We're looking to head into the weekend on a winning note, with our expert MLB picks looking at two moneylines against struggling teams, as well as a NRFI bet with two underratedly good pitchers on the mound.
See why our MLB best bets for April 24 love the value on the Twins/Rays being quiet early, plus the Halos and ATL to win.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: LAA ML |
+104 |
 Neil Parker: MIN/TB NRFI |
-122 |
 Joe Osborne: ATL ML |
-138 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Angels moneyline
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket
Let’s fade the Kansas City Royals, a weak offense that is especially bad against left-handed pitching. Only the Phillies and Rangers rank worse in wRC+ against southpaws, and Yusei Kikuchi is coming off his best start of the year — plus the winds blowing in should provide additional support. What may not be fully priced in is the Los Angeles Angels' edge in the later innings: Kansas City’s bullpen has been putrid all season, but has hit a new low, posting a 7.17 ERA over the last seven days while issuing plenty of walks... and allowing home runs at a high rate. This is a buy to -115.
Neil Parker's expert pick: Twins/Rays NRFI
Price: 55¢ (-122) at Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays righty Drew Rasmussen has been sharp in three of four starts, sporting a 2.75 ERA and 0.66 WHIP, while holding opposing hitters to a .141 average. The Twins are countering with Taj Bradley, and he’s posted a similarly solid line with a 1.63 ERA and limited opponents to a .276 wOBA. Scoring in the opening frame also hasn’t been a calling card for either club: Minnesota has plated a first-inning run in just 32% of its games — and the Rays are even lower at 29.2%.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Braves moneyline
Price: 58¢ (-138) at Polymarket
The Atlanta Braves come in red hot, winning eight of nine, while the Philadelphia Phillies have dropped nine straight. Andrew Painter has been average and was rocked in his lone road start this season, plus pitch count issues are a major concern tonight: He’s struggled to work deep into games, which is a dangerous flaw against a Braves lineup that leads the league in scoring and OPS vs. righties over the last two weeks. That puts even more strain on a Phillies bullpen that’s already overworked after using five arms yesterday.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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