NBA Best Bets Today: Top Picks From Every Game Preview

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 7, 2026 , 03:22 PM ET • 4 min read

It's Landry Shamet having a field day against an Eastern Conference foe as the Knicks take on the Cavaliers in our Saturday’s NBA best bets.

Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Landry Shamet New York Knicks Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Landry Shamet New York Knicks Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs NBA

Saturday features a slate of NBA action starting in Indianapolis as the Pacers host the Nuggets before wrapping up with a Western Conference clash between the Spurs and Trail Blazers in Portland.

Our NBA predictions highlight the featured picks from Covers analysts across today's card.

See more expert betting angles in our free NBA picks for Nov. 7.

NBA top picks at a glance (Saturday, Nov. 7)

Matchup & time Top pick & analyst
Nuggets vs. Pacers
5 p.m.
Nuggets -7.5
Quinn Allen
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
8 p.m.
Landry Shamet Over 9.5 points
Geoff Clark
Magic vs. Warriors
8:30 p.m.
Warriors -5.5
Juan Carlos Blanco
Rockets vs. Suns
9 p.m.
Over 223.5
Zak Hanshew
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
10 p.m.
Spurs -5.5
Chris Walder

Picks courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Nuggets vs Pacers pick: Nuggets -7.5

Top pick: Nuggets -7.5

Play up to 56%.

The Denver Nuggets are starting to find their rhythm, winning two of their last three games, including convincing victories over the Raptors and Suns. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have dropped four of five and continue to struggle offensively.

Denver has a significant edge in shooting efficiency, connecting on 49% of its field-goal attempts and 37.2% of its three-point attempts. Indiana, meanwhile, is shooting just 46.5% from the field and 32.8% from deep.

With this matchup taking place in Mexico City, home-court advantage is essentially nonexistent. I expect Denver's superior offensive execution to be the difference and lead to a comfortable victory.

Read Quinn Allen's full Nuggets vs. Pacers predictions for more picks.

Knicks vs Cavaliers pick: Landry Shamet Over 9.5 points

  • Time: 8 p.m.
  • TV: MSG, DAZN, NBA TV
  • Analyst: Geoff Clark

Top pick: Landry Shamet Over 9.5 points

I just have a feeling New York SG Landry Shamet's Over 9.5 points prop is good up to 57%.

Shamet is replacing an injured Josh Hart in NYK's starting lineup, so he should play big minutes. Shamet has scored 13+ points in all three games this season in which he's played at least 25 minutes.

Last season, he scored 10+ points in 13 of 17 games with at least 25 minutes. In the 2026 ECF, Shamet averaged 15.0 points on 81.8% shooting for Games 3-4 in Cleveland. 

That said, Shamet's 3+ made threes (38%) and 15+ points (23%) are good looks, too. 

Read Geoff Clark's full Knicks vs. Cavaliers predictions for more picks.

Magic vs Warriors pick: Warriors -5.5

Top pick: Warriors -5.5

The Golden State Warriors have won six straight and have done so by an average margin of 12.8 points. The Dubs also have an ATS +/- of +7.9 points at home, while the Magic is sitting at a -1.8 ATS +/- on the road.

Golden State is also on a seven-game winning streak against the spread and has won 12 of its last 13 home games against the Orlando Magic with an average margin of 14.2 points in the last five, and the Warriors are an unblemished 5-0 ATS after win this season with the league's second-highest ATS +/- (+11.1 points) in that split.

I would play the Warriors spread up to -6.5.

Read Juan Carlos Blanco's full Magic vs. Warriors predictions for more picks.

Rockets vs Suns pick: Over 223.5

  • Time: 9 p.m.
  • TV: Arizona’s Family 3TV, Suns Live
  • Analyst: Zak Hanshew

Top pick: Over 223.5

The Phoenix Suns might be 2-5 this season, but they can still put up points, especially at home. The Houston Rockets' offense has been tremendous on the road, so I’ll trade the Over up to 224.5.

Phoenix sports a 120.8 Offensive Rating at home, good for third-best in the Association. The Suns score 121.8 ppg at Mortgage Matchup Center, good for fifth.

Houston’s road Offensive Rating is second-best at 119.5, and its 119.5 ppg are fifth-best.

Both sides have capable three-point shooters, interior scoring, and strong passing and playmaking bigs. Houston owns the edge in Defensive Rating (110.3 to 119.8), but Phoenix can generate enough offense at home to push the total Over.

Read Zak Hanshew's full Rockets vs. Suns predictions for more picks.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers pick: Spurs -5.5

  • Time: 10 p.m.
  • TV: KUNP 16, BlazerVision
  • Analyst: Chris Walder

Top pick: Spurs -5.5

Play up to 59%.

The San Antonio Spurs are the hottest team in the Association, having won seven straight games with a second-ranked offense and third-ranked defense during that stretch. Keep in mind, though, that four of those victories came against the Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings, who have a combined 2-16 record.

In a 124-118 loss to the Lakers, the Portland Trail Blazers blew a 16-point lead before eventually falling behind by that same margin. Portland’s two leading scorers, Deni Avdija and Damian Lillard, each played at least 37 minutes.

By comparison, none of San Antonio’s core players logged more than 28 minutes in a blowout win over Sacramento.

The defeat snapped the Trail Blazers' three-game winning streak. An emotional letdown is likely coming off such a performance, compounded by tired legs. 

San Antonio also has the personnel to dominate the glass and generate second-chance opportunities, an area in which Portland typically excels at limiting opponents.

Read Chris Walder's full Spurs vs. Trail Blazers predictions for more picks.

More NBA picks

Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for today's games:

Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.

All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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