Champions League Matchday 4 brings 18 games across Tuesday and Wednesday, with some tricky road trips and several matchups that could finish level.
My Champions League moneyline picks include three draws: Manchester United vs. Roma, Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool, and PSV vs. Club Brugge.
Below are my picks for all 18 matches, with Tuesday's slate first and Wednesday's selections underneath.
Read on for my free betting picks for Matchday 4.
Champions League moneyline picks for Tuesday, Nov. 3
| Matchup |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk Sporting CP |
Sporting CP 49% |
| Galatasaray Stuttgart |
Galatasaray 44% |
| Atletico Madrid Bayern Munich |
Atletico Madrid 34% |
| Barcelona Aston Villa |
Barcelona 78% |
| Feyenoord Inter |
Inter 52% |
| Bodo/Glimt Lille |
Bodo/Glimt 52% |
| LASK Slovan Bratislava |
LASK 69% |
| Manchester United Roma |
Draw 24% |
| Villarreal Paris Saint-Germain |
Paris Saint-Germain 60% |
Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP pick: Sporting CP
Shakhtar are listed as the home team, but this game is being played at Stamford Bridge. That takes away much of the advantage they would normally have in Ukraine.
Sporting have won all four of their previous Champions League meetings with Ukrainian clubs, and Luis Suarez has been scoring regularly in Europe. Their defence remains a concern after losing to LASK, but Sporting should create enough to win.
Galatasaray vs Stuttgart pick: Galatasaray
Stuttgart have made an unbeaten start in Europe, but playing Galatasaray in Istanbul is a different challenge. Victor Osimhen gives the hosts a reliable goal threat, and Stuttgart could struggle to control midfield without Angelo Stiller.
The visitors have a strong scoring record on European trips, so I don't expect an easy night. Galatasaray's attacking quality and the pressure of Rams Park give them the edge.
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich pick: Atletico Madrid
Atletico have never lost to Bayern at home, winning two of their three meetings, and they have an excellent record when German clubs visit Madrid. Bayern's attack is dangerous, particularly with Harry Kane scoring so consistently, but they've conceded five goals in their last two Champions League matches.
Atletico can defend patiently and punish those openings on the break. I'm backing the hosts in an upset.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa pick: Barcelona
Aston Villa have won their first three Champions League games, so Barcelona cannot afford to treat this as a routine home win. Unai Emery's side can cause problems on the break, especially if Barcelona push their defensive line too high.
Still, Barca are unbeaten in 15 European home games against English clubs. Their attacking depth should create more chances than Villa can handle over 90 minutes.
Feyenoord vs Inter pick: Inter
Feyenoord are difficult to beat in Rotterdam and haven't lost any of their last six Champions League home matches against Italian opposition. Inter also come in with questions to answer after conceding four to Club Brugge.
But the Italians have gone 14 European meetings without losing to a Dutch club and beat Feyenoord twice last season. I trust Inter's midfield to steady things and help them edge this one.
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille pick: Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have won four straight Champions League home games, beating Manchester City, Inter, Sporting, and Dortmund along the way. Lille now have to travel north to an artificial pitch and conditions they rarely experience in France.
This is more than a tough trip on paper: Bodo have repeatedly shown they can beat elite visitors here. Lille have talent, but I trust the Norwegian side at home.
LASK vs Slovan Bratislava pick: LASK
LASK's 3-2 win away to Sporting was a huge result and should give them plenty of confidence heading home. Slovan Bratislava have lost all 11 of their Champions League matches, and their record away to Austrian clubs is poor.
LASK still need to avoid getting carried away after one upset, but they should be able to press Slovan into mistakes and create enough chances for another victory.
Manchester United vs Roma pick: Draw
Manchester United have given up six goals in their last two Champions League games and followed those defeats with a 2-0 loss at Chelsea.
Roma have enough quality to punish another sloppy defensive display, but their own back line has been far from convincing. Old Trafford should help United compete, even if their form makes them hard to trust. I can see both sides scoring without either taking control.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain pick: Paris Saint-Germain
PSG have gone 13 Champions League matches without defeat and are scoring freely enough to trouble any opponent. Villarreal showed they can attack in a 4-3 loss at Liverpool, but that game also exposed how much space they leave behind.
