Let's head into the weekend on some winning vibes with our MLB best bets for tonight at Polymarket, which allows baseball fans coast-to-coast to make their favorite MLB picks.
We've polled our MLB experts for their top plays today, looking at Chi-Town, the A-Town, and Believeland to deliver Ws tonight.
- UPDATE: Added best bet for TEX/SEA.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: CHW ML |
+138 |
 Jon Metler: ATL ML |
-108 |
 Joe Osborne: CLE ML |
-127 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 42¢ (+138) at Polymarket
There’s solid wiggle room here, with a fair price around +106. Davis Martin has been steady, turning in three strong starts with two wins for the Chicago White Sox. Aaron Civale doesn’t typically go deep for the Athletics, and their bullpen has been heavily used of late, with multiple key arms unavailable today. This profiles as a higher-scoring, back-and-forth game where both bullpens will factor in — in that type of environment, taking the plus-money dog makes sense.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Braves moneyline
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 52-cent favorite in Philadelphia on Friday, but I make them closer to a 58-cent favorite, giving us a solid edge at the current price. This is a tough matchup for Taijuan Walker, a pitch-to-contact right-hander who has struggled badly against lefties this season — a major concern against a Braves lineup loaded with left-handed bats, but also has dangerous righties like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Austin Riley. On the other side, southpaw Martin Pérez isn’t overpowering, but he does a strong job commanding his cutter and sinker. That approach should help limit the pull-side power of Philadelphia’s top leftie threats Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, and keep the Phillies’ offense in check.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Guardians moneyline
Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket
Home/Away splits line up heavily in the Guardians' favor tonight. Tanner Bibee is a completely different pitcher at home, carrying over from last season, where his ERA sat nearly two runs lower. Baltimore's Chris Bassitt, on the other hand, struggles badly on the road: He had an ERA spike of 2.7 in away games last season, and we're seeing shades of that in 2026. The gap shows up at the plate too, as Guardians hitters own an OPS nearly 100 points higher at home, while the Orioles' offense takes a noticeable dip away from Camden Yards, averaging just three runs per game.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rangers ML | +110 |
| Read analysis in our Rangers vs. Mariners predictions | |
| Rays ML | +120 |
| Read analysis in our Rays vs. Pirates predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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