Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 17, 2026 , 11:02 AM ET • 4 min read

Cordell's prediction: Ranger Suarez rights the ship as Red Sox roll.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
DET
57 %
BOS
43 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Boston -130 Boston -130
Read Analysis
Boston Red Sox MLB Ranger Suarez
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Ranger Suarez.

The Detroit Tigers have had a miserable time away from Comerica Park, losing eight of 10 road games this season.

My Tigers vs. Red Sox predictions and MLB picks expect those struggles to continue in Boston on Friday, April 17.

Who will win Tigers vs Red Sox tonight: Red Sox (-130)

Ranger Suarez has had a difficult start to his Boston Red Sox career, but that coincides with very tough competition.

He has faced the Astros, Padres, and Cardinals. The Astros sit fourth in runs per game while the Padres sit 11th, and the Cardinals rank seventh in wRC+ against left-handed pitchers.

Suarez should get a little bit of relief against the Detroit Tigers. They've hit just .213 off lefties and rank 22nd in wRC+.

While most of the Red Sox top bats are lefties, they do have some good righties — most notably Willson Contreras and Ceddanne Rafaela — who could cause problems for Casey Mize.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Ranger Suarez has induced soft contact 22.7% of the time, best among today’s projected starting pitchers.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-120)

Suarez owns a 3.74 xFIP, which is well below his 5.02 ERA. He hasn’t pitched as poorly as the results suggest — and I’ve already highlighted the difficult competition he faced.

The Tigers are hitting .216 with a .083 ISO on the road and cold weather is expected, making this a good spot for Suarez to get back on track.

Mize owns a solid 3.85 xFIP and has done a good job of neutralizing left-handed bets, setting him up for a quality start against Boston.

Both bullpens are also well-rested, so the managers will have plenty of options to help limit runs.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-3, -2.82 units
  • Over/Under bets: 0-4, -4.67 units

Tigers vs Red Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Detroit +122 | Boston -127
  • Run line: Detroit +1.5 (-186) | Boston -1.5 (+178)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+117) | Under 8.5 (-122)

Tigers vs Red Sox trend

The Red Sox have hit the Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.45 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Red Sox.

How to watch Tigers vs Red Sox and game info

Location Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date Friday, April 17, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(1-1, 3.94 ERA)
Red Sox starting pitcher Ranger Suarez
(1-1, 5.02 ERA)

Tigers vs Red Sox latest injuries

Tigers vs Red Sox weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo