Florida vs Vanderbilt picks and predictions for November 21

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 16, 2020 , 07:01 PM ET

Kyle Trask lit up Arkansas last week, connecting on 23-29 passes for 356 yards and six touchdowns without his top receiver, TE Kyle Pitts.

Kyle Trask Florida Gators NCAA football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Florida Gators might not be the best team in the country, but college football betting sure has been a lot more fun with the boys from Gainesville suddenly catching fire. Fresh off their dominance of Georgia in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party, the Gators were in the perfect letdown spot against Arkansas last Saturday, only to destroy the Hogs 63-35.

There’s still a chance for the Gators to squeeze their way into the college football playoff, so style points count, and Florida is laying a huge number on Saturday in Nashville.

Here are our best college football free picks and predictions for No. 5 Florida at Vanderbilt. Kickoff will get underway at 12:00 ET at Vanderbilt Stadium. 

Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Weather

Nashville’s going to be mighty nice on Saturday. You can expect a high of 71 degrees with wind out of the south at 6 mph and a paltry 10 percent chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

Florida: Kyle Pitts TE (out), Jeremiah Moon LB (ques), James Houston IV LB (ques), Iverson Clement RB (ques)
Vanderbilt: Alston Orji LB (ques), Keyon Brooks RB (ques), Devin Boddie Jr. WR (ques), Mac Hereford WR (ques), Elijah McAllister LB (late Nov)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Vanderbilt. Find more NCAA betting trends for Florida vs. Vanderbilt.

 
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Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Gators are putting up points like they did back in the Steve Spurrier days, and even the “Ol’ Ballcoach” has to be impressed with the season that Kyle Trask is having. Last week against Arkansas, the Florida quarterback connected on 23-29 passes for 356 yards and six touchdowns. Oh, and he just happened to be without his top receiver, tight end Kyle Pitts. The Gators still have some concerns on defense, however, as they allowed Arkansas to rack up 458 yards of total offense.

Vanderbilt is terrible. They’re winless this season. Quarterback Ken Seals is a true freshman who has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. And the Commodores have lost each of their three home games this season by at least 33 points. 

I’m not a fan of laying such huge numbers, but don’t know how in the world you could grab Vandy and the points here. The Commodores are 2-9 in their last 11 games, they have nothing to play for, and Florida is in “well-oiled machine” mode. 

PREDICTION: Florida -31.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

While Arkansas is a much better team than Vanderbilt, I expect this game to look much like the one we saw last week. Vanderbilt will score some points because the Gators defense can be suspect at times, but ultimately, Florida’s firepower will overwhelm the ‘Dores and push the number past the Total. The Over is 7-1 in Florida’s last eight games.

PREDICTION: Over 68.5 (-110)

Team Total Pick

Trask’s numbers at this point in the season are hard to fathom. He’s thrown 28 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions, and Vanderbilt is 88th in the country in total defense. Did I mention the Commodores are an awful football team? Expect another big game from the Gators quarterback as he makes a serious run at the Heisman Trophy.

PREDICTION: Florida team total Over 48.5 (-120)

Florida vs Vanderbilt Betting Card

  • Florida -31.5 (-110)
  • Over 68.5 (-110)
  • Florida team total Over 48.5 (-120)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Florida vs. Vanderbilt picks, you could win $56.82 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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