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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.52 |
-135 
|
o8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +125 
|
|
4.76 |
+118 
|
u9.0 -118 
|
+1.5 -139
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+178
|
o7.0 -107
|
+1.5 -122 
|
|
4.13 |
-195
|
u7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +116
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Jakob Marsee o0.5 Total RBIs (+332)
o0.5+332
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+115
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.48 |
-129
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.35 |
-190
|
o9.5 -125
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.02 |
+165
|
u10.5 -113
|
+1.5 +105
|
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 9-0 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+143)
o0.5+143
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
+118
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.77 |
-134 
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
o0.5+244
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+116
|
o6.5 -113
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.14 |
-126
|
u6.5 +103
|
-1.5 +170 
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+130
|
o5.5 -125
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
3.88 |
-150
|
u6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +160
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 overall.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 home starts.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
o0.5+222
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+190
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.31 |
-220
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +102
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.41 |
+190
|
o6.5 -135
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
4.43 |
-215
|
u7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +106
|
LA Angels
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.53 |
-159
|
o10.5 -107
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
5.26 |
+141
|
u10.5 +100
|
+1.5 -110
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Lucas Spence o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
+150
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.88 |
-173
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+130)
o1.5+130
CHW
@
KC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to +120. Vinnie Pasquantino is scorching hot, posting a .611 ISO with three homers over his last five games while clearing this total-bases line in five straight. David Sandlin has allowed plenty of hard contact, and Chicago’s struggling bullpen gives Pasquantino additional opportunities to keep producing.
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage today.
MIA
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+529)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
A long fly could be tough to come by Thursday afternoon at Wrigley, so I’m going chalky with Crow-Armstrong. He’s second in ISO against right-handed pitchers among qualified hitters, and Miami starter Tyler Phillips has surrendered 1.61 home runs per nine innings with a massive 49.0% hard-hit rate and 40.0% squared-up contact rate to left-handed hitters as a starter.
Total
u7.5 (-135)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This Under 7.5 is good to 59% because the wind is forecast to be blowing in briskly at Wrigley Field, and both starting pitchers have been solid down the stretch. Miami righty Tyler Phillips also pitching well with a 3.67 xERA and 3.84 xFIP across his past six starts, and Chicago lefty Matthew Boyd checks in with a 3.72 xERA and 3.77 xFIP across his past five starts.
NYM
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Corey Seager owns a .204 ISO and hefty 16.7% barrel rate over the last 25 games when facing fastballs and cutters thrown by lefties.
Zac Thornton ranks in the 17th percentile in HR/FB against lefties his past six starts. He’s giving up a ton of power to lefties, and Seager is a prime candidate to make him pay.
Total
o8.5 (-101)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
This game has sneaky run potential, making the over an appealing play to 52%.
Zac Thornton has allowed 2.17 HR/9 the past month, and the Texas Rangers have the power to take advantage.
New York has a real path to scoring as well. Kumar Rocker owns a sky-high 1.59 WHIP over the last 30 days, and Texas’ bullpen has the league’s fifth highest ERA in September.
AZ
@
COL
Thu, Sep 24 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total RBIs
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Jordan Beck will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.. Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
MIL
@
PHI
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jake Bauers has hit for plenty of power against right-handed pitchers, posting a .208 ISO and 14.6% barrel rate.
Andrew Painter ranks in the 29th percentile in HR/9 when facing left-handed bats. Bauers has left the park in 28.9% of his games against a starting pitcher who sits in the 35th percentile or worse in that category.
Moneyline
MIL (+107)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Philadelphia Phillies starter Andrew Painter has pitched better of late but that coincides with a decrease in opponent quality. He is still yet to put together a good performance against an elite offense. Painter has posted a 9.81 xERA and 12.32 ERA over five starts against Top-10 teams in OBP vs. right-handed pitching. The Brewers, of course, rank first and scored five runs over five innings the last time they faced him.
CLE
@
BOS
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+585)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Ramirez has the track record against Suarez to go yard (.363 xBA, .472 xSLG) and is at one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues. Tie in the fact that Ramirez owns an .842 OPS against lefties, and we have the perfect storm for a homer.
Total
o6.5 (-123)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
No matter which way you slice it, there will be runs in this game. The Guardians have a history against Suarez, and I'm not sold that an opener can keep this solid Red Sox offense at bay. Espino has been shaky lately, allowing four earned runs across his last 1 1/3 innings pitched. Yes, he'll only pitch one inning, but he could kick-start our Over early. On the other side, Suarez owns the highest xERA (3.73) over his last three years, giving us the confidence to believe the Guardians can help us get over the line.
TB
@
NYY
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:05 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-151)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler gives New York a major pitching advantage after posting a 2.30 FIP over the last month and allowing one earned run or fewer in eight straight outings. Tampa Bay enters with a 61 wRC+ over the last week, making this an excellent spot for the Yankees ace.
Total Home Runs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Paul Goldschmidt has hit .307 with a .281 ISO and 13.1% barrel rate vs. LHP.
His numbers further increase when isolating the fastball-changeup combination Ian Seymour is heavily reliant on, with the ISO climbing to .312.
Goldschmidt has also homered in 24.1% of his games against left-handed starters ranking in the 60th percentile or worse in HR/9 vs. RHH.
CIN
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+331)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Olson is set up perfectly to leave the yard tonight. He's hit 25 of his 41 homers against righties with a monster .263 ISO, and Cincy starter Brady Singer has surrendered 2.13 home runs per nine innings and a .216 ISO to left-handed hitters. Additionally, Olson has also homered off Singer twice across just 18 career plate appearances.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I recommend this Over 7.5 to -115 becauase the Atlanta offense is set up for success against Reds righty Brady Singer. He's posted a 7.06 xERA and 5.49 xFIP across his past 10 starts while also allowing highest wOBA and squared-up contact rate among pitchers with at least 150 innings pitched this season. The Reds only need to chip in to send this total Over the number tonight.
LAA
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-204)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has dominated Angels hitters in the past, limiting them to a .190 batting average and .442 OPS. Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez's struggles have continued, as he owns a 5.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate that ranks in the fourth percentile, according to Baseball Savant. Seattle is playable on the ML to -220.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.
HOU
@
ATH
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.
Total Bases
Henry Bolte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Henry Bolte is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Henry Bolte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.
SD
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 24 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-172)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Los Angeles enters this matchup scorching hot, carrying a 165 wRC+ and .236 ISO over the last week. Nick Pivetta has allowed plenty of loud contact lately, including a 14.3% barrel rate over the last month. Against this Dodgers lineup, those underlying numbers are particularly concerning.
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+465)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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