Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 11 Player Prop Projections

Our NFL player prop projections look favorably upon both quarterbacks tonight, highlighting our best MNF computer picks.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Nov 17, 2025 • 09:52 ET • 4 min read
Cowboys vs Raiders computer picks Geno Smith
Photo By - Imagn Images. Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Geno Smith (7) drops back to pass.

Tonight's Monday Night Football matchup is a bettor's dream, with two awful defenses in action as the Raiders host the Cowboys.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best MNF props for tonight, with favorable projections for both quarterbacks headlining our Raiders vs. Cowboys computer picks.

Cowboys vs Raiders computer picks for Monday Night Football

Vikings Cowboys Vikings Raiders
Prescott o255.5 pass
-110
Smith o231.5 pass
-110
Williams o12.5 rec
-110
Jeanty o63.5 rush
-110
Lamb u86.5 rec
-110
Tucker o46.5 rec
-110
Ferguson o35.5 rec
-110
Bowers o75.5 rec
-110

Bet on MNF at bet365!

Your Monday Night Football bets are never ordinary at bet365! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you get $200 in bonus bets — win or lose!

*Eligible U.S. locations only

Cowboys MNF computer picks

Dak Prescott Over 255.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 265.7 yards

The Dallas QB has gone for 250+ in six of his last eight games, and we're projecting him to get beyond that threshold again tonight.

Javonte Williams Over 12.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 16.49 yards

Our projections don't love his rushing total, but it does expect him to post double-digit receiving yards for the first time since Week 4.

CeeDee Lamb Under 86.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 75.46 yards

With a lot of mouths to feed, we're not expecting Lamb to put up gaudy numbers tonight.

Jake Ferguson Over 35.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 52.87 yards

We do, however, expect the Cowboys' TE to have a big game, easily cruising past his yardage total.

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+215) - This price shows incredible value. If you want to be more conservative, 40+ yards at +115 is a strong play as well.


More Monday Night Football picks from Covers


Raiders MNF computer picks

Geno Smith Over 231.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 253.07 yards

It's been an up-and-down year for Geno, but our projections expect him to surpass his total tonight against one of the league's worst pass defenses.

Alternate-total bet
250+ yards (+145) - This number shows strong value.

Ashton Jeanty Over 63.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 69.32 yards

Our projections also like his receiving yards, but it forecasts the star rookie to top his rushing total tonight.

Alternate-total bet
70+ yards (+125) - This price shows a little value.

Tre Tucker Over 46.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 53.77 yards

It's wide receiver by committee in Vegas, but we're projecting Tucker, the incumbent WR1, to top a modest yardage line.

Brock Bowers Over 75.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 75.92 yards

The No. 1 pass-catching target for the Raiders, our projections put Bowers right at his receiving total, with an edge to the Over.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo