Expert NFL Prop Picks: Week 10

Get our experts' top prop picks for Week 10 NFL action!

Week 10 brings another full slate of NFL action, and our Week 10 prop picks highlight player markets worth targeting across Sunday's games and Monday night's matchup.

Check out all of our NFL picks and see what our analysts are backing this week.

Week 10 prop picks at a glance

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Expert NFL prop picks

Patriots vs. Lions

• Kickoff: Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Jason Logan

Prop pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ receiving yards

The Patriots enter Week 10 allowing the second-most explosive passes of 20 or more yards and have multiple question marks in their secondary. St. Brown is one of the NFL's most dangerous receivers against man coverage, and New England runs man schemes at one of the league's highest rates. His Week 10 projections range from 78 to 96 receiving yards, with my forecast at 84.

Check out our full Patriots vs. Lions predictions.

Chiefs vs. Falcons

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Analyst: Neil Parker

Prop pick: Rashee Rice 60+ receiving yards

Rice has recorded 102 receiving yards over the past two weeks despite an unsustainably low 1.3 average depth of target. His 8.2 yards after catch per reception this season is in line with last year's NFL-leading 8.1 mark. Atlanta has allowed nine wide receivers to surpass 60 receiving yards through nine games, making this a favorable matchup.

Check out our full Chiefs vs. Falcons predictions.

Bills vs. Jets

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Analyst: Tom Oldfield

Prop pick: Breece Hall Over 16.5 receiving yards

Hall has cleared this receiving-yardage mark in three straight games, including 26 receiving yards against Kansas City last week. He has recorded 13 catches in four contests this season, and if New York falls behind, his receiving role could become even more important. Buffalo's secondary additions may also leave opportunities underneath for Hall.

Check out our full Bills vs. Jets predictions.

Dolphins vs. Colts

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Analyst: Dustin Saracini

Prop pick: Ollie Gordon Over 68.5 rushing yards

Gordon has taken over as Miami's workhorse, averaging close to 20 carries over the past four weeks. Indianapolis is allowing 137 rushing yards per game and has surrendered at least 100 yards on the ground six times this season, giving Gordon a favorable matchup.

Check out our full Dolphins vs. Colts predictions.

Vikings vs. Packers

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Jason Logan

Prop pick: Savion Williams 20+ receiving yards

Savion Williams has stepped into Green Bay's WR3 role, catching 11 of 13 targets for 109 yards across his last four games. Matt LaFleur has indicated the Packers will continue finding ways to get Williams involved, and Minnesota has been vulnerable to slot receivers. Williams' Week 10 projections range from 15 to 24.5 yards, with my projection at 21.

Check out our full Vikings vs. Packers predictions.

Panthers vs. Saints

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Shawn Krest

Prop pick: Tyler Shough 250+ passing yards

Shough has topped 250 passing yards in six of eight games this season, including each of his last two. Carolina's secondary still has holes after starting two practice-squad players last week, and its pass rush hasn't been particularly effective. Shough should have opportunities to make downfield throws against the Panthers.

Check out our full Panthers vs. Saints predictions.

Jaguars vs. Titans

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Neil Parker

Prop pick: Tony Pollard 16+ rush attempts

Tennessee has leaned on Tony Pollard all season, and he's handled 16 or more carries in five of his past six games, averaging 18.7 rushes per game. The Titans rank 24th in pass rate over expected, suggesting they'll remain committed to the ground game. Running the ball should also help protect Cam Ward from a Jacksonville pass rush ranked fifth in quarterback-knockdown percentage.

Check out our full Jaguars vs. Titans predictions.

Texans vs. Browns

• Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Dustin Saracini

Prop pick: C.J. Stroud Over 243.5 passing yards

Stroud has topped this passing-yardage mark in six of eight games while throwing 16 touchdowns against just two interceptions. Houston is also doing a strong job protecting its quarterback, allowing just two sacks per game, which should give Stroud a comfortable pocket against Cleveland.

Check out our full Texans vs. Browns predictions.

Seahawks vs. Raiders

• Kickoff: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Analyst: Neil Parker

Prop pick: Zach Charbonnet 60+ rushing yards

Las Vegas has surrendered a league-high 5.74 yards per carry over its past six games, while Charbonnet rushed for 19 yards over expected last week. Eight running backs have already reached 60 rushing yards against the Raiders during that stretch, making this a favorable matchup.

Check out our full Seahawks vs. Raiders predictions.

Rams vs. Cardinals

• Kickoff: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Analyst: Jason Logan

Prop pick: Tyler Allgeier 10+ receiving yards

Allgeier played 96% of Arizona's snaps in Week 9 and has drawn at least three targets in each of the past three games. The Rams have allowed the most receiving yards to running backs entering Week 10, giving up 405 yards on 48 catches. Allgeier's projection is 16.6 receiving yards, well above the 10-yard line.

Check out our full Rams vs. Cardinals predictions.

49ers vs. Cowboys

• Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Analyst: Neil Parker

Prop pick: Brock Purdy 20+ rushing yards

Purdy has rushed for 20 or more yards in six of eight games this season, while Dallas has allowed the second-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Each of the four dual-threat quarterbacks the Cowboys have faced has also cleared 20 rushing yards.

Check out our full 49ers vs. Cowboys predictions.

Steelers vs. Bengals

• Kickoff: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
• TV: NBC
• Analyst: Jason Logan

Prop pick: Mike Gesicki 25+ receiving yards

Gesicki caught all three targets for 37 yards in the Week 3 matchup with Pittsburgh and could see another busy night as Joe Burrow's checkdown option. The Steelers have allowed the 15th-most receiving yards to tight ends, while FTN ranks them 24th in defensive DVOA against the position. Gesicki's projections are bullish, with every model above 25 yards and a ceiling near 40.

Check out our full Steelers vs. Bengals predictions.

Chargers vs. Ravens

• Kickoff: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Analyst: Josh Inglis

Prop pick: Derrick Henry Over 79.5 rushing yards

Henry projects for 94 rushing yards on more than 20 carries, and Baltimore could lean heavily on its ground game with Jacoby Brissett still adjusting to the offense. The Chargers' offense ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring and red-zone production, while its offensive line allows the second-most sacks per game. Those factors could limit Baltimore's need to throw and create a favorable workload for Henry.

Check out our full Chargers vs. Ravens predictions.

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