MLB Betting Trends Today: September 28, 2026

Boston @ NY Yankees

Sep 29 • 8:00 PM ET

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Game starts in 1 day 19 hours

Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Chi. Cubs @ San Diego

Sep 29 • 10:00 PM ET

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Game starts in 1 day 21 hours

Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 home games.
Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 Wild Card Round games.
Cubs are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round home games.

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	1145-1284	47.1%
Home Teams	1284-1145	52.9%
Favorites	1352-1019	57.0%
Dogs	1019-1352	43.0%
Away Favorites	443-345	56.2%
Away Dogs	674-909	42.6%
Home Favorites	909-674	57.4%
Home Dogs	345-443	43.8%

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
Category	Record	Percent
Away Teams	1229-1195-4	50.7%
Home Teams	1195-1229-4	49.3%
Favorites	999-1425-4	41.2%
Dogs	1425-999-4	58.8%
Away Favorites	485-681-1	41.6%
Away Dogs	744-514-3	59.1%
Home Favorites	514-744-3	40.9%
Home Dogs	681-485-1	58.4%

Over VS. Under betting trends and statistics

Over VS. Under betting trends and statistics table
Category	Overs	Percent	Unders	Percent
Extra Innings Games	123	60.89%	79	39.11%
Non-Extra Inning Games	1059	49.28%	1090	50.72%
All Games	1182	50.28%	1169	49.72%

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What Are MLB Betting Trends?

MLB betting trends let you see how teams have performed historically in specific situations across a 162-game regular season. Because baseball produces more data than any other major North American sport, betting trends are an especially useful tool for handicapping individual matchups. MLB betting trends show you things like:

How a team performs on the moneyline at home versus on the road
How a team does against the run line (baseball's version of the spread)
How a team fares in over/under markets at certain ballparks
How a starting pitcher's team performs when he takes the mound

The sheer volume of games in an MLB season means trends carry more statistical weight than in shorter sports. A team that goes 30-15 on the run line in home games isn't doing it by accident. That said, not every trend is worth your attention. If a trend is based on a small or unusual sample, or if it relies on factors that aren't repeatable, treat it as a footnote rather than a betting signal. The most useful MLB trends are the ones tied to consistent, measurable conditions that are likely to show up again in your target game.