Jacob Misiorowski is one of the most exciting young arms in baseball, and MLB odds have positioned him as a massive NL favorite after just five starts.
Meanwhile, Jacob Wilson is feeling the heat breathing down his neck in the AL.
Now, at the All-Star break, let’s take a look at the latest MLB Rookie of the Year odds.
Odds to win 2025 AL Rookie of the Year
| Player |  |
 |
 |
 Jacob Wilson |
+110 | +115 | +120 |
 Cam Smith |
+140 | +160 | +150 |
| Nick Kurtz |
+350 | +350 | +300 |
 Roman Anthony |
+2500 | +1700 | +2500 |
 Jasson Dominguez |
+3000 | +2800 | +3000 |
| Carlos Narvaez |
+3500 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Marcelo Mayer |
+6000 | +8500 | +7000 |
| Will Warren |
+7000 | +8500 | +8000 |
 Jack Leiter |
+7000 | +8500 | +8000 |
 Shane Smith |
+7000 | +8500 | +8000 |
 Jac Caglianone |
+8000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Noah Cameron |
+8000 | +8500 | +8000 |
Odds as of 7-15.
AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
Jacob Wilson looked like he was well on his way to cruising toward the AL Rookie of the Year award, but some minor injuries have cost him time here and there, allowing other players to make gains.
Chief among them has been Houston Astros outfielder Cam Smith. The 22-year-old broke camp with the big-league squad and hit .213 over his first 23 games. Since the beginning of May, Smith has slashed .300/.361/.433 with a 125 wRC+. While the power hasn't been there (just four home runs since May 1 and seven overall).
He's also seemingly gained the confidence of manager Joe Espada, who has slotted him no lower than fifth in the batting order since Jun 19.
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Odds to win 2025 NL Rookie of the Year
| Player | |
|
|
 Jacob Misiorowski |
-210 | -210 | -220 |
 Drake Baldwin |
+350 | +340 | +350 |
 Agustin Ramirez |
+1200 | +1300 | +1200 |
 Hyeseong Kim |
+1500 | +1300 | +1400 |
 Chase Burns |
+2000 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Isaac Collins |
+3000 | +3400 | +3300 |
| Chad Patrick |
+3500 | +5000 | +5000 |
 Matt Shaw |
+5000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Ben Casparius |
+5000 | OTB | +5000 |
 Dylan Crews |
+5000 | +7000 | +6000 |
 Mick Abel |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
Odds as of 7-15.
NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis
Controversially or not, Jacob Misiorowski was named to the NL All-Star team after just 25 2/3 innings. To be fair, they've been a remarkable 25 innings. He's 4-1 (interestingly, earning as many wins as Paul Skenes) with a 2.81 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 33 strikeouts.
While it's a small sample, his 33.7% strikeout rate would clear every qualified starter. He's been nothing short of dominant for most of his brief MLB tenure. Importantly, after his first real taste of adversity, when he allowed five runs in 3 2/3 innings vs. the Mets, Misiorowski struck out 12 Dodgers while allowing one run on four hits in six sterling frames.
As such, he has surged to significant favorite status. Drake Baldwin and Agustin Ramirez have put together fine first campaigns, but have been far more "floor" than "ceiling," while Misiorowski has shown true ace ability.
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ROY betting splits
AL Rookie of the Year
Highest Ticket%
- Jac Canglianone, Royals - 12.3%
- Jacob Wilson, A's - 11.1%
- Jackson Jobe, Tigers - 9.9%
Highest Handle%
- Jacob Wilson, A's - 31.1%
- Jac Caglianone, Royals - 9%
- Jackson Jobe, Tigers - 8.3%
Biggest Liability
- Jacob Wilson, A's
NL Rookie of the Year
Highest Ticket%
- Matt Shaw, Cubs - 11.5%
- Dylan Crews, Nationals - 9.3%
- Drake Baldwin, Braves - 7.9%
Highest Handle%
- Drake Baldwin, Braves - 18.6%
- Jacob Misiorowski, Brewers - 15.2%
- Dylan Crews, Nationals - 8.8%
Biggest Liability
- Drake Baldwin, Braves
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Past Rookie of the Year winners
Previous AL RoY winners
Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.
| Year | Player |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Luis Gil (SP) |
| 2023 |  Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS) |
| 2022 |  Julio Rodriguez (OF) |
| 2021 |  Randy Arozarena (OF) |
| 2020 | Kyle Lewis (OF) |
| 2019 |  Yordan Alvarez (OF) |
| 2018 |  Shohei Ohtani (P/OF) |
| 2017 |  Aaron Judge (OF) |
| 2016 |  Michael Fulmer (SP) |
| 2015 | Carlos Correa (SS) |
| 2014 |  Jose Abreau (1B) |
| 2013 | Wil Myers (OF) |
Popular MLB futures markets
Previous NL RoY winners
No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.
However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.
| Year | Player (Team) |
|---|---|
| 2024 |  Paul Skenes (SP) |
| 2023 |  Corbin Carroll (OF) |
| 2022 |  Michael Harris (OF) |
| 2021 |  Jonathan India (2B) |
| 2020 |  Devin Williams (RP) |
| 2019 |  Pete Alonso (1B) |
| 2018 | Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF) |
| 2017 |  Cody Bellinger (1B/OF) |
| 2016 | Cory Seager (SS) |
| 2015 |  Kris Bryant (3B) |
| 2014 | Jacob deGrom (SP) |
| 2013 |  Jose Fernandez (SP) |
MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ
A's shortstop Jacob Wilson is the current AL Rookie of the Year favorite.
Milwaukee Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski is the NL favorite.
Pittsburgh Pirates SP Paul Skenes and New York Yankees SP Luis Gil won the respective NL and AL honors in 2024.
MLB rules state a player is considered a rookie unless he has 130 at-bats, 50 innings pitched, or 45 total days on an active MLB roster prior to September 1.
