The 2023 Major League Baseball season is on the horizon, with pitchers and catchers reporting last week, and that means a new wave of MLB futures odds are on the board, including who will win the AL and NL MVP Award.
Aaron Judge ran away with his first AL MVP award in 2022, thanks to a power-filled season that saw him hit an AL record 62 home runs, but he's not the favorite heading into 2023 — that belongs to a dual-threat dynamo.
Meanwhile, on the National League side, Paul Goldschmidt won his first MVP behind a balanced offensive season (and being perhaps the best defensive first baseman in baseball), but he also is not favored to repeat... in fact he's just sixth on the betting board.
Who are the favorites ahead of the 2023 season? Read below for our latest MLB odds to win the AL and NL MVP.
Odds to win AL MVP
|Shohei Ohtani||Los Angeles Angels||DH/P||+200|
|Aaron Judge||New York Yankees||OF||+450|
|Mike Trout||Los Angeles Angels||OF||+450|
|Julio Rodriguez||Seattle Mariners||OF||+700|
|Yordan Alvarez||Houston Astros||DH||+1,100|
|Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||Toronto Blue Jays||1B||+1,200|
|Jose Ramirez||Cleveland Guardians||3B||+1,500|
|Rafael Devers||Boston Red Sox||3B||+2,000|
|Corey Seager||Texas Rangers||SS||+2,000|
|Adley Rutschman||Baltimore Orioles||C||+2,500|
|Kyle Tucker||Houston Astros||OF||+2,500|
|Wander Franco||Tampa Bay Rays||SS||+2,500|
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of February 20, 2023.
Al MVP odds analysis
2/20/2023: It's a tough time trying to repeat as the AL MVP, as reigning champion Aaron Judge is just second on the odds board at +450 — tied with three-time MVP Mike Trout and trailing 2021 winner Shohei Ohtani, who is currently posted at just 2/1.
It might be even tougher to win the MVP for the first time, but there's value to be found: Reigning AL Rookie of the Year Julio Rodriguez is fourth on the board at +700 (rounding out players shorter than 10/1), followed by Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez (+1,100), Blue Jays star — and 2020 runner-up — Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+1,200), and Guardians standout Jose Ramirez at 15/1.
Previous AL MVP odds analysis
Analysis coming soon!
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Odds to win NL MVP
|Juan Soto||San Diego Padres||OF||+500|
|Mookie Betts||Los Angeles Dodgers||OF||+900|
|Fernando Tatis Jr.||San Diego Padres||SS/OF||+900|
|Ronald Acuna Jr.||Atlanta Braves||OF||+950|
|Freddie Freeman||Los Angeles Dodgers||1B||+1,200|
|Paul Goldschmidt||St. Louis Cardinals||1B||+1,300|
|Trea Turner||Philadelphia Phillies||SS||+1,300|
|Manny Machado||San Diego Padres||3B||+1,500|
|Austin Riley||Atlanta Braves||3B||+1,500|
|Pete Alonso||New York Mets||1B||+1,500|
|Nolan Arenado||St. Louis Cardinals||3B||+1,800|
|Matt Olson||Atlanta Braves||1B||+2,200|
|Kyle Schwarber||Philadelphia Phillies||OF||+2,500|
|Francisco Lindor||New York Mets||SS||+2,500|
|Xander Bogaerts||San Diego Padres||SS||+3,000|
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of February 20, 2023.
NL MVP odds analysis
2/20/2023: The early NL MVP odds board is comprised of six teams, led by the Padres, who have two of the Top 3 favorites (and four of the Top 15), led by overall betting favorite Juan Soto at 5/1.
Then there are the Dodgers, who have the second (Mookie Betts at +900) and fifth favorites (Freddie Freeman, +1,200), while the Braves have three in the Top 15 (headlined by fourth favorite Ronald Acuna Jr. at +950).
The rest of the early favorites (+3,000 or shorter) all are members of the Cardinals (including reigning champ Paul Goldschmidt at 13/1), Mets, or Phillies.
Previous NL MVP odds analysis
Analysis coming soon!
Understanding MLB MVP odds
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6,000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
MLB MVP FAQ
Angels dual-threat Shohei Ohtani is the AL MVP favorite at +200, followed by his teammate Mike Trout and Yankees OF Aaron Judge at +450.
Padres star Juan Soto is favored to win the NL MVP at +500, followed by teammate Fernando Tatis Jr. (+900), Dodgers OF Mookie Betts (+900), and Braves star Ronald Acuna Jr. (+950).
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won the 2022 AL MVP, with 2021 winner Shohei Ohtani and Astros star Yordan Alvarez finishing second and third, respectively.
St. Louis Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt won the 2022 NL MVP, edging out Manny Machado and Nolan Arenado for the award.