The calendar has flipped to 2025, and we can finally turn our attention to the MLB award races, including the AL and NL Rookie of the Year.
This market is more difficult to pinpoint this far ahead, but some names are popping up as top contenders.
Here's a look at the MLB odds to see who are considered the best options to win ROY.
Odds to win 2025 AL Rookie of the Year
Player | ||
---|---|---|
Jasson Dominguez | +500 | +600 |
Roman Anthony | +700 | +700 |
Jacob Wilson | +750 | +700 |
Kristian Campbell | +950 | +1100 |
Coby Mayo | +1000 | +700 |
Jackson Jobe | +1200 | +800 |
Colson Montgomery | +2000 | +2200 |
Kumar Rocker | +2000 | +1200 |
Will Wagner | +2000 | +2000 |
Chase DeLauter | +2200 | +2000 |
Tomoyuki Sugano | +2500 | +2500 |
Kyle Teel | +2500 | +3000 |
Edgar Quero | +2500 | +3000 |
Christian Moore | +2500 | +1500 |
Jace Jung | +2500 | +3500 |
Trey Sweeney | +3000 | +2500 |
Jack Leiter | +3000 | +3500 |
Caden Dana | +3500 | +8000 |
Travis Bazzana | +6000 | +2200 |
Odds as of 1-20-2025.
AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
1/20/2025: New York Yankees outfielder Jasson Dominguez is slotted in as the betting favorite at both Caesars and BetMGM. Injuries ultimately delayed his full-time arrival in the Bronx and he didn't look great in 18 games in 2024. However, he should have a clear path to everyday playing time in the Yankees outfield with Juan Soto playing for the Mets. Dominguez has been highly touted for ages, and "The Martian" isn't a surprising pick this far ahead of Opening Day. Rosters aren't set and Spring Training could shake things up.
The Boston Red Sox have two names on this list, both of whom have yet to debut but have rocketed up prospect lists since last summer. Whether Roman Anthony and/or Kristian Campbell break camp remains to be seen, but there remains the motivation behind ensuring a true ROY candidate plays the entire season at the MLB level as it would earn the team a bonus draft pick.
Detroit Tigers right-hander Jackson Jobe is the top pitcher on the list with Kumar Rocker a touch behind. Both hurlers debuted in 2024 and have impressive arsenals. Both are in line for big seasons, and considering how bare the Tigers' rotation was come playoff time, Jobe is a welcome addition.
In terms of value, Los Angeles Angels right-hander Caden Dana at +8000 could be a bargain. There are questions about whether or not he'll break camp with the additions of Yusei Kikuchi and Kyle Hendricks, but the latter won't preclude Dana from a rotation spot if he struggles in spring and the 21-year-old thrives.
Previous AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
11/19/2024: New York Yankees right-hander Luis Gil was named AL Rookie of the Year on Monday, November 18, topping Baltimore Orioles outfielder Colton Cowser by a mere five points in voting. After a stint on the IL, Gil was as long as +6,600 to win ROY before surging to front-runner status. That slowly evaporated as a few middling starts piled up down the home stretch. But Cowser, who started the year on fire, couldn't fully capitalize.
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Odds to win 2025 NL Rookie of the Year
Player | ||
---|---|---|
Roki Sasaki | +200 | +200 |
Dylan Crews | +450 | +400 |
Matt Shaw | +500 | +400 |
Bubba Chandler | +900 | +1100 |
Jordan Lawlar | +1400 | +1400 |
Thomas Saggese | +2000 | +2000 |
Rhett Lowder | +2500 | +2500 |
Tirso Ornelas | +3000 | +3000 |
Andrew Painter | +4000 | +2000 |
Agustin Ramirez | +4000 | +3500 |
Dalton Rushing | +5000 | +4000 |
Brady House | +5000 | +5000 |
Quinn Matthews | +5000 | +3500 |
Michael McGreevy | +5000 | +4000 |
Drew Romo | +5000 | +6600 |
Drake Baldwin | +5000 | +5000 |
Odds as of 1-20-2025.
NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
1/20/2025: Unsurprisingly, Roki Sasaki is the betting favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year just days after signing with the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, at +200, there is zero value in betting on him to win. Yes, he has the benefit of likely starting the season in the rotation of baseball's best team, but this is a number trading more on hype than reality. That doesn't mean he can't win, but calling it barely more than a coin flip before he even steps foot on an MLB mound is pretty crazy.
Dylan Crews, Jordan Lawlar, Thomas Saggese, and Rhett Lowder have each dipped their feet in MLB waters, and should get early run in 2025. Bubba Chandler could follow in Paul Skenes' footsteps in the Pittsburgh Pirates rotation and stands an outside shot at breaking camp.
Andrew Painter is finally on the verge of the bigs after missing 2023 and most of 2024 after Tommy John surgery. He turns 22 in April and has perhaps the most upside of any pitcher on this list. The question is whether or not he plays enough in Philly this season.
Previous NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
11/19/2024: Paul Skenes finally won NL Rookie of the Year over Jackson Merrill. And while it was somewhat close, the voting was still firmly in Skenes' favor as he received 23 first-place votes to Merrill's seven. Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Jackson Chourio was a distant third. Skenes dominated for most of his rookie season, logging a 1.96 ERA across 133 innings with the Pittsburgh Pirates. After allowing three earned runs in his debut (mostly coming after he was pulled from the outing), he only surrendered three-plus runs in two other starts (both of which were against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Skenes allowed two earned runs in 24 September innings and became the first pitcher to win NL honors since Devin Williams in 2020. Skenes is also the first Pirates player to be named Rookie of the Year since Jason Bay in 2004.
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Past Rookie of the Year winners
Previous AL RoY winners
Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.
Year | Player |
---|---|
2024 | Luis Gil (SP) |
2023 | Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS) |
2022 | Julio Rodriguez (OF) |
2021 | Randy Arozarena (OF) |
2020 | Kyle Lewis (OF) |
2019 | Yordan Alvarez (OF) |
2018 | Shohei Ohtani (P/OF) |
2017 | Aaron Judge (OF) |
2016 | Michael Fulmer (SP) |
2015 | Carlos Correa (SS) |
2014 | Jose Abreau (1B) |
2013 | Wil Myers (OF) |
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Previous NL RoY winners
No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.
However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.
Year | Player (Team) |
---|---|
2024 | Paul Skenes (SP) |
2023 | Corbin Carroll (OF) |
2022 | Michael Harris (OF) |
2021 | Jonathan India (2B) |
2020 | Devin Williams (RP) |
2019 | Pete Alonso (1B) |
2018 | Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF) |
2017 | Cody Bellinger (1B/OF) |
2016 | Cory Seager (SS) |
2015 | Kris Bryant (3B) |
2014 | Jacob deGrom (SP) |
2013 | Jose Fernandez (SP) |
MLB RoY odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Julio Rodriguez all but claimed the AL Rookie of the Year in 2022, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number down the stretch.
- Julio Rodriguez -4,000
That means that a bettor in September had to wager $4,000 to win $100 by betting on J-Rod to win AL RoY. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Corbin Carroll +380
That means a bettor would profit $380 for a $100 wager on Carroll before the season started if he's ultimately successful (which he was!).
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
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MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Jasson Dominguez is the current AL Rookie of the Year favorite.
Newly-signed Los Angeles Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki is the NL favorite.
Pittsburgh Pirates SP Paul Skenes and New York Yankees SP Luis Gil won the respective NL and AL honors in 2024.
MLB rules state a player is considered a rookie unless he has 130 at-bats, 50 innings pitched, or 45 total days on an active MLB roster prior to September 1.