hill US remains pinned at Wisconsin -7.5, with point-spread ticket count at 4/1 and money approaching 6/1 on the Badgers.

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This is another Big Ten game in which the line hasn't budged at William Hill US, opening at Badgers -7.5 and staying there all week. However, ticket count and money are running 4/1 on Wisconsin. "Early returns are telling me that we’re going to need Northwestern for a wheelbarrow-full of money," WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. "But I’m more than comfortable with us needing Northwestern. These teams mirror each other, they know each other well, (Pat) Fitzgerald is an excellent coach, he’ll shorten the game. So I can understand why the public is on Wisconsin, but I don’t mind our spot."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Badgers moved from -7.5 to -6.5, then back to -7.5 on Tuesday before ticking to -7 earlier today, with tickets 2/1 and money about 3/1 on Wisconsin. The total is down two points to 43.5, with 93 percent of bets/69 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet USA is up to Wisconsin -7.5 from an opener of -7, with 74 percent of point-spread bets on the Badgers, but just 58 percent of point-spread dollars on Wisconsin.

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Wisconsin is a mere 2-0, but the second of those games was last weekend's 49-11 boatracing of Michigan at the Big House. So it's no surprise to see the Badgers up to -8.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with tickets and money 9/1 on Wisconsin. The total went two points the other way, to 43.5, though tickets are 6/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.

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Opening line

Alabama -29.5, Over/Under 57.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:40 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Alabama is up to -31.5 from -29.5 at FanDuel, with the Crimson Tide attracting 59 percent of tickets and 68 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 57.5 to 58.5 and back to 57.5, with tickets 2/1 on the Over, but money almost 2/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Crimson Tide moved from -30 to -32 at William Hill US, where 60 percent of point-spread tickets and 86 percent of point-spread money are on Alabama.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Alabama opened -29.5 and peaked at -31 before ticking back to -30 Wednesday at DraftKings, where ticket count is 2/1 and money nearly 3/1 on the Crimson Tide. The total moved from 57.5 to 58.5 to 58, with 74 percent of bets/86 percent of money on the Over.

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Alabama got an unplanned bye last week due to LSU dealing with COVID-19 issues. The initial move on this line was toward the big 'dog Kentucky, as 'Bama dipped to -28.5. On Monday night, the line is at Alabama -30.5 on two-way action, with the Crimson Tide taking 53 percent of bets and 54 percent of money. The total is up to 58.5, with ticket count nearly 4/1 and almost every dollar so far on the Over.

Opening line

Florida -30.5, Over/Under 68.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Florida nudged from -30.5 to -31.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 3/1 and money approaching 9/1 on the Gators. The total moved from 68.5 to 66.5, then up to 69.5 and back to the opener of 68.5, with 72 percent of bets and 63 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: DraftKings opened the Gators -30.5 and went to -31.5 Monday, with tickets and money both more than 9/1 on Florida. The total fell from 68.5 to 66.5, then got back up to 68, with 82 percent of bets/74 percent of money on the Over.

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The Gators are up a point to -31.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, with 71 percent of tickets and 80 percent of money on Florida. The total bounced around a bit early, from 68.5 to 66.5 and back to 68.5, with 72 percent of bets and 91 percent of money on the Over.

Opening line

Oklahoma -9.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With kickoff looming, Oklahoma is down to -5.5 at FanDuel, after opening Sunday at -9.5. It's two-way point-spread action with a slight lean to the Sooners, who are attracting 54 percent of bets and 52 percent of money. The total is at 60.5, up two points from the opener, with ticket count 5/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9:45 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Yet another William Hill US line that hasn't moved this week, with Oklahoma still -7. The Sooners are taking 61 percent of tickets, but the money is almost dead even, with a slight edge to the Cowboys at 51 percent.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Oklahoma is down to -7 from an opener of -9.5 at DraftKings, with tickets and money both a shade over 3/1 on underdog Oklahoma State. The total moved from 58.5 to 59.5 to 59, with the Over getting 91 percent of bets, but just 58 percent of money.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Oklahoma opened -9.5 Sunday, dropped to -7 Monday and is stuck there now at PointsBet USA. "Good two-way action so far on this game," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. "Sixty-two percent of spread bets on Oklahima, while 57 percent of spread handle is on Oklahoma State."

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The Bedlam line is on the move early at FanDuel, down to Sooners -5.5 Monday night, though 56 percent of bets and 77 percent of dollars are landing on Oklahoma. The total moved from 58.5 to 60.5, then to 59.5, with ticket count and money both more than 9/1 on the Over.

Opening line

Iowa State -7.5, Over/Under 49.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Iowa State opened -7.5 and got all the way up to -13.5 at FanDuel, then dipped moments ago to -12.5, but there's two-way action, with 65 percent of bets on Kansas State and 62 percent of money on the host Cyclones. The total moved from 49.5 to 45.5 and is now 47.5, with 80 percent of bets/60 percent of money on the Under.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Iowa State is up to -13.5 from -11 at William Hill US, but the betting splits run counter to that move, with 57 percent of tickets and 73 percent of dollars on Kansas State.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Cyclones went from -10.5 to -11 and back to -10.5 at DraftKings, with the underdog Wildcats taking 71 percent of bets and 75 percent of money on the spread. The total dipped from 49.5 to 46, then ticked up to 46.5, and there's a big disparity in betting splits: 96 percent of bets are on the Over, but 75 percent of money is on the Under.

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It's another Big 12 line making a big early move, though in this case, the number is stretching out, with Iowa State up to -11.5 at FanDuel. Through Monday night, tickets and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Cyclones. The total opened at 49.5 and hit 50.5 a couple of times, then headed the other way, and it's at 46.5 Monday night. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Under, and practically all the early money is on the Under, as well.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

Whether it’s in Las Vegas or online, every sportsbook under the sun offers college football point spreads, plus a cornucopia of other NCAA odds. College football lines tend to be posted shortly after the previous week's schedule is completed, so check out the college football odds at the best sportsbooks available where you live.

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