We've got MLB picks for nearly every time slot on today's schedule, with a play at 4:10 p.m., 6:30 p.m., and late night at 10:10 p.m.
Read on to see why you should tail our baseball experts in backing the Phillies, Rays, and Shohei Ohtani.
- UPDATE: Added Neil Parker's best bet for CHW/MIN.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: PHI -1.5 |
+122 |
 Jon Metler: TB ML |
-108 |
 Joe Osborne: COL/LAD u8.5 |
-122 |
 Neil Parker: CHW ML |
-104 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Phillies -1.5
Price: 45¢ (+122) at Polymarket
If I'm laying a run line, I want it with the road team... and one of the hottest pitchers in baseball, in Cristopher Sánchez. The left-hander hasn’t allowed a run in an absurd 37+ innings, and the Philadelphia Phillies have outscored opponents 21-2 over that stretch while going 3-1 ATS.
Another strong angle fading the Padres today, outside of facing Walker Buehler, is the schedule: The Friars are the only team making a cross-country trip for their next series, heading from San Diego to Washington to open a Friday set.
That 2,300-mile flight is one of the longest travel spots on the MLB board. It’s a strong getaway angle while also backing arguably the most in-form pitcher in baseball right now.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SDPA, NBCSP
Jon Metler's expert pick: Rays moneyline
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
There haven’t been many bad spots to back the Tampa Bay Rays this season, but Wednesday sets up especially well. I price the Rays closer to 59-cent (-144) favorites against the Orioles.
At first glance, Baltimore’s lineup appears to have a platoon edge against left-hander Steven Matz, with right-handed power bats like Taylor Ward, Pete Alonso, and Tyler O'Neill near the top of the order. But Matz’s profile is built to counter that type of lineup; his sinking fastball and changeup work at the bottom of the zone, taking away the pull-side power those hitters rely on.
Meanwhile, Tampa Bay can stack seven left-handed bats against right-hander Trey Gibson, and those hitters benefit from the more favorable dimensions at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following the left-field wall changes.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- How to watch: FS1
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Rockies/Dodgers Under 8.5
Price: 55¢ (-122) at Polymarket
Shohei Ohtani has been nearly untouchable at Dodger Stadium, allowing one earned run or fewer in all 11 of his regular-season home starts since joining the team.
Overall, he owns a ridiculous 0.73 ERA across his eight starts this season, with seven of those games staying Under the total. He's also backed by a Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen carrying a 1.29 ERA over the last two weeks, while the Colorado Rockies rank dead last in wRC+ during that stretch.
Tomoyuki Sugano may look like an amateur compared to Ohtani, but his numbers are far more respectable away from Coors Field, and eight of his 10 starts have gone Under.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SNLA, COLR
Neil Parker's expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket
The Chicago White Sox rank fifth in wOBA against left-handed starters this season and second in overall xwOBA while averaging 4.9 runs per game in May. Chicago righty Davis Martin is also dealing and sports an elite 2.04 ERA and 1.02 WHIP backed by a high-end 2.85 xFIP and 22.4 K-BB%.
As a result, I give the edge to the White Sox on the mound and at the dish. The Minnesota Twins are countering with lefty Connor Prielipp, and in addition to him coming off his worst start of the season, the rookie’s 4.03 ERA and 4.34 xFIP are run-of-the-mill marks.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Twins.TV, CHSN
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yankees ML | -149 |
| Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Royals predictions | |
| Braves ML | -108 |
| Read analysis in our Braves vs. Red Sox predictions | |
| Brewers ML | -146 |
| Read analysis in our Cardinals vs. Brewers predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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