Paul Skenes has been the National League Cy Young favorite for much of the season, but he's no longer in the driver's seat as Zack Wheeler has simply found another gear on the mound.
Let's look at the latest MLB odds for each Cy Young race.
Odds to win AL Cy Young award 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tarik Skubal |
-200 | -210 | -190 |
 Garrett Crochet |
+240 | +260 | +250 |
 Jacob deGrom |
+900 | +850 | +900 |
 Hunter Brown |
+1100 | +1200 | +1200 |
 Max Fried |
+2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Framber Valdez |
+4500 | +5500 | +5000 |
 Joe Ryan |
+7500 | +9000 | +8000 |
 Kris Bubic |
+7500 | +9000 | +8000 |
| Nathan Eovaldi |
+7500 | +4200 | +5000 |
 Bryan Woo |
+9000 | +9000 | +10000 |
| Carlos Rodon |
+10000 | +11000 | +10000 |
Odds last updated on 7-15.
AL Cy Young odds analysis
Tarik Skubal may well have this race in hand, but we can't count Boston Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet out just yet. The southpaw enters the All-Star break off his best career start, mowing down the Tampa Bay Rays over nine shutout innings for his first complete game.
Most K in first 20 games with Red Sox:
— Paul Hembekides (Hembo) (@PaulHembo) July 13, 2025
Chris Sale -- 200 (2.48 ERA)
GARRETT CROCHET -- 160 (2.23 ERA)
Pedro Martínez -- 156 (2.72 ERA)
Based on his WAR output, FanGraphs estimates he's already produced $34M in value.pic.twitter.com/xtl4gh3AfA
He didn't issue a walk and needed exactly 100 pitches to finish the 1-0 victory. He is now 10-4 with a 2.23 ERA, while Skubal's line is virtually identical at 10-3 and 2.23, as well. Skubal has slightly better strikeout and walk rates, but this might be more neck-and-neck than the odds suggest.
Odds to win NL Cy Young award 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Zack Wheeler |
-125 | -125 | -125 |
 Paul Skenes |
-105 | -105 | +100 |
| Cristopher Sanchez |
+2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
 Logan Webb |
+3000 | +3500 | +3300 |
| Ranger Suárez |
+5000 | +3500 | +4000 |
 MacKenzie Gore |
+5000 | +8000 | +7000 |
 Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
+5500 | +8000 | +6500 |
| Robbie Ray |
+6500 | +6000 | +6000 |
 Andrew Abbott |
+7000 | +6000 | +6500 |
 Freddy Peralta |
+8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Jesus Luzardo |
+9000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Odds last updated on 7-15.
NL Cy Young analysis
Despite Paul Skenes dominating for much of the first half, he is no longer the betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young. Philadelphia Phillies ace Zack Wheeler has leapfrogged him, though the margin is slim.
Skenes holds the statistical edge in ERA (2.01 to 2.36) and FanGraphs WAR (4.0 to 3.7) but Wheeler has better strikeout (33% to 27.9%) and walk rates (5.6% to 6.4%). So, it's not merely an old-school mentality propping Wheeler up simply because his 9-3 record is better than Skenes' unsightly 4-8 one (which is utterly damning of the whole Pittsburgh Pirates front office).
Skenes has also seen a dip in his workload of late, completing no more than five innings in four straight and five of six. He's still been largely excellent in this span, a rare four-run blip vs. the Brewers notwithstanding. It's just that Wheeler seems to be finding his groove at the right time.
While Wheeler ended his first half with a rocky outing vs. the Padres, allowing four runs on six hits, including a pair of homers, he has finished six innings in four straight and in 16 of his 19 total starts. While he's thrown just one more inning than Skenes on the season, he's also done it in one fewer start.
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Cy Young betting splits
AL Cy Young betting splits
Highest Ticket%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 11.8%
- Max Fried, Yankees - 11.1%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 9.6%
Highest Handle%
- Tarik Skubal, Tigers - 23.6%
- Max Fried, Yankees - 13.5%
- Garrett Crochet, Red Sox - 9.2%
Biggest Liability
- Max Fried, Yankees
NL Cy Young betting splits
Highest Ticket%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 13.1%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 10.6%
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Paul Skenes, Pirates - 26.8%
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies - 19.5%
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers - 9.8%
Biggest Liability
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Dodgers
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous Cy Young Award winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL Cy Young Award, with Cleveland and the New York Mets each leading the way with three. Overall, the Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers have the most Cy Youngs all time (12), followed by the Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves with eight and the Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox, and Mets with seven apiece.
Previous AL Cy Young winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Tarik Skubal |
| 2023 | Gerrit Cole |
| 2022 | Justin Verlander |
| 2021 |  Robbie Ray |
| 2020 |  Shane Bieber |
| 2019 | Justin Verlander |
| 2018 |  Blake Snell |
| 2017 | Corey Kluber |
| 2016 | Rick Porcello |
| 2015 | Dallas Keuchel |
Previous NL Cy Young winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 |  Chris Sale |
| 2023 |  Blake Snell |
| 2022 |  Sandy Alcantara |
| 2021 |  Corbin Burnes |
| 2020 | Trevor Bauer |
| 2019 |  Jacob deGrom |
| 2018 | Jacob deGrom |
| 2017 | Max Scherzer |
| 2016 | Max Scherzer |
| 2015 |  Jake Arrieta |
Pitchers with multiple Cy Young awards
Twenty-two pitchers have won multiple Cy Young Awards, led by Roger Clemens' seven trophies. Of those 22 winners, five are still active in the majors.
| Pitcher | Number of Cy Young Awards (Years) |
|---|---|
| Roger Clemens | 7 (1986, 1987, 1991, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004) |
| Randy Johnson | 5 (1995, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002) |
| Steve Carlton | 4 (1972, 1977, 1980, 1982 |
| Greg Maddux | 4 (1992, 1993, 1994, 1995) |
| Seven different pitchers | 3 |
| 11 different pitchers | 2 |
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MLB Cy Young Odds
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal is again favored after winning the award in 2024.
Pittsburgh Pirates RHP Paul Skenes is drawing the shortest odds after finishing as a finalist in 2024 and winning NL Rookie of the Year.
Detroit Tigers LHP Tarik Skubal was unanimously named AL Cy Young while veteran Atlanta Braves LHP Chris Sale won in the NL.
Roger Clemens won seven Cy Young awards throughout his career. Only one other pitcher, Randy Johnson, has even won five.
Jacob deGrom won both the 2018 and 2019 NL Cy Young awards. Immediately before him, Max Scherzer won in back-to-back seasons in 2016-17.
