The Atlanta Braves are looking to build postseason momentum as monster home favorites over the Cincinnati Reds ahead of the 7:15 p.m. ET first pitch at Truist Park on Thursday, Sept. 24.
My top Reds vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks are calling for the Atlanta lineup to put enough crooked numbers on the board to both win convincingly and send this total Over the number tonight.
Who will win Reds vs Braves today: Braves -1.5
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Cincinnati Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three earned runs or more in each of his past 10 starts for an enormous 7.06 xERA and 5.49 xFIP, so I recommend this Atlanta Braves -1.5 run line to 52%.
Additionally, with Cincy eliminated from the postseason, there’s no reason for Singer to have a short leash Thursday night.
While the Atlanta Braves have turned their attention to the playoffs, manager Walt Weiss doesn’t "believe in taking your foot off the gas with the position players," and superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. (shin) is expected to be back in the lineup tonight.
It all adds up to the Braves putting enough runs on the board to cover the number tonight.
COVERS INTEL: Singer has surrendered the highest wOBA and squared-up contact rate among pitchers with at least 150 innings pitched.
Reds vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 7.5
With Atlanta clearly set up for success at the dish, we only need Cincinnati to chip in to hit this Over 7.5, and I recommend it to 53.5%.
Additionally, there has only been a 7.5 total in three of Singer’s 30 starts this season, and the number has been 9 or higher in seven of his past nine trips to the hill.
As a result, I think we’re landing a decreased total.
Reds vs Braves home run prediction: Matt Olson
Singer has surrendered 2.13 home runs per nine innings and a .216 ISO to left-handed hitters, so Braves first baseman Matt Olson is set up perfectly to leave the yard tonight. Olson has hit 25 of his 41 homers against righties with a monster .263 ISO, after all.
Of course, Olson has also homered off Singer twice across just 18 career plate appearances.
- ML/RL picks: 65-36, +34.08 units
- Over/Under picks: 38-34, +1.55 units
Reds vs Braves weather
The forecast calls for first-pitch temperatures around 70°F falling to 65°F by the late innings. Skies will stay partly cloudy with 8 mph crosswinds.
Reds vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Reds 33% | Braves 68%
- Run line: Reds +1.5 (53%) | Braves -1.5 (48%)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (51%) | Under 7.5 (50%)
Reds vs Braves trend
The Reds have only covered the run line in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.60 Units / -20% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Braves.
How to watch Reds vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Cumberland, GA |
| Date | Thursday, Sept. 24, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Reds starting pitcher | Brady Singer (6-15, 5.67 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | Tyler Mahle (7-10, 3.81 ERA) |
Reds vs Braves latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
