Patriots vs Lions Prop Picks: Week 10

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 15, 2026 , 05:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Jahmyr Gibbs will cook in Germany.

Patriots vs Lions props. Drake Maye, Jahmyr Gibbs, NFL.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Drake Maye, Jahmyr Gibbs, NFL.

The NFL heads to Munich for Week 11, where the New England Patriots and Detroit Lions meet on Sunday. My Patriots vs Lions props focus on Drake Maye, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Jameson Williams.

Read on for my three selections, and find more betting angles in our NFL picks for Sunday, Nov. 15.

Best Patriots vs Lions props

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Patriots Drake Maye 1+ interceptions 54%
Lions Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rushing yards 51%
Lions Jameson Williams 4+ receptions 54%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
Kalshi has also launched Player Injury Protection for player props. Learn more about how protected markets work and which markets are eligible.

Start trading with Kalshi today!

Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'MAX60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!

*Eligible U.S. locations only

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Prop pick #1: Drake Maye 1+ interceptions

Play up to 60%.

Drake Maye is having a disappointing campaign for the New England Patriots. He's tied with Justin Herbert for the league lead in interceptions, having been picked off 11 times in just nine games.

The quarterback threw three interceptions in Week 9 against the Green Bay Packers and has been picked off at least once in six of nine games.

The Detroit Lions' defense has recorded six interceptions this season, including one in each of its last four games. Detroit also ranks sixth in quarterback pressures (128) and third in sacks (27).

The Lions' aggressive pass rush should force Maye into hurried decisions in Munich, potentially leading to another costly interception.

Prop pick #2: Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rushing yards

Play up to 56%.

Jahmyr Gibbs has been a workhorse for the Lions. He's averaged 105.9 rushing yards per game across eight appearances, with 4.8 yards per carry.

The former Alabama standout has rushed for 100+ yards in three of his last four games. While the Patriots are stingy against the run, Gibbs' workload is enormous. He's averaging 22.1 carries per game, and that number has been closer to 25 over the last month.

Gibbs has accounted for 77% of Detroit's rushing attempts this season, while the Lions' offensive line ranks fourth in adjusted line yards, eighth in run-block win rate, and fourth in PFF run-blocking grade.

Expect a big day from Gibbs.

Prop pick #3: Jameson Williams 4+ receptions

Play up to 58%.

Jameson Williams has been one of Jared Goff's most important wideouts, hauling in 28 catches in eight games. He's caught 4+ passes in three of his last five outings and is averaging 5.8 targets per game.

The matchup also favors Williams. New England is allowing 12.9 receptions per game to wide receivers, along with 175.2 receiving yards, the fourth-most in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable with a rib injury, and if he doesn't suit up, Williams could see an expanded role.

Even if St. Brown plays, I still like Williams to find enough opportunities against a vulnerable Patriots secondary.

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 2-3, 0.67 units
📱 DOWNLOAD THE COVERS APP FOR MORE EXPERT PICKS

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo