Just when it looked like we might have a race brewing in the American League, Aaron Judge has put his foot on the accelerator while Cal Raleigh got stuck in the slow lane.
Meanwhile, Shohei Ohtani is still a runaway MLB odds leader in the NL MVP competition.
Let's break down the races in this week's AL & NL MVP odds.
Odds to win AL MVP 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
-1400 | -1600 | -1200 |
 Cal Raleigh |
+600 | +700 | +700 |
 Tarik Skubal |
+9000 | +9000 | +10000 |
 Jose Ramirez |
+10000 | +12000 | +10000 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
+10000 | +12000 | +10000 |
| Riley Greene |
+12000 | +12000 | +20000 |
Odds last updated on 7-8.
AL MVP odds analysis
Aaron Judge is back below -1000 across the board after opening July by batting .450 with three home runs and seven RBI. His .360 average tops the majors, while his 33 homers and 74 RBI each rank second.
Aaron Judge had arguably the best season ever by a right-handed hitter last season. He’s running laps around that season in 2025. pic.twitter.com/CMn3JWo2MD
— The Yankee Report (@YankeeReport_) July 7, 2025
Cal Raleigh has just two hits in his first 17 at-bats of July, albeit both were home runs. The major-league leader in dingers closed out June with a 4-for-20 mark with only one tater in a six-game span.
Tarik Skubal has emerged as a distant but logical third-choice as he cements his status as the runaway AL Cy Young odds favorite.
Odds to win NL MVP 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Shohei Ohtani |
-2000 | -1450 | -1600 |
 Pete Crow-Armstrong |
+1500 | +1600 | +1400 |
 Juan Soto |
+2000 | +1800 | +2000 |
| Kyle Tucker |
+4000 | +4200 | +4000 |
 Ronald Acuna Jr. |
+5000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Francisco Lindor |
+5000 | +6000 | +6000 |
 James Wood |
+5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+5500 | +6000 | +6000 |
 Ketel Marte |
+5500 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Freddie Freeman |
+6000 | +6000 | +6000 |
Odds last updated on 7-8.
NL MVP odds analysis
Shohei Ohtani is off to a less-than-stellar start at the dish in July (5-for-26, one home run, two RBI). However, the added dimension of Ohtani as a pitcher will likely give him all the edge he needs.
He was last seen fanning three Astros over two scoreless innings on July 5.
Still, even if the race appears to be getting out of reach, there are more than a dozen batters that have been worth at least 2.5 WAR by FanGraphs' metric, including Pete Crow-Armstrong.
The Chicago Cubs outfielder has already reached the 20-20 plateau with 21 home runs and 25 stolen bases while playing an elite center-field defense.
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MVP betting splits
American League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 23.4%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 7.9%
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays - 6.6%
Highest Handle%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 26.9%
- Aaron Judge, Yankees - 15%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 9.7%
Biggest Liability
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals
National League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 14.6%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 13.2%
- Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks - 7.1%
Highest Handle%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 45.9%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 6.9%
- Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks - 4.7%
- Juan Soto, Mets - 4.7%
- Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres - 4.7%
Biggest Liability
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous MVP winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL MVP Award, with Shohei Ohtani leading the way as a three-time winner. Bryce Harper has won twice with two different teams and Miguel Cabrera was the last player to win back-to-back MVP awards (2012-13). Barry Bonds holds the record for most MVP awards (seven)
The New York Yankees have won the most MVPs in MLB history with 24 while the St. Louis Cardinals are second, leading all NL teams, with 21. No player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets, or Tampa Bay Rays has ever won MVP.
Previous AL MVP winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge |
| 2023 |  Shohei Ohtani |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2020 |  Jose Abreu |
| 2019 | Mike Trout |
| 2018 |  Mookie Betts |
| 2017 |  Jose Altuve |
| 2016 | Mike Trout |
| 2015 |  Josh Donaldson |
Previous NL MVP winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| 2022 |  Paul Goldschmidt |
| 2021 |  Bryce Harper |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger |
| 2018 |  Christian Yelich |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant |
| 2015 | Bryce Harper |
Popular MLB futures markets
- MLB World Series odds
- MLB Cy Young odds
- MLB Rookie of the Year odds
- MLB playoff odds
- MLB HR title odds
MLB MVP odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
MLB MVP FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is favored by shorter than even money across the board.
Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is the betting favorite to win NL MVP.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won his second AL MVP trophy after hitting 58 home runs with a .322/.48/.701 slash line.
Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani became the first pure DH in MLB history to win an MVP.
Of the 33 players to have multiple MVP trophies, Barry Bonds is far and away the leader with seven. Ten other players have won three and no one besides Bonds has won more.
AL and NL MVP awards are typically announced in mid-November after the World Series has been played. The 2023 awards were announced on November 16.
Since 1931, members of the Baseball Writer's Association of America (BBWAA) have submitted ranked ballots. Two writers from each MLB city vote for the awards in their respective league.
