2025 Rookie of the Year Odds: Sensational Sasaki

Roki Sasaki immediately opens as a massive betting favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year at +200. That is a steep price to pay, but he may have the most surefooted gig in the NL among first-year players.

Jason Wilson - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Publishing Editor
Jan 20, 2025 • 15:58 ET • 7 min read
Roki Sasaki Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
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The calendar has flipped to 2025, and we can finally turn our attention to the MLB award races, including the AL and NL Rookie of the Year.

This market is more difficult to pinpoint this far ahead, but some names are popping up as top contenders.

Here's a look at the MLB odds to see who are considered the best options to win ROY.

Odds to win 2025 AL Rookie of the Year

Player Caesars BetMGM
Yankees Jasson Dominguez +500 +600
Red Sox Roman Anthony +700 +700
Athletics Jacob Wilson +750 +700
Red Sox Kristian Campbell +950 +1100
Orioles Coby Mayo  +1000 +700
Tigers Jackson Jobe +1200 +800
White Sox Colson Montgomery  +2000 +2200
Rangers Kumar Rocker +2000 +1200
Blue Jays Will Wagner +2000 +2000
Guardians Chase DeLauter +2200 +2000
Orioles Tomoyuki Sugano +2500 +2500
White Sox Kyle Teel +2500 +3000
White Sox Edgar Quero  +2500 +3000
Angels Christian Moore +2500 +1500
Tigers Jace Jung +2500 +3500
Tigers Trey Sweeney  +3000 +2500
Rangers Jack Leiter +3000 +3500
AngelsCaden Dana +3500 +8000
Guardians Travis Bazzana +6000 +2200

Odds as of 1-20-2025.

AL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

1/20/2025: New York Yankees outfielder Jasson Dominguez is slotted in as the betting favorite at both Caesars and BetMGM. Injuries ultimately delayed his full-time arrival in the Bronx and he didn't look great in 18 games in 2024. However, he should have a clear path to everyday playing time in the Yankees outfield with Juan Soto playing for the Mets. Dominguez has been highly touted for ages, and "The Martian" isn't a surprising pick this far ahead of Opening Day. Rosters aren't set and Spring Training could shake things up.

The Boston Red Sox have two names on this list, both of whom have yet to debut but have rocketed up prospect lists since last summer. Whether Roman Anthony and/or Kristian Campbell break camp remains to be seen, but there remains the motivation behind ensuring a true ROY candidate plays the entire season at the MLB level as it would earn the team a bonus draft pick.

Detroit Tigers right-hander Jackson Jobe is the top pitcher on the list with Kumar Rocker a touch behind. Both hurlers debuted in 2024 and have impressive arsenals. Both are in line for big seasons, and considering how bare the Tigers' rotation was come playoff time, Jobe is a welcome addition.

In terms of value, Los Angeles Angels right-hander Caden Dana at +8000 could be a bargain. There are questions about whether or not he'll break camp with the additions of Yusei Kikuchi and Kyle Hendricks, but the latter won't preclude Dana from a rotation spot if he struggles in spring and the 21-year-old thrives.

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Odds to win 2025 NL Rookie of the Year

Player Caesars BetMGM
Dodgers Roki Sasaki +200 +200
Nationals Dylan Crews +450 +400
Cubs Matt Shaw +500 +400
Pirates Bubba Chandler +900 +1100
Diamondbacks Jordan Lawlar +1400 +1400
Cardinals Thomas Saggese +2000 +2000
Reds Rhett Lowder +2500 +2500
Padres Tirso Ornelas +3000 +3000
Phillies Andrew Painter +4000 +2000
Marlins Agustin Ramirez +4000 +3500
Dodgers Dalton Rushing +5000 +4000
Nationals Brady House +5000 +5000
Cardinals Quinn Matthews +5000 +3500
Cardinals Michael McGreevy +5000 +4000
Rockies Drew Romo +5000 +6600
Braves Drake Baldwin +5000 +5000

Odds as of 1-20-2025.

NL Rookie of the Year odds analysis

1/20/2025:  Unsurprisingly, Roki Sasaki is the betting favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year just days after signing with the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, at +200, there is zero value in betting on him to win. Yes, he has the benefit of likely starting the season in the rotation of baseball's best team, but this is a number trading more on hype than reality. That doesn't mean he can't win, but calling it barely more than a coin flip before he even steps foot on an MLB mound is pretty crazy.

Dylan Crews, Jordan Lawlar, Thomas Saggese, and Rhett Lowder have each dipped their feet in MLB waters, and should get early run in 2025. Bubba Chandler could follow in Paul Skenes' footsteps in the Pittsburgh Pirates rotation and stands an outside shot at breaking camp. 

Andrew Painter is finally on the verge of the bigs after missing 2023 and most of 2024 after Tommy John surgery. He turns 22 in April and has perhaps the most upside of any pitcher on this list. The question is whether or not he plays enough in Philly this season.

Past Rookie of the Year winners

Previous AL RoY winners

Although all players have an equal chance of winning the AL Rookie of the Year Award, the honor has been claimed disproportionately by outfielders since its inception in 1949. Outfielders have 24 victories compared to 17 for pitchers and 17 for shortstops. Catchers are bringing up the rear with just two ROY victories over the past 72 years.

Year Player
2024 Yankees Luis Gil (SP)
2023 Orioles Gunnar Henderson (3B/SS)
2022 Mariners Julio Rodriguez (OF)
2021 Rays Randy Arozarena (OF)
2020 Mariners Kyle Lewis (OF)
2019 Astros Yordan Alvarez (OF)
2018 AngelsShohei Ohtani (P/OF)
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge (OF)
2016 Tigers Michael Fulmer (SP)
2015 Astros Carlos Correa (SS)
2014 White SoxJose Abreau (1B)
2013 Rays Wil Myers (OF)

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Previous NL RoY winners

No franchise has won more Rookie of the Year awards than the Dodgers. "The Blue Crew" have claimed 18 RoY trophies dating back to the club's early days in Brooklyn.

However, unlike the AL — where the West has been the recent home of the top rookies — the NL East has housed five of the last 12 RoYs, with a mix of outfielders, infielders, starting pitchers, and even a reliever.

Year Player (Team)
2024 Pirates Paul Skenes (SP)
2023 Diamondbacks Corbin Carroll (OF)
2022 Braves Michael Harris (OF)
2021 Reds Jonathan India (2B)
2020 Brewers Devin Williams (RP)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (1B)
2018 Braves Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF)
2017 Dodgers Cody Bellinger (1B/OF)
2016 Dodgers Cory Seager (SS)
2015 Cubs Kris Bryant (3B)
2014 Mets Jacob deGrom (SP)
2013 Marlins Jose Fernandez (SP)

MLB RoY odds explained

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Julio Rodriguez all but claimed the AL Rookie of the Year in 2022, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number down the stretch. 

  • Julio Rodriguez -4,000

That means that a bettor in September had to wager $4,000 to win $100 by betting on J-Rod to win AL RoY. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.

  • Corbin Carroll +380

That means a bettor would profit $380 for a $100 wager on Carroll before the season started if he's ultimately successful (which he was!). 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

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MLB Rookie of the Year Awards FAQ

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Jason Wilson Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

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