Nick Kurtz will win the American League Rookie of the Year. We've known this for some time, probably when he became the youngest player to hit four home runs in a single game. All told, Kurtz slashed .290/.383/.619 with 36 home runs and 86 RBI in 117 games and boasted the third-highest wRC+ among players with at least 400 plate appearances.
By the time his MLB odds went off the board, he was a -20000 favorite.
Meanwhile, it seems like the National League honor will go to either Chicago Cubs right-hander Cade Horton or Atlanta Braves catcher Drake Baldwin.
Horton had the shortest odds at season's end, but also only threw 118 innings, which would be the fewest by a full-time starter to win the award since Dave Righetti won in 1981 on just 105 1/3 innings. Still, Horton went 11-4 with a 2.67 ERA while helping patch together a Cubs rotation missing ace Justin Steele.
Horton might win, but Baldwin is arguably more deserving. The 24-year-old hit .274/.341/.469 with 19 home runs in 124 games while playing solid defense behind the plate.
Odds to win 2025 AL Rookie of the Year
| Player |  |
 |
 |
 Nick Kurtz |
-20000 | -20000 | -6600 |
 Roman Anthony |
+1600 | +2000 | +1600 |
| Jacob Wilson |
OTB | +5000 | +5000 |
 Cam Smith |
+7500 | OTB | +7500 |
 Jasson Dominguez |
+7500 | OTB | +7500 |
 Chandler Simpson |
+10000 | OTB | +10000 |
 Noah Cameron |
+10000 | OTB | +10000 |
Odds as of 9-2. Off the board as of 9-9.
Odds to win 2025 NL Rookie of the Year
| Player | |
|
|
 Cade Horton |
-160 | -150 | -150 |
 Drake Baldwin |
+150 | +130 | +140 |
 Isaac Collins |
+900 | +1100 | +1000 |
| Matt Shaw |
+7000 | +6500 | +6500 |
| Caleb Durbin |
+7500 | +6500 | +7500 |
 Agustin Ramirez |
+15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Jacob Misiorowski |
+15000 | +20000 | +15000 |
| Jakob Marsee |
+20000 | +15000 | +15000 |
 Chase Burns |
+20000 | OTB | +20000 |
Odds as of 9-16. Odds OTB on 9-29.
Covers MLB betting tools
ROY betting splits
AL Rookie of the Year
Highest Ticket%
- Jac Caglianone, Royals - 11.4%
- Jacob Wilson, A's - 11.4%
- Jackson Jobe, Tigers - 9.1%
Highest Handle%
- Jacob Wilson, A's - 32.1%
- Nick Kurtz, A's - 10.1%
- Roman Anthony, Red Sox - 8%
Biggest Liability
- Jacob Wilson, A's
NL Rookie of the Year
Highest Ticket%
- Matt Shaw, Cubs - 9.8%
- Drake Baldwin, Braves - 9.6%
- Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers - 8.8%
Highest Handle%
- Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers - 19.7%
- Drake Baldwin, Braves - 19.5%
- Isaac Collins, Brewers - 7.1%
Biggest Liability
- Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Past Rookie of the Year winners
Previous AL RoY winners
Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.
| Year | Player |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Luis Gil (SP) |
| 2023 |  Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS) |
| 2022 |  Julio Rodriguez (OF) |
| 2021 |  Randy Arozarena (OF) |
| 2020 | Kyle Lewis (OF) |
| 2019 |  Yordan Alvarez (OF) |
| 2018 |  Shohei Ohtani (P/OF) |
| 2017 |  Aaron Judge (OF) |
| 2016 |  Michael Fulmer (SP) |
| 2015 | Carlos Correa (SS) |
| 2014 |  Jose Abreau (1B) |
| 2013 | Wil Myers (OF) |
Popular MLB futures markets
Previous NL RoY winners
No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.
However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.
| Year | Player (Team) |
|---|---|
| 2024 |  Paul Skenes (SP) |
| 2023 |  Corbin Carroll (OF) |
| 2022 |  Michael Harris (OF) |
| 2021 |  Jonathan India (2B) |
| 2020 |  Devin Williams (RP) |
| 2019 |  Pete Alonso (1B) |
| 2018 | Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF) |
| 2017 |  Cody Bellinger (1B/OF) |
| 2016 | Cory Seager (SS) |
| 2015 |  Kris Bryant (3B) |
| 2014 | Jacob deGrom (SP) |
| 2013 |  Jose Fernandez (SP) |
MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ
A's 1B Nick Kurtz is the current AL Rookie of the Year favorite.
Atlanta Braves catcher Drake Baldwin is the NL favorite.
Pittsburgh Pirates SP Paul Skenes and New York Yankees SP Luis Gil won the respective NL and AL honors in 2024.
MLB rules state a player is considered a rookie unless he has 130 at-bats, 50 innings pitched, or 45 total days on an active MLB roster prior to September 1.
