We have a bit of a logjam in our MLB Cy Young odds races.
Tarik is on top of the MLB odds to win AL Cy Young, but four different shorter than 10/1. Meanwhile, seven NL pitchers are +1800 or better. It's all up in the air.
Let's take a look at the Cy Young odds board as the contenders are starting to take shape.
Odds to win AL Cy Young award 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tarik Skubal |
+250 | +210 | +240 |
 Garrett Crochet |
+275 | +260 | +250 |
 Max Fried |
+600 | +850 | +700 |
 Hunter Brown |
+650 | +500 | +550 |
 Cole Ragans |
+1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
 Jacob deGrom |
+2500 | +3500 | +3000 |
 Shane Baz |
+2500 | +3000 | +2800 |
| Nathan Eovaldi |
+3500 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Framber Valdez |
+4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
 Bryan Woo |
+4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
 Bowden Francis |
+4000 | +7000 | +5000 |
| Tyler Mahle |
+4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Drew Rasmussen |
+5000 | +7000 | +6000 |
| Jack Flaherty |
+5000 | +5500 | +5000 |
| Bryce Miller |
+5000 | +5500 | +5000 |
| Reese Olson |
+5000 | +15000 | +10000 |
| Carlos Rodon |
+5000 | +6000 | +5000 |
 Joe Ryan |
+7000 | +5500 | +6000 |
Odds as of 4-29-2025.
AL Cy Young odds analysis
Remember when Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal looked a little shaky to start the season? Yeah, me neither.
Tarik Skubal annihilated the Orioles today
— DataBase Hit (@DatabaseHit) April 27, 2025
6 IP | 4 H | 0 ER | 0 BB | 11 K
91 pitches
22 whiffs & 41 CSW%
I love watching him pitch in a Tigers uniform. #RepDetroit
pic.twitter.com/Hb1UuzBlgD
The reigning AL Cy Young winner is back as the betting favorite after spinning his latest masterpiece. Since allowing seven runs between his first two starts of the season, Skubal has allowed two total over 24 innings across four starts. He's issued one walk in that time compared to 30 strikeouts. He also hasn't allowed a home run since his second outing.
That most recent start against the Baltimore Orioles leapfrogged him over Boston Red Sox lefty Garrett Crochet, despite his 1.95 ERA being better than Skubal's. It may be in direct response to each hurler's last start, as Crochet was tagged for four runs on five hits over five innings against the Seattle Mariners last week. He also issued a season-high five walks in the contest.
Skubal seems to have found a groove, but if Crochet handles the Toronto Blue Jays in his next start, he could edge back out in front.
Two more quick notes. Logan Gilbert is on the IL and could miss substantial time with an elbow flexor strain, likely ending any hopes of him winning the Cy Young.
Minnesota Twins right-hander Joe Ryan looked more like himself in his most recent outing, and he's jumped up the board at some books as a result. He blanked the Los Angeles Angels over seven innings while striking out 11 and allowing just four hits and a walk. It's easy to see why he was so hard to hit.
Joe Ryan showing why every hit is a miracle. 😳 pic.twitter.com/n2Q7xXAnJ0
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 28, 2025
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Odds to win NL Cy Young award 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Paul Skenes |
+175 | +200 | +185 |
 Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
+500 | +500 | +500 |
 Hunter Greene |
+550 | +700 | +600 |
 Logan Webb |
+900 | +950 | +900 |
 Zack Wheeler |
+1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
 Spencer Schwellenbach |
+1300 | +1600 | +1400 |
| Cristopher Sanchez |
+1800 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Jesus Luzardo |
+2200 | +2000 | +2000 |
 Kodai Senga |
+2500 | +3000 | +2800 |
 Michael King |
+2500 | +2000 | +2200 |
 Freddy Peralta |
+4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
 Max Meyer |
+5000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Nick Pivetta |
+5000 | +3500 | +4000 |
 Shota Imanaga |
+5000 | +6000 | +5000 |
 MacKenzie Gore |
+5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
| Spencer Strider |
+5500 | +6500 | +6000 |
| Chris Sale |
+6000 | +6500 | +6000 |
 Corbin Burnes |
+6000 | +6500 | +6000 |
| Dylan Cease |
+6000 | +6500 | +6000 |
 Sonny Gray |
+6000 | +6500 | +6000 |
| Robbie Ray |
+6000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Odds as of 4-29-2025.
NL Cy Young analysis
If anything, Paul Skenes has been unlucky. Despite a sparkling 2.39 ERA over six starts, the Pittsburgh Pirates phenom has an expected ERA of 1.92. And he waltzed into Dodger Stadium in his most recent outing, threw 6 1/3 shutout innings while punching out nine and picking up the win over the World Series favorites.
This pitch from Paul Skenes to Shohei Ohtani 😳 pic.twitter.com/syurkA8NoM
— MLB (@MLB) April 26, 2025
He's had one bad start. And even then, he went six full innings and probably should have had better results. He allowed five earned runs to the St. Louis Cardinals but struck out seven and had an xFIP of 2.16 for the game.
And in an age where starters typically throw fewer innings, he and Spencer Schwellenbach lead the NL in IP at 37 2/3. They're durable and pitching deep into their starts.
However, Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a 1.06 ERA through six starts — and somehow has a 3-2 record to show for it. That level of dominance is unsustainable, but it's one reason why Skenes isn't closer to even money.
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Cy Young betting splits
AL Cy Young
Highest Ticket%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 9.3%
- Cole Ragans, Royals - 9.2%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 8.4%
Highest Handle%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 13.5%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 11.6%
- Cole Ragans, Royals - 10.1%
Biggest Liability
- Cole Ragans, Royals
NL Cy Young
Highest Ticket%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 10%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 8.8%
- Hunter Greene, Reds - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 15%
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers - 11.3%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 7.4%
Biggest Liability
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous Cy Young Award winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL Cy Young Award, with Cleveland and the New York Mets each leading the way with three. Overall, the Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers have the most Cy Youngs all time (12), followed by the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves with eight and the Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, and Mets with seven apiece.
Previous AL Cy Young winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Tarik Skubal |
| 2023 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2022 | Justin Verlander |
| 2021 | Robbie Ray |
| 2020 |  Shane Bieber |
| 2019 | Justin Verlander |
| 2018 | Blake Snell |
| 2017 | Corey Kluber |
| 2016 | Rick Porcello |
| 2015 | Dallas Keuchel |
Previous NL Cy Young winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Chris Sale |
| 2023 | Blake Snell |
| 2022 | Sandy Alcantara |
| 2021 |  Corbin Burnes |
| 2020 | Trevor Bauer |
| 2019 | Jacob deGrom |
| 2018 | Jacob deGrom |
| 2017 | Max Scherzer |
| 2016 | Max Scherzer |
| 2015 | Jake Arrieta |
Pitchers with multiple Cy Young awards
Twenty-two pitchers have won multiple Cy Young Awards, led by Roger Clemens' seven trophies. Of those 22 winners, five are still active in the majors.
| Pitcher | Number of Cy Young Awards (Years) |
|---|---|
| Roger Clemens | 7 (1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004) |
| Randy Johnson | 5 (1995, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002) |
| Steve Carlton | 4 (1972, 1977, 1980, 1982 |
| Greg Maddux | 4 (1992, 1993, 1994, 1995) |
| Seven different pitchers | 3 |
| 11 different pitchers | 2 |
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MLB Cy Young Odds
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal is again favored after winning the award in 2024.
Pittsburgh Pirates RHP Paul Skenes is drawing the shortest odds after finishing as a finalist in 2024 and winning NL Rookie of the Year.
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal was unanimously named AL Cy Young while veteran Atlanta Braves LHP Chris Sale won in the NL.
Roger Clemens won seven Cy Young awards throughout his career. Only one other pitcher, Randy Johnson, has even won five.
Jacob deGrom won both the 2018 and 2019 NL Cy Young awards. Immediately before him, Max Scherzer won in back-to-back seasons in 2016-17.
