2026 Rookie of the Year Odds: Murakami Exceeding Expectations

Jason Wilson - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 26, 2026 , 09:11 AM ET • 7 min read

There were some concerns about how Munetaka Murakami would adapt to MLB pitching, especially with his high strikeout rate. Well, the power has translated, and he's leading the AL Rookie of the Year odds.

 MLB Munetaka Murakami Chicago White Sox
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami (5) rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Minnesota Twins

Munetaka Murakami is breathing rarefied air after hitting his 18th home run of the season on Memorial Day. He trails only Pete Alonso and Mark McGwire for most home runs by a rookie before June, needing just one more to tie them.

As such, Murakami has hopped back ahead of Detroit Tigers infielder Kevin McGonigle to lead the MLB Rookie of the Year odds in the American League.

In the National League, New York Mets right-hander Nolan McLean has hit the skids with back-to-back brutal starts, dropping to 100/1, behind JJ Wetherholt, Sal Stewart, and Konnor Griffin.

Let's explore the markets and MLB odds for AL and NL Rookie of the Year.

Odds to win 2026 AL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings
White Sox Munetaka Murakami +170
Tigers Kevin McGonigle +180
Guardians Chase DeLauter  +600
Orioles Samuel Basallo  +1000
Guardians Parker Messick +1500
Blue Jays Trey Yesavage  +1800
Blue Jays Kazuma Okamoto  +2200
Guardians Travis Bazzana +2500
Red Sox Payton Tolle +3000
Royals Carter Jensen  +3500
Mariners Colt Emerson +5000

Odds as of 5-26 from DraftKings, one of our best betting sites. Sign up with our DraftKings promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Odds to win 2026 NL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings
Cardinals JJ Wetherholt  +190
Reds Sal Stewart +250
Pirates Konnor Griffin  +290
Mets Nolan McLean +1000
Cubs Moises Ballesteros  +2200
Brewers Logan Henderson +3500
Mets AJ Ewing  +4000
Rockies TJ Rumfield +5000
Diamondbacks Ryan Waldschmidt +5000

Odds as of 5-26.

MLB Rookie of the Year news

When all is said and done, 2026 may very well go down as "the Year of the Rookie." With so many young players joining the big-league ranks already this year, A's lefty Gage Jump is reportedly next in line for a promotion.

The 23-year-old out of LSU was selected eighth overall in the 2024 draft, and while his Triple-A numbers in 2026 were a tad disappointing (4.50 ERA, 11.8% walk rate), he has looked much better of late, striking out 15 batters across 11 scoreless innings over his last two outings.

Jump is universally ranked as a Top-100 prospect. And while he's suppressed power, it remains to be seen if he'll conquer the bandbox that is Sutter Health Park.

As for his Rookie of the Year chances? They're slim. Someone can debut after Opening Day and come away with the hardware, as Jump's soon-to-be-teammate Nick Kurtz can attest, but Kurtz debuted in late April in 2025, and the AL rookie field wasn't as deep as it is this year. Jump making the, ahem, jump 

MLB Rookie of the Year futures bets 

Bet Odds Bet date Units
Cardinals JJ Wetherholt +370 May 11 1
Phillies Andrew Painter +3000 March 24 0.25
Mets Carson Benge +2000 March 11 0.25
Pirates Bubba Chandler +1400 February 25 0.25
Guardians Chase DeLauter +2000 February 25 0.25

My National League bets have all floundered to varying degrees, so I'll cut bait and grab St. Louis Cardinals second baseman JJ Wetherholt for one unit.

I like Nolan McLean at +2500 as a dark horse to win the NL Cy Young, so he's tempting here as a hedge alongside Wetherholt, but I'm going to single out the infielder.

With Sal Stewart scuffling, Wetherholt should have the shortest odds among position players. He's batting leadoff for the Cardinals and is displaying the power-speed combo that had him near the top of draft rankings ahead of 2024 when St. Louis took him seventh overall (an absolute fleecing).

His .250 BABIP also tells me that better days are coming for the .235/.350/.405 slash line. He's also the only qualified position-player rookie worth more than 1.0 fWAR on the Senior Circuit, and some of that comes from his elite glovework at the keystone.


Covers MLB betting tools


Past Rookie of the Year winners

Previous AL RoY winners

Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 73 years.

Year Player
2025 Athletics Nick Kurtz (1B)
2024 Yankees Luis Gil (SP)
2023 Orioles Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS)
2022 Mariners Julio Rodriguez (OF)
2021 Rays Randy Arozarena (OF)
2020 Mariners Kyle Lewis (OF)
2019 Astros Yordan Alvarez (OF)
2018 AngelsShohei Ohtani (P/OF)
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge (OF)
2016 Tigers Michael Fulmer (SP)
2015 Astros Carlos Correa (SS)
2014 White SoxJose Abreau (1B)
2013 Rays Wil Myers (OF)

Popular MLB futures markets

Previous NL RoY winners

No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.

However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed six of the last 13 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, a catcher, and even a reliever.

Year Player (Team)
2025 Braves Drake Baldwin (C)
2024 Pirates Paul Skenes (SP)
2023 Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll (OF)
2022 Braves Michael Harris (OF)
2021 Reds Jonathan India (2B)
2020 Brewers Devin Williams (RP)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (1B)
2018 Braves Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF)
2017 Dodgers Cody Bellinger (1B/OF)
2016 Dodgers Cory Seager (SS)
2015 Cubs Kris Bryant (3B)
2014 Mets Jacob deGrom (SP)
2013 Marlins Jose Fernandez (SP)

MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ

Pages related to this topic

Jason Wilson Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo