Two climbing teams clash on Sunday Night Football, and we're covering it from all angles in our Buccaneers vs. Bears expert picks.
Our experts are split on which side will cover the spread, and their NFL picks also include an appealing touchdown play on a Bears speedster. But one of the most alluring prop plays of the night is tied to Kenny Gainwell.
Buccaneers vs Bears expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Buccaneers +6.5 |
53% |
 Josh Inglis: Kenny Gainwell 20+ rushing yards |
53% |
 Joe Osborne: Bears -6.5 |
48% |
 Jon Metler: Luther Burden touchdown |
36% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Buccaneers +6.5
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are being treated like a losing football team with this big spread, as public love for the Chicago Bears puffs this number up. Tampa Bay began slowly due to some high-variance occurrences, but the Bucs have been excellent over the last four games, going 3-1 with the lone loss coming during overtime.
The Bucs are running like mad and hogging the ball, backing up a defense playing the best among all stop units the past month. This SNF matchup is closer than you think, especially with the Bears playing on a short week.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Kenneth Gainwell 20+ rushing yards
This is one of the best +EV props on the board for Sunday night, with a projection of 28.9 rushing yards. Kenny Gainwell, the No. 2 running back in a run-first offense, was given 14 carries for 88 yards two games ago after logging 25 carries for 140 yards in an outlier performance during Week 8.
The Week 7 workload is a better baseline for projecting his usage, and this prop has plenty of life even at just 6-8 carries. The floor is relatively safe, with additional ladder potential on such a low total.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Bears -6.5
Chicago has covered in eight consecutive prime-time games by an average of 8.3 points, going 5-0 against the spread at home during that run. The Bears have won their three prime-time games this season, with a margin of 20, six, and 17 points.
Tampa Bay deserves credit for recovering from an 0-4 start. But its schedule has been pretty light, and this is a major step up in competition in a tough road environment.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Luther Burden touchdown
I'm definitely hitting the button here, as I price Luther Burden closer to 43% to score a touchdown on Sunday Night Football against the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay heavily favors zone coverage in the red zone, an area where Burden has graded out as one of the most efficient wide receivers leaguewide. He should be able to exploit the soft spots in the coverage, finding open space between the second and third levels of the defense.
How to watch Buccaneers vs Bears
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, Ill. |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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