Premier League leaders Arsenal will be confident of claiming victory when they travel to the Czech Republic for their latest Champions League outing on Wednesday.
My Slavia Prague vs. Arsenal predictions point toward a comfortable win for last season's beaten finalists, with a high-scoring game also on the cards given the Gunners' attacking threat.
Read on for my free picks for Nov. 4, with kickoff scheduled for 4 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Top pick: Arsenal -1.5 | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Combo: Arsenal to win + Over 2.5 goals | 1.12x |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Slavia Prague vs Arsenal predictions
My Slavia Prague vs Arsenal top pick: Arsenal -1.5 (54% probability)
The difference between the Premier League and the Czech league will be laid bare here, as Arsenal look set to triumph in convincing fashion.
Slavia Prague sit atop the Czech league and have won their last two domestic fixtures by 5-0 and 4-0 scorelines, but Europe is an entirely different story.
Slavia sit 32nd in the 36-team Champions League league-phase table with a 0W-1D-2L record, despite having yet to face a side of Arsenal's caliber.
Look back further, and you'll find even greater shortcomings: the hosts are winless in their last 22 Champions League matches (0W-8D-14L).
This should be a straightforward victory for Arsenal, who are riding high after their 1-0 road win at Liverpool over the weekend. Play this handicap up to 60%.
My Slavia Prague vs Arsenal Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (63% probability)
Arsenal may be lauded for their defensive excellence, but the stats suggest the value on the 2.5-goal line lies with the Over.
Since the start of last season, eight of Arsenal's 11 Champions League league-phase games have featured three or more goals, with an average of 3.18 goals per game. Narrow the focus to their away games, and four of six fixtures have produced at least three goals.
Slavia Prague will be quietly confident they can score. They've netted twice in two of their three Champions League games so far: a 2-2 away draw against Fenerbahce and a 3-2 home defeat to Lens. Their average expected goals (xG) across those three games is an impressive 1.73.
Play the Over up to 67%.
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Slavia Prague vs Arsenal combo
Arsenal to win
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal have a 75% probability of winning, which underrates their chances given that they've won 10 of their last 11 Champions League league-phase games. Their only dropped points came against a Bayern Munich side that ranks among Europe's best.
The way to get more value from an Arsenal win is to combine it with the Over.
Slavia Prague vs Arsenal odds
Odds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Slavia Prague vs Arsenal
| Location | Fortuna Stadium, Prague, Czech Republic |
| Date | Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026 |
| Time | 4 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | Dry playing conditions. |
Slavia Prague vs Arsenal key injuries
Slavia Prague: Jakub Markovic, GK (Questionable); Samuel Isife, RB (Questionable); Lukas Provod, RW (Questionable); Tomas Chory, ST (Out); Adonija Ouanda, ST (Questionable).
Arsenal: William Saliba, CB (Out); Bukayo Saka, RW (Out); Eberechi Eze, LW (Questionable).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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