2024 MLB Rookie of the Year Odds: Looks Like Carter vs Holliday in AL

Evan Carter and Jackson Holliday are the two players atop the AL ROY odds board. Some books favor Carter, who has MLB experience, while others favor Holliday, who is the consensus top prospect in baseball.

Feb 29, 2024 • 12:43 ET • 7 min read
Evan Carter Texas Rangers MLB
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Baltimore Orioles infielder Gunnar Henderson and Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll were honored with their respective league's Rookie of the Year award in 2023. Now, it's time to turn the page to 2024.

MLB futures are on the board, and Rookie of the Year is no different. Still, it's the trickiest to navigate since there is so much less certainty than in MLB MVP odds or Cy Young odds.

Let's take a look at which first-year players are expected to make big splashes in the latest MLB odds with spring training about to get underway.

Odds to win AL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365 Caesars BetMGM
Orioles Jackson Holliday +250 +340 +400 +350 +300
Rangers Evan Carter +300 +280 +280 +375 +275
Rangers Wyatt Langford +600 +700 +600 +550 +700
Angels Nolan Schanuel +750 +1,800 +1,200 +1,500 +1,000
Rays Junior Caminero +800 +1,100 +1,200 +1,000 +1,000
Tigers Parker Meadows +900 +2,000 +1,500 +2,200 +1,200
Tigers Colt Keith +1,000 +1,000 +1,600 +950 +1,000
Red Sox Wilyer Abreu +1,500 OTB +1,800 +3,000 +3,000
Orioles Heston Kjerstad +2,200 +2,500 +2,400 +3,000 +2,000
Yankees Everson Pereira +2,500 +20,000 +15,000 +5,000 +4,000
Blue Jays Ricky Tiedemann +3,000 +5,000 +6,600 +2,500 +3,500
Guardians Kyle Manzardo +3,000 +1,800 +2,400 +2,800 +2,500
Orioles Colton Cowser +3,500 +3,500 +3,300 +4,000 +4,000
Twins Brooks Lee +3,500 +5,500 +3,300 +2,000 +2,500
Red Sox Ceddanne Rafaela +4,000 +7,500 +6,600 +6,000 +5,000
Blue Jays Orelvis Martinez +5,000 +6,500 +5,000 +6,000 +5,000
Rays Curtis Mead +5,000 +5,500 +2,400 +3,500 +5,000

Odds as of February 29, 2024.

AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

2/29/2024: Books appear torn on whether to favor Texas Rangers outfielder Evan Carter or Baltimore Orioles infielder Jackson Holliday. The biggest difference between the two is that Carter has MLB experience already and is a lock to open the season in the majors. Holliday could easily break camp, and he's said that's his goal, but the consensus top prospect in baseball could also find himself at Triple-A to open the season. While he finished last season at that level, he only amassed 91 plate appearances at Triple-A before the offseason. 

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Odds to win NL Rookie of the Year

Player DraftKings FanDuel bet365 Caesars BetMGM
Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto +200 +180 +175 +200 +200
Giants Jung Hoo Lee +450 +900 +800 +550 +900
Reds Noelvi Marte +800 +1,100 +900 +1,400 +900
Brewers Jackson Chourio +800 +700 +1,100 +650 +800
Diamondbacks Jordan Lawlar +900 +2,200 +1,800 +1,800 +1,200
Cubs Shota Imanaga +900 +1,100 +1,200 +1,400 +1,100
Cubs Pete Crow-Armstrong +1,000 +2,000 +1,800 +2,500 +1,100
Pirates Paul Skenes +1,100 +3,000 +2,000 +1,200 +1,500
Cubs Michael Busch +1,300 +2,500 +2,000 +2,200 +2,500
Giants Kyle Harrison +1,400 +1,800 +2,500 +2,500 +1,800
Giants Marco Luciano +1,600 +5,500 +5,000 +3,500 +2,500
Brewers Tyler Black +2,000 +5,000 +5,000 +5,000 +3,000
Cardinals Masyn Winn +2,000 +3,000 +2,800 +4,000 +3,000
Marlins Max Meyer +2,500 +4,000 +2,000 +3,000 OTB
Brewers DL Hall OTB +4,000 OTB +3,500 OTB
Rockies Hunter Goodman +2,500 +3,500 +3,300 +4,500 +3,000
Braves AJ Smith-Shawver +2,500 +5,000 +4,000 +3,500 +4,000
Padres Yuki Matsui +2,500 +5,500 +6,600 +5,000 +3,000
Nationals Dylan Crews +3,000 +3,000 +2,600 +2,500 +3,000

Odds as of February 29, 2024.

NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

2/29/2024: The NL landscape is different in that a pair of overseas veterans are pegged as the favorites to win the NL Rookie of the Year. Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto — who is among the favorites in the Cy Young odds — played seven years in Japan before inking a deal in Hollywood while San Francisco Giants outfielder Jung Hoo Lee played seven seasons in South Korea. Whether or not you agree with MLB's stance on their rookie eligibility, they will both have guaranteed leg up by breaking camp with their respective clubs while the likes of Jackson Chourio and Paul Skenes may open the year in the minors.

Past Rookie of the Year winners

Previous AL RoY winners

Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.

Year Player
2023 Orioles Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS)
2022 Mariners Julio Rodriguez (OF)
2021 Rays Randy Arozarena (OF)
2020 Mariners Kyle Lewis (OF)
2019 Astros Yordan Alvarez (OF)
2018 AngelsShohei Ohtani (P/OF)
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge (OF)
2016 Tigers Michael Fulmer (SP)
2015 Astros Carlos Correa (SS)
2014 White SoxJose Abreau (1B)
2013 Rays Wil Myers (OF)

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Previous NL RoY winners

No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.

However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 11 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.

Year Player (Team)
2023 Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll (OF)
2022 Braves Michael Harris (OF)
2021 Reds Jonathan India (2B)
2020 Brewers Devin Williams (RP)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (1B)
2018 Braves Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF)
2017 Dodgers Cody Bellinger (1B/OF)
2016 Dodgers Cory Seager (SS)
2015 Cubs Kris Bryant (3B)
2014 Mets Jacob deGrom (SP)
2013 Marlins Jose Fernandez (SP)

Understanding MLB ROY odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Julio Rodriguez all but claimed the AL Rookie of the Year in 2022, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number down the stretch. 

  • Julio Rodriguez -4,000

That means that a bettor in September had to wager $4,000 to win $100 by betting on J-Rod to win AL RoY. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.

  • Corbin Carroll +380

That means a bettor would profit $380 for a $100 wager on Carroll before the season started if he's ultimately successful (which he was!). 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

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MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ

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