Canadiens vs Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NHL Game

Juraj Slafkovsky is once again on the Canadiens top line with Nick Suzuki, but Cole Caufield is now down on the second line. This should open up more shooting possibilities for the Habs winger on Monday.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2024 • 10:30 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Montreal Canadiens NHL Juraj Slafkovsky
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Juraj Slafkovsky.

The Montreal Canadiens will look to snap a six-game losing streak with a win over the Buffalo Sabres at the KeyBank Center on Monday, November 11.

While Buffalo has won three straight, my top Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions and NHL picks expect the new-look Montreal top line featuring Juraj Slafkovsky to have a solid afternoon.

Canadiens vs Sabres prediction

My Canadiens pick
Juraj Slafkovsky Over 1.5 shots (-135 at BET99)

My Canadiens analysis

Montreal Canadiens head coach Martin St. Louis has returned winger Juraj Slafkovsky to the No. 1 line alongside center Nick Suzuki, and I’m anticipating the switch being a big boost for the Slovak winger.

Slafkovsky and Suzuki have shared the ice at five-on-five for 88:43 this season with a high-end 4.73 goals per 60 minutes. They posted a solid 3.68 mark in the second half of last season when Slafkovsky broke out for 35 points (16 goals) and an average of 2.43 shots per night across the final 40 games.

I’m also anticipating statistical correction ahead of the possession numbers. Suzuki and Slafkovsky have a miserable 42.9 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5 this season after posting a respectable 49.8% mark during last year’s highlighted stretch.

Additionally, a big difference Monday is that it’ll be Habs forward Kirby Dach on the top line and not Cole Caufield. Caulfield is a shoot-first winger, and he has the lowest CF% at 5-on-5 this season of the four highlighted Habs forwards. It’s also the case when adjusted for score and venue.

The Suzuki-Slafkovsky-Dach line jumped the boards for 4:24 at 5-on-5 Saturday night against the Toronto Maple Leafs and had six shot attempts to Toronto’s one, and they remained intact during Sunday’s practice.

It’s obviously a small sample, but the trio also all skate on the top power-play unit, so I’m expecting the new-look No. 1 line to have chemistry and tread water in the possession game Monday afternoon. And, with Caufield skating on the second line, there will be more shooting opportunities for Slafkovsky.

Canadiens vs Sabres same-game parlay (SGP)

Juraj Slafkovsky Over 1.5 shots 

Rasmus Dahlin Over 2.5 shots

Rasmus Dahlin Over 0.5 points

Montreal allows the sixth-most shots per game and third-most to opposing defensemen, and Buffalo Sabres No. 1 Rasmus Dahlin logs a team-high 24:24 per night while ranking third in shots (42) and second in attempts (103) for the club. He’s on the No. 1 power-play unit and has three or more shots in six consecutive games.

Dahlin has also marked the scoresheet in five of the six highlighted games with two tallies and four helpers during the heater. Of course, the Canadiens have also surrendered a league-high 4.07 goals per game with a 31st-ranked 44.5 CF% at 5-on-5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Canadiens vs Sabres odds

Canadiens vs Sabres live odds

Canadiens vs Sabres opening odds

  • Puck line: Montreal +1.5 | Buffalo -1.5
  • Moneyline: Montreal +174 | Buffalo -200
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Odds courtesy of BET99

Canadiens vs Sabres trend

Juraj Slafkovsky has recorded two or more shots in four of his past six games. Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Sabres.

How to watch Canadiens vs Sabres

Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Date: Monday, 11-11-2024
Puck drop: 12:30 p.m. ET
TV: RDS, TSN2

Canadiens vs Sabres latest injuries

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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