2023 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds: Walker Leapfrogs Carroll in NL, Volpe Makes Big Jump in AL

With Opening Day on Thursday, MLB Rookie of the Year odds have seen a lot of change since the start of Spring Training, with Jordan Walker now the favorite in the NL and Anthony Volpe now among the top favorites in the AL.

Last Updated: Mar 28, 2023 4:47 PM ET Read Time: 7 min
Jordan Walker St. Louis Cardinals MLB
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The MLB season starts in two days, and with it comes a new crop of MLB futures markets to bet on.

It also brings a new crop of players with odds to win Rookie of the Year, as every team will have a neophyte or two looking to make the biggest debut and strongest first impression on MLB betting fans in 2023.

Let's take a look at the latest MLB odds for who will be crowned the top rookies in the AL and NL this year, with the Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals currently rostering the favorites to win the 2023 Rookie of the Year Awards.

Odds to win AL Rookie of the Year

Player Team Position Odds to win
Gunnar Henderson Orioles Baltimore Orioles 3B/SS +265
Anthony Volpe Yankees New York Yankees SS +500
Masataka Yoshida Red Sox Boston Red Sox OF +500
Triston Casas Red Sox Boston Red Sox 1B +800
Royce Lewis Twins Minnesota Twins SS +1,100
Grayson Rodriguez Orioles Baltimore Orioles RHP +1,100
Hunter Brown Astros Houston Astros RHP +1,300
Oscar Colas White Sox Chicago White Sox OF +1,300
Logan O'Hoppe Angels Los Angeles Angels C +1,700
Josh Jung Rangers Texas Rangers 3B +2,000
DL Hall Orioles Baltimore Orioles LHP +2,000
Oswald Peraza Yankees New York Yankees SS/2B +2,500
Kyle Muller A's Oakland A's LHP +3,000
Bo Naylor Guardians Cleveland Guardians C +3,000
Zack Gelof A's Oakland A's 2B/3B +3,500
Matt Wallner Twins Minnesota Twins OF +5,000
Emerson Hancock Mariners Seattle Mariners RHP +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of March 28, 2023.

AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

3/28/2023: Baltimore 3B/SS Gunnar Henderson remains the favorite to win the AL RoY at +265, but the big story is the jump that New York Yankees top prospect Anthony Volpe took up the board.

The New York shortstop, whose highest level of experience is just 22 games at AAA last season, has continuously impressed during Spring Training, hitting .309 with three home runs and five stolen bases during the spring, forcing the Yankees to include the No. 5 prospect in the MLB Top 100 on the Opening Day roster, presumably installed as the everyday shortstop.

Volpe was 11/1 at the beginning of Spring Training but is now tied at +500 with Boston's Masataka Yoshida, who also improved slightly from the beginning of the Spring, when he was 6/1.

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Odds to win NL Rookie of the Year

Player Team Position Odds to Win
Jordan Walker Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals OF/3B +360
Corbin Carroll Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks OF +400
Miguel Vargas Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 2B/3B +700
Kodai Senga Mets New York Mets RHP +950
Andrew Painter Phillies Philadelphia Phillies RHP +1,100
Ezequiel Tovar Rockies Colorado Rockies SS +1,200
Elly De La Cruz Reds Cincinnati Reds SS/3B +1,500
Matt Mervis Cubs Chicago Cubs 1B +1,700
Francisco Alvarez Mets New York Mets C +1,800
Brett Baty Mets New York Mets 3B +1,900
Spencer Steer Reds Cincinnati Reds 3B/1B/2B +2,000
Sal Frelick Brewers Milwaukee Brewers OF +2,500
Garrett Mitchell Brewers Milwaukee Brewers OF +3,000
Hayden Wesneski Cubs Chicago Cubs RHP +3,000
Michael Busch Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 2B/OF +3,500
Kyle Harrison Giants San Francisco Giants LHP +4,000
Matthew Liberatore Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals LHP +4,000
James Outman Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers OF +4,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of March 28, 2022.

NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

3/28/2023: There was a small shuffle at the top of the NL odds board too ahead of Opening Day, with previous favorite Corbin Carroll sliding from +380 to +400... but also dropping to the No. 2 spot behind St. Louis' Jordan Walker, who leapfrogs him as a +360 favorite.

The sixth-ranked overall prospect in the MLB Top 100, Walker had a monster start (hitting .429 with six XBH in 21 at-bats) to the spring despite not playing above AA last year, and despite cooling off following a shoulder ailment, he has made the Cardinals' Opening Day roster. 

The rest of the odds board remains generally unchanged, although Washington pitcher Cade Cavalli (who was 12/1 at the beginning of Spring) is off the board after undergoing Tommy John surgery that will put him out until 2024, while Chicago Cubs righty Hayden Wesneski — who looked impressive following a late 2022 callup and earned a spot in the Opening Day rotation by posting a 2.12 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 17 Spring innings — have moved up the board to sit at +3,000.

Past Rookie of the Year winners

Previous AL RoY winners

Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 16 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.

With Julio Rodriguez's win in 2022, the Seattle Mariners have also claimed two of the last three RoYs — and five of the last six have come from the AL West.

Year Player
2022 Mariners Julio Rodriguez (OF)
2021 Rays Randy Arozarena (OF)
2020 Mariners Kyle Lewis (OF)
2019 Astros Yordan Alvarez (OF)
2018 AngelsShohei Ohtani (P/OF)
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge (OF)
2016 Tigers Michael Fulmer (SP)
2015 Astros Carlos Correa (SS)
2014 White SoxJose Abreau (1B)
2013 Rays Wil Myers (OF)
2012 AngelsMike Trout (OF)

Previous NL RoY winners

No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.

However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed seven of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.

Year Player (Team)
2022 Braves Michael Harris (OF)
2021 Reds Jonathan India (2B)
2020 Brewers Devin Williams (RP)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (1B)
2018 Braves Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF)
2017 Dodgers Cody Bellinger (1B/OF)
2016 Dodgers Cory Seager (SS)
2015 Cubs Kris Bryant (3B)
2014 Mets Jacob deGrom (SP)
2013 Marlins Jose Fernandez (SP)
2012 Nationals Bryce Harper (OF)

Understanding MLB ROY odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Julio Rodriguez all but claimed the AL Rookie of the Year last year, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number down the stretch. 

  • Jonathan India -4,000

That means that a bettor in September had to wager $4,000 to win $100 by betting on J-Rod to win AL RoY. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.

  • Corbin Carroll +380

That means a bettor would profit $380 for a $100 wager on Carroll before the season started if he's ultimately successful. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ

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