Cowboys vs Raiders Predictions, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's Monday Night Football Game

Inglis' prediction: Tyler Lockett will shine with an expanded role vs. the Cowboys.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Nov 17, 2025 • 17:15 ET • 4 min read

NFL

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36 %
DAL
64 %
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Las Vegas Raiders Dallas Cowboys NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Check out our Cowboys vs. Raiders predictions for Week 11!

The Dallas Cowboys roll into Sin City as 3.5-point favorites on Monday Night Football, though my Cowboys vs. Raiders predictions believe neither team has played well enough to inspire real confidence.

Desperate for offensive life, the Las Vegas Raiders may have to heavily feature their newest wide receiver in Tyler Lockett.

Find out more in my free NFL picks for Monday, November 17 ahead of kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN and ABC.

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Cowboys vs Raiders prediction

Cowboys vs Raiders Best bet: Tyler Lockett Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)

Las Vegas Raiders wideout Tyler Lockett could be Geno Smith's main target Monday versus a Dallas Cowboys defense that allows the most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers, with 170 yards and 1.7 touchdowns allowed — both of which pace the league.

Lockett has a lot of trust in Smith from their Seattle days, and Tre Tucker is not a heavy-volume wide receiver.

In his second game last week with the Silver and Black, Lockett played just 59% of the snaps and led the team in targets (six), receptions (five), and yards (44). Those numbers could be improved on Monday night indoors versus this defense, and the ladder potential is real here.

Six catches are paying +950, and 60 yards is listed at +525. Lockett’s anytime touchdown is +500 and also worth a look in a game that could make Smith look like Drake Maye.

Cowboys vs Raiders MNF same-game parlay

Even THE BLITZ loves Lockett's Overs this week, with the model projecting 45.63 yards on 4.05 receptions. It's all or nothing on Lockett Monday night.

Cowboys vs Raiders 3-leg SGP 

  • Tyler Lockett Over 27.5 receiving yards
  • Tyler Lockett anytime touchdown
  • Tyler Lockett Over 2.5 receptions

Our big-ticket SGP: Picken' Locks

I'm all in on Lockett, and I'm ready to get hurt again with George Pickens, who has maintained a massive role even with CeeDee Lamb back in the picture.

He has 17 catches and 239 yards over the three games as the WR2 and should have another good outing indoors vs. the Raiders.

Pickens isn't averaging 10 targets a game like Lamb since Week 7, but he has 24 and should see six to nine targets on Monday night.

Cowboys vs Raiders 4-leg SGP 

  • Tyler Lockett Over 27.5 receiving yards
  • Tyler Lockett anytime touchdown
  • George Pickens Over 4.5 receptions
  • George Pickens anytime touchdown

Covers MNF BTE

Cowboys vs Raiders odds

  • Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-105) | Raiders +3.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Cowboys -200 | Raiders +165
  • Over/Under: Over 49 (-110) | Under 49 (-110)

Cowboys vs Raiders game predictions

Cowboys vs Raiders moneyline prediction

The Cowboys are 2-4 SU as a favorite this year and 1-4 SU on the road, with the only win coming against the Jets as a near pick 'em.

This is Las Vegas' fifth home game, where the Raiders are 1-3 SU with the only win coming against the Titans as a 5-point favorite. After a surprise Week 1 win vs. the Patriots, the Raiders and their rag-tag group of coaches and coordinators are 1-7 SU.

The Cowboys are better in most places, and their D-line could eat vs. an injured Vegas O-line.

Cowboys vs Raiders spread prediction

The Raiders are down three key starters on the O-line and gave up 18 pressures on 35 dropbacks vs. the Broncos in their last game before losing their best lineman in guard Jackson Powers-Johnson.

Now that Dallas has Quinnen Williams, it's a perfect week for Dallas to take advantage of the Raiders' injuries up front. 

Cowboys vs Raiders Over/Under prediction

The Cowboys are 6-3 to the Over, while the Raiders are 3-6 O/U entering Week 11.

Trusting Geno Smith with an Over is risky. He leads the league in interceptions, his offense has scored fewer than 10 points four times this year, and the Raiders have gone 29 straight games without scoring 30 points.

If Las Vegas falls behind and is forced to pass, its O-line might not hold up, leaving a struggling offense frequently playing behind the sticks. I can't get behind a 49.5-point Las Vegas Over, not even against the Cowboys.

The Raiders have had just one game reach 50+ points, and their three highest totals to date are 48, 46.5, and 46.5.

Cowboys vs Raiders betting trend to know

The Raiders are 7-2 to the Under across their last nine home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. Raiders.

How to watch Cowboys vs Raiders

Location Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Date Monday, November 17, 2025
Kickoff 8:15 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, ABC

Learn how to live stream Cowboys vs. Raiders for free tonight.

Cowboys vs Raiders latest injuries

Raiders wide receiver Tyler Lockett (knee) is on track to play tonight against the Cowboys. After being limited Thursday, he logged full practices Friday and Saturday, and the Raiders’ final injury report gave him no game designation, effectively clearing him.

Reports from additional outlets confirm he’s expected to handle his normal role in the offense on Monday Night Football. While there’s always a small risk of in-game setback, there’s been no indication of a snap count limitation, so expect Lockett to be active and involved versus Dallas tonight.

Cowboys vs Raiders weather

Allegiant Stadium is an indoor venue, therefore weather will not impact tonight's game. Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

More Cowboys vs Raiders predictions and odds from Covers

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.

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