Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement is in a prime spot to clear 1.5 total bases against Baltimore Orioles starter Brandon Young.
The Jays are -150 moneyline favorites in this series-opening bout.
Read on for my Orioles vs. Blue Jays Predictions and MLB picks on Friday, June 5.
Orioles vs Blue Jays predictions
Orioles vs Blue Jays best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+140)
Baltimore Orioles right-hander Brandon Young is a contact-oriented pitcher, posting an 88.1% zone-contact rate, which plays directly into Ernie Clement's strengths.
The Toronto Blue Jays infielder ranks in the 97th percentile in squared-up contact and owns an elite 92.5% zone-contact rate himself.
He also matches up well against Young's pitch mix, as the Orioles right-hander relies heavily on four-seamers, sinkers, and sliders. Clement owns a .352 batting average and a .494 slugging percentage against those pitches.
Additionally, Clement has eclipsed this total in four of his last five games.
With the market still offering +140, I'd play Clement Over 1.5 total bases to +120.
COVERS INTEL: Young’s 3.35 ERA is primed for regression, as he ranks in the 40th percentile with a .249 xBA and a 4.34 xERA.
Orioles vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
The Blue Jays registered seven hits in Young’s last outing against them on May 30, and my SGP expects that trend to continue.
Firstly, I’ll add Nathan Lukes to get a base hit. Lukes is riding a nine-game hitting streak and profiles well against Young’s pitching repertoire.
I’ll also add Over 1.5 bases for Vladimir Guerrero, who has a pair of hits, including a double off Young on May 30.
Additionally, Guerrero owns a .385 average over his last six games with four doubles and a .538 slug rate.
Orioles vs Blue Jays SGP
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
- Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 hits
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
Orioles vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+335)
Young has allowed just two homers in his last five outings, so we’ll make this just a half-unit wager.
However, if there’s one Blue Jays hitter who profiles well enough to do damage tonight, it will be Kazuma Okamoto.
Okamoto has 10 home runs and a 59.2% hard-hit rate off Young's pitch mix.
Additionally, he’s one of the only Blue Jays hitters consistently exhibiting power, ranking in the 95th percentile in hard-hit rate, which has led to a team-best 13 home runs in 2026.
- Best bets: 30-31, -+3.85 units
- SGPs: 13-48, +11.35 units
- HR picks: 9-52, +0.3 units
Orioles vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Baltimore +130 | Toronto -150
- Run line: Baltimore +1.5 (-155) | Toronto -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)
Orioles vs Blue Jays trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Orioles vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Friday, 6-5-2026 |
| First pitch | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | MASN, SN1 |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Brandon Young (3-1, 3.35 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Trey Yesavage (2-2, 2.19 ERA) |
Orioles vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Orioles vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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