The San Antonio Spurs’ dramatic double-OT win in Game 1 feels like a distant memory after dropping two straight.
Now trailing 2-1, San Antonio's lack of depth and heavy legs will be tested tonight.
Our top Thunder vs. Spurs predictions and same-game parlay jumps on the visiting team to capitalize on that fatigue and cruise to a third straight win on Sunday, May 24.
Our best Thunder vs Spurs SGP for Game 4
SGP leg #1: Thunder moneyline
The disparity in bench numbers has been jarring, as the Oklahoma City Thunder have gotten 61 points and 121.6 minutes per game from their reserves, compared to just 21.3 points and 60.4 minutes for the San Antonio Spurs.
Victor Wembanyama has averaged 41.7 minutes, and giving him a break isn’t viable. The Spurs are +21 with him on the floor and -38 when he’s on the bench.
With Dylan Harper and De’Aaron Fox nursing injuries, and Wemby forced into big minutes, fatigue will be critical. I priced this line at -140, so I’m thrilled to get it early at +110.
SGP leg #1: Victor Wembanyama Under 1.5 3-pointers
After an aggressive Game 1 performance where he logged 25 shots and just two three-pointers, Wemby has been pushed to the perimeter, settling for 31 total shots and 12 triples in Games 2 and 3.
To salvage the series, San Antonio must adjust their game plan to feed Wemby down low. Increasing his paint touches allows the Spurs to maximize his towering size, force defensive collapses, and open up clean kickout opportunities for their shooters.
Backing the Spurs to make this crucial tactical adjustment makes this prop a highly lucrative, high-value play at plus-money tonight.
SGP leg #1: Keldon Johnson Over 8.5 points
The newly crowned Sixth Man of the Year was highly efficient during the regular season, averaging an impressive 20.4 points per 36 minutes while stretching the floor at a 36.3% clip from beyond the arc.
With the Spurs needing a reliable offensive spark plug to take the pressure off their starters, expect Keldon Johnson to see an expanded role and a significant uptick in volume tonight.
Given his proven scoring efficiency when he gets the opportunity, I will gladly bet this line all the way up to 9.5 points.
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See our full Thunder vs Spurs Game 4 preview
Get Zak Hanshew's full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 4.
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