Thunder vs Clippers Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's NBA Game

Geoff Clark - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Geoff Clark • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 13, 2026 , 05:55 PM ET • 4 min read

Geoff Clark breaks down Friday's NBA Cup clash between the Thunder and Clippers, targeting Oklahoma City's injury woes and scheduling disadvantage with a spread pick, three-leg combo, and two player props.

nba

Nov 13 • 5:30 PM ET
Thunder vs. Clippers prediction. Bennett Stirtz, Max Strus, NBA.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Bennett Stirtz, Max Strus, NBA.

Oklahoma City visits the Clippers for NBA Cup group play Friday, November 13, at 10:30 p.m. ET inside Inglewood's Intuit Dome.

 My Thunder vs. Clippers prediction examines whether OKC deserves to be favored by 7.5 points after playing three road games in four nights, with several intriguing angles beyond the spread.

Check out more expert NBA picks for Friday's NBA Cup action.

 TOP PICK
Thunder vs Clippers prediction: Clippers +7.5

I'm more fading the Oklahoma City Thunder due to their cluster injuries, but give me the Los Angeles Clippers +7.5, down to +6.5. 

The Clippers covered as 16.5-point road underdogs in a 108-101 loss at OKC on October 25, despite the Thunder owning the rest edge. Oklahoma City started All-Stars Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams, and Cason Wallace that night, and all three are out Friday.

Now the scheduling edge flips. The Clippers are rested, while OKC is playing its third straight road game and third game in four nights. LAC also owns the higher 3-point-attempt and free-throw attempt rates, two edges I like even more at home, where shooting conditions and whistles tend to be friendlier.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The 3-pointer is the be-all and end-all in basketball nowadays, and the Clippers have a better wide-open 3-point-attempt rate on both ends of the floor, according to NBA.com. 
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Thunder vs Clippers combo

Reminder: I'm only risking 0.25 units on NBA combos.

Nonetheless, I'm adding the Over 222.5 into my 3-leg combo, along with LAC's spread and a player prop I break down below. The Over is a zig-zag pick since the first Thunder-Clippers meeting went way Under the 223.5-point total. However, that game had a 101.3 pace, which would rank fourth if it were a team. 

Meanwhile, Oklahoma City won't have an All-Defensive big (Holmgren) and one of the best perimeter defenders in basketball (Wallace), as it did against LAC earlier this season. Plus, OKC is 13-7 to the Over when playing with a rest disadvantage since the beginning of last season.

Thunder vs Clippers combo

  • Clippers +7.5 
  • Over 222.5 
  • Bennett Stirtz 10+ points

Thunder vs Clippers player props

Thunder player prop: Bennett Stirtz 10+ points

As long as OKC rookie combo guard Bennett Stirtz's 10+ points prop stays below 50%, I'm in.

Due to Oklahoma City's injuries, Stirtz is getting more playing time, and he's scored at least 11 points in five of his last seven games. Furthermore, I watched Stirtz play at Iowa last season, and I love his game. He is an underrated shot creator, and Stirtz is the main reason Iowa made it to the Elite Eight last season. 

Also, he has weird home/road reverse splits. Granted, he's only played 12 games, but Stirtz has a 71.6% true shooting rate in away games (.538/.565/.800), and his offensive rating goes from 109 at home to 132 on the road. 

Clippers player prop: Max Strus 3+ made threes

Clippers SG Max Strus 3+ made threes prop is playable up to 45%. Strus missed the first six games of the season, and he is only averaging 22.0 minutes right now.

But Strus is good enough to start on this garbage Clippers team. Heck, he started Game 4 of the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals for the Cavaliers and played at least 23 minutes in 15 of Cleveland's 18 playoff games last season.

That said, Strus will eventually play more minutes and he's a knock-down 3-point shooter who can space the floor for PG Darius Garland. Strus hit three 3-pointers in his first two games this season, and he has a team-high 76.9% 3-point-attempt rate. 

Geoff Clark's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 12-10, +1.93 units
  • Combos: 1-21, -9.49 units
  • Props: 17-22-1, -4.01 units
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Thunder vs Clippers odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Thunder -7.5 | Clippers +7.5
  • Over/Under: Over 222.5 | Under 222.5
  • Moneyline: Thunder 72% | Clippers 29%

For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board and our Thunder vs. Clippers matchup. 

Thunder vs Clippers trend

Since the beginning of last season, Oklahoma City is 8-12 against the spread with a rest disadvantage. Find more NBA betting trends.

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How to watch Thunder vs Clippers

Location Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA
Date Friday, Nov. 13, 2026
Tip off 10:30 p.m. ET
TV KSBI, KTLA 5

Thunder vs Clippers latest injuries

Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

A gambler first and a writer second, Geoff's favorite sports to bet on, listed in order, include the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, college basketball, college football, MLB and horse racing. He's a veteran of the Circa Survivor and Circa Millions contests as well. A Saratoga, N.Y., transplant living in Long Beach, Calif., Geoff is most active on prediction markets. The native New Yorker stays loyal to his childhood teams, the Yankees, Giants, Knicks and Rangers. Clark added St. John's University basketball to his favorite teams after graduating from school in 2008 with a bachelor's degree in sports management. Geoff has been writing and podcasting in sports betting media since 2019, with stops at USA TODAY and Fox News, and TV appearances on VSIN. 

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