Both sides are coming off highs, with Germany dismantling Portugal in a 4-2 win, while Hungary recorded a fantastic 1-1 draw against France in Budapest.
How will this Group F finale shake out? Read on for our Germany vs. Hungary tips and predictions.
• Location: Fußball Arena München, Munich, Germany
• Date: Wednesday, June 23, 2021
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN2, TSN2
Germany vs Hungary betting tips
- Germany (-600)
- Anytime goalscorer - Kai Havertz (+100)
Read on for complete analysis
Germany vs Hungary match odds
Over 2.5: -250
Under 2.5: +200
Odds as of June 22, 2021, at 2:45 p.m. ET.
Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement reportBy Patrick Everson
Germany is a healthy -590 favorite at TwinSpires, making Hungary a hefty +1,600 underdog and Draw +700 at 1:15 p.m. ET, less than two hours before the match. Despite the heavy price, Germany is taking 92 percent of bets and 94 percent of cash. "Germany (also) seems to be in all the parlays. We've also seen sizable action on Germany -2," TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said. The total is at 3.5 (Under -132), with 59 percent of bets/66 percent of money on the Over.
Germany vs Hungary betting preview
Rain clouds will roll out of Munich in time for kickoff in this Euro clash, with just a 25 percent chance of precipitation and temperatures expected around 75 degrees Fahrenheit.
Germany: Jonas Hofmann (Questionable), Thomas Müller (Doubtful) Lukas Klostermann (Out).
Hungary: No injuries to report.
|4-2 vs. Portugal||Previous Game||1-1 vs. France|
|Kai Havertz||Player to Watch||Willi Orban|
Germany vs Hungary predictions
Any skeptics toward Germany's legitimacy in this year's Euros, after a middling performance against France in their opener, got a pretty definitive answer against Portugal on Saturday. The 2014 World Cup champions tore Portugal apart, with the defending Euro champ's tactical setup immediately proven to be a mistake. From there, it was a quicksand game, as Germany led attack after attack, consistently putting the ball in dangerous positions (with two own goals to prove it).
Robin Gosens had all the freedom in the world down the left against a helpless Nelson Semedo, with his wingback counterpart, Joshua Kimmich, delivering a similarly effective performance from the right. With Gosens and Kimmich providing Germany's width, they were able to flood the penalty area in attack and wreaked absolute havoc on a deep Portuguese line.
While Hungary must be thrilled with what was a famous point against the defending World Cup champions on home turf, they're going to face real danger in this one. Like Portugal, Hungary set up deep with a low block and invite pressure, with their hopes of attack coming via counters.
Even in an exceptionally strong defensive performance against France, Hungary and right-wingback Loic Nego were exploited a few times by Kylian Mbappe. While that's not an unreasonable occurrence in itself, it doesn't bode well against a German team that has built their best attacks down the left.
Hungary may put on another admirable fight in the Group of Death, but the magic of matchday two won't repeat. Germany will deliver successive wins in front of their home support.
PREDICTION: Germany (-600)
Kai Havertz was the one most responsible for Portugal's calamitous defending against Germany, as his movement off the ball was absolutely phenomenal. In many respects, it was reminiscent of German teammate Thomas Muller's best moments as a "Raumdeuter," with Havertz popping into space at just the perfect time without warning.
With Muller sidelined in this one, Havertz will have even more of the attacking responsibility but with it, extra space to navigate in the middle of the pitch. With Kimmich and Gosens given the flanks to operate from, Havertz's partners in attack, Leroy Sane and Serge Gnabry, will play more centrally. As it did against Portugal, that will aid Havertz's attempts to find pockets of space, with center-backs occupied by a pair of dynamic attackers on either side of Havertz.
As Muller has done so well for years, expect Havertz to interpret space perfectly and capitalize when he is given the chance.
PREDICTION: Anytime goalscorer - Kai Havertz (+100)
Picks made on 6/22/2021 at 5:30 p.m. ET
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