PSG have the speed and movement to take advantage when Villarreal commit players forward. The hosts can make this uncomfortable, but Paris should find the extra goal.
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Champions League moneyline picks for Wednesday, Nov. 4
| Matchup | Probability |
|---|---|
| AEK Athens Real Madrid |
Real Madrid 76% |
| Fenerbahce Liverpool |
Draw 21% |
| Borussia Dortmund Real Betis |
Borussia Dortmund 56% |
| Porto Napoli |
Porto 48% |
| PSV Eindhoven Club Brugge |
Draw 22% |
| RB Leipzig Manchester City |
Manchester City 62% |
| Lens Como |
Como 45% |
| Slavia Prague Arsenal |
Arsenal 74% |
| Viking Sabah |
Viking 66% |
Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid pick: Real Madrid
Real Madrid have scored four goals in each of their last two Champions League matches and arrive after beating Barcelona domestically. Athens will be a difficult place to play, and Madrid's historical record on European trips to Greece is surprisingly poor.
AEK have also been tough to beat at home. But Madrid's forward line can turn a small opening into a goal, and that quality should decide it.
Fenerbahce vs Liverpool pick: Draw
Liverpool have lost their last three European away games against Turkish opposition, all by 1-0 scorelines, and they travel to Istanbul after Sunday's bruising defeat to Arsenal.
Fenerbahce have struggled badly in Europe, but their home crowd can help them stay in the game. Liverpool have the stronger squad, yet the short turnaround and difficult setting could prevent them from pulling away. I'm taking a draw.
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis pick: Borussia Dortmund
Real Betis have won all three of their Champions League matches and have enough creativity to test Dortmund's defence. But Signal Iduna Park is a difficult place for visiting teams to settle, particularly when Dortmund are pressing high and moving the ball quickly.
The German side have also won four straight European home matches against Spanish opponents. Betis should have chances, but I'm backing Dortmund to make home advantage count.
Porto vs Napoli pick: Porto
Porto have lost all three Champions League games, so there's no pretending they've played well in Europe. Napoli aren't travelling with much confidence either: they've gone seven Champions League away matches without a win and were beaten at Juventus on Sunday.
Porto have a strong historical home record against Italian opponents and should get opportunities to attack Napoli's back line. I'll give the hosts a narrow edge.
PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge pick: Draw
PSV have scored in 21 consecutive European home games, so it's hard to imagine them being shut out here. But Club Brugge have already won at Inter and followed that with a convincing victory over Lens.
The short trip across the Belgian border shouldn't bother them, and both sides have shown they can create chances against good opposition. I expect an open game with neither team doing enough to pull clear.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City pick: Manchester City
These teams have produced 30 goals in six Champions League meetings, and another open game would suit Manchester City's attack. Erling Haaland has scored 12 times in eight career appearances against Leipzig, who can leave space when they press high.
Leipzig have beaten City at home before and will create chances of their own. But City's movement in the final third should give them the edge.
Lens vs Como pick: Como
Como's 4-1 win over Manchester United showed how dangerous they can be when Nico Paz has room to create. Tasos Douvikas has also scored in each of their first three Champions League appearances, giving them a consistent finisher.
Lens have attacking quality themselves, with Florian Thauvin creating plenty of chances, and home advantage matters. Still, Como have looked the more clinical side going forward, and I'll take them to edge it.
Slavia Prague vs Arsenal pick: Arsenal
Arsenal are unbeaten in 18 straight Champions League matches and have an outstanding record against Czech opponents. They've kept clean sheets in all six of their European away games in Czechia and won 3-0 at Slavia last season.
Slavia haven't won in this competition since 2007, and they face a side that rarely gives opponents easy chances. Arsenal should control the game and find a way through.
Viking vs Sabah pick: Viking
Sabah face a long trip from Azerbaijan to Stavanger, where Viking will be much more comfortable with the surroundings and November weather.
Viking are still searching for their first Champions League win, but they've scored five goals in three games and can hurt teams at home.
Sabah have lost three straight European away matches. Viking aren't flawless defensively, but I like their chances of finally getting three points.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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