Rays vs Pirates Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 17, 2026 , 08:38 AM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: Rays take high-scoring game in Pittsburgh.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
TB
62 %
PIT
38 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Tampa Bay +120 Tampa Bay +120
Read Analysis
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Nick Martinez
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Nick Martinez.

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to build on their six-game winning streak as they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday night.

Tampa Bay has been crushing opposing pitchers so far this season, and I’m picking it to win again tonight in my Rays vs. Pirates predictions. 

Let’s take a deeper look at this matchup in my free MLB picks for Friday, April 17.

Who will win Rays vs Pirates tonight: Rays moneyline (+120)

The Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 5.06 runs per game so far this season, and have put up at least five runs in every game of their current winning streak. They’ll have a great chance to keep that going tonight against Pittsburgh Pirates starter Bubba Chandler.

Chandler has allowed three earned runs in each of his last two starts without going more than 5 1/3 innings in either game.

Tampa Bay starter Nick Martinez has looked sharp to start the season, throwing to a 2.16 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over his first three starts.

With the Rays coming in this hot, I’m jumping on these odds tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Tampa Bay is hitting .267 and averaging 5.5 runs per nine innings against right-handed pitching this season.

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Rays vs Pirates Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-102)

Pittsburgh is hitting well too, averaging five runs per game off a .734 OPS this year. Brandon Lowe has seven homers in his first 17 games, while Oneil Cruz and Ryan O’Hearn are also off to fast starts.

Neither starter is likely to give their team much length tonight. There are soft spots that these lineups can take advantage of if it takes several arms to get through this game, especially on Tampa Bay’s side.

With both lineups in peak form, I’m backing the Over.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-4, -1.03 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-4, -2.96 units

Rays vs Pirates odds

  • Moneyline: Rays +116 | Pirates -136
  • Run line: Rays +1.5 | Pirates -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Rays vs Pirates trend

The Rays are 6-0 straight up in their last six games overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Pirates.

How to watch Rays vs Pirates and game info

Location PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Friday, April 17, 2026
First pitch 6:45 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Rays starting pitcher Nick Martinez
(0-0, 2.16 ERA)
Pirates starting pitcher Bubba Chandler
(0-1, 3.86 ERA)

Rays vs Pirates latest injuries

Rays vs Pirates weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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