The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers have been two of the best offensive teams in the majors, both ranking Top-8 in runs per game.
My Pirates vs. Brewers predictions see the offenses doing enough to clear a low total.
Let’s break down why with my daily MLB picks for Friday,April 24.
Who will win Pirates vs Brewers today: Pirates moneyline (-130)
Brandon Woodruff is not generating many whiffs or strikeouts and he’s not keeping the ball on the ground. His current 30.9% ground ball rate is the lowest of any season in his major league career.
Woodruff’s barrel rate against lefties is also more than three times as high as righties.
None of that is ideal against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that ranks 10th in homers and features a ton of potent left-handed bats, including Oneil Cruz, Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, and Ryan O’Hearn.
Look for the Pirates to give Paul Skenes some run support en route to victory.
COVERS INTEL: Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, and Ryan O’Hearn all own wOBAs above .400 against Brandon Woodruff’s pitch mix this season.
Pirates vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 7.0 (-110)
The pitchers are going to have their hands full. Woodruff’s struggles keeping the ball on the ground could lead to problems, especially facing several hard-hitting lefties who profile well against his stuff.
This is not the Pirates offense of old times. They rank seventh in stolen bases, eighth in runs, 8th in OBP, and 10th in homers. They are balanced and can hurt pitchers in a lot of different ways.
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers sit third in OPS vs. right-handed pitching at home. While Skenes should be able to prevent the Brew Crew from a ceiling performance, they don’t need one with such a low total.
- ML/RL bets: 4-3, +0.18 units
- Over/Under bets: 2-5, -3.62 units
Pirates vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Pittsburgh (-135) | Milwaukee (+115)
- Run line: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+130) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: Over 7.0 (-110) | Under 7.0 (-110)
Pirates vs Brewers trend
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Brewers.
How to watch Pirates vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Friday, April 24, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNP, Brewers.TV |
| Pirates starting pitcher | Paul Skenes (3-1, 3.27 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Brandon Woodruff (2-0, 3.42 ERA) |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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