MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on March 29, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Mar 29 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-148)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Jesus Luzardo went 4-1 with a 5.11 ERA against the American League in 2025.

Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Corey Seager has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .366 figure is a good deal lower than his .380 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Mar 29 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Byron Buxton has put up a .360 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Mar 29 • 1:35 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 6th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Mar 29 • 1:37 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 3 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
George Springer logo George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Morales is a fastball pitcher who was hit hard last season and throughout spring. He allowed eight homers in 10 appearances last season, and gave up three homers in his final three starts of spring. 

Springer handles a fastball extremely well, sporting a 1.076 OPS against the pitch last season with a team-high 14 home runs. He hit them hard, too, with a .746 xSLG and a hard-hit rate of 55%. 

Walks
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Walks (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranked in the 89th percentile in walk rate last season among all qualified hitters in baseball. He’s picked up right where he left off last season with walks in back-to-back games to start the season, totaling three walks in those games.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Mar 29 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball hitters like Ezequiel Tovar tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Meyer.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hunter Goodman has paced 29.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Hunter Goodman's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Mar 29 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Connolly Early has a live arm but had a tough spring. Rhett Lowder missed a full season and was hit hard this spring. We’ll likely see the bullpens early, and Boston has the better one. 

Strikeouts Thrown
Connelly Early logo
Connelly Early u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 5.29 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Connelly Early to be limited today, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.. The Cincinnati Reds have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Connelly Early in this matchup.. Connelly Early will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Connelly Early has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 13.50 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.45 — a 4.05 K/9 deviation.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Mar 29 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Mar 29 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (+152)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Tatsuya Imai makes his much-awaited MLB debut, and the Angels have come out of the gate swinging. Jack Kochanowicz has command issues, but Houston's offense and the rookie pitcher are too difficult to trust.

Strikeouts Thrown
Tatsuya Imai logo
Tatsuya Imai o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 6.18 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tatsuya Imai in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.. The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jo Adell, Jorge Soler, Mike Trout, Logan O'Hoppe).. It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brennan Miller) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Minute Maid Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Mar 29 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Andrew Benintendi logo
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. American Family Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Mar 29 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 2 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Michael Busch logo Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Irvin coughed up nearly two home runs per nine frames in 2025, and left-handed bats slugged .500 with a .384 wOBA across 100 ⅔ innings.


As previously mentioned, Busch has already tasted success against Irvin, and he’s lit up the Nats pitchers during this series, with a good chance to go yard today. 

 

Strikeouts Thrown
Shota Imanaga logo Shota Imanaga o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Imanaga throws strikes, limits walks (1.53 per nine), and works efficiently enough to pitch into the middle innings. He doesn’t need a dominant outing to get there, just his typical steady execution. 


With Washington already prone to strikeouts, the opportunities should be there throughout his outing. This sets up as a solid spot for Imanaga to reach five strikeouts.

 

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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, Mar 29 • 7:20 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Slade Cecconi is coming off a strong spring. He has a tall order against this Seattle lineup, but he should get enough run support as Emerson Hancock has command issues with a career 1.5 home runs per nine. 

Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 7th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
